Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (134/208) | 81% (331/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (134/208) | 81% (331/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (22/50) | 55% (36/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (44/81) | 50% (33/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Velazquez G. ⚽, Riveros B. (A),
- 25', Franco I. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gimenez G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rojas R. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 46', Santa C. R. ↓, Acuna O. ↑,
- 58', Campuzano A. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
- 67', Gimenez G. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
- 67', Gomez R. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
- 70', Dominguez C. 🟨,
- 72', Franco I. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 77', Dominguez C. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
- 86', Morel J. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
- 86', Iturbe J. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 88', Sanabria L. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
50% | Draw
27.2% | Libertad Asuncion
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.78) |
3.46 ↑
(3.42) |
4.06 ↓
(4.33) |
7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
Cerro Porteño will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
31.08.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
05.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
26.01.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:2
28.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:3
14.09.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:1
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Guarani | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 42:19 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 35 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 33 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 33:38 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
| 10 | General Caballero JLM | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 24 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
