Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/415) | 80% (270/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/415) | 80% (270/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (68/108) | 53% (40/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Viera D. 🟨,
- 9', Fernandez H. 🟨,
- 16', Riveros B. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Aliseda I. (A),
- 41', Sanabria L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caballero H. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
- 52', Torres J. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽,
- 68', Sanabria L. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez H. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 68', Amarilla L. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 68', Dominguez C. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 73', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
- 75', Melgarejo L. ↓, Villalba P. ↑,
- 75', Aguilar G. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
- 79', Morel J. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 85', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Noguera F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
36.3% | Draw
30% | Cerro Porteño
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.33) |
3.05 ↓
(3.22) |
2.75 ↓
(2.97) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Libertad (votes: 4 - 80%).
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Libertad Asuncion will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
05.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
26.01.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:2
28.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:3
14.09.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:1
03.05.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31:12 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | General Caballero JLM | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
