Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño
Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.41
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
81% (336/415)80% (270/336)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.210.67
Total shots
118
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
81% (336/415)80% (270/336)
Long passes
42% (20/48)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
63% (68/108)53% (40/76)
Crosses
23% (3/13)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.82
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
1811
Tackles
76% (13/17)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5267
Clearances
2829
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.670.21
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Viera D. 🟨,
  • 9', Fernandez H. 🟨,
  • 16', Riveros B. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Torres J. , Aliseda I. (A),
  • 41', Sanabria L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Caballero H. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 52', Torres J. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ,
  • 68', Sanabria L. , Martinez H. ,
  • 68', Fernandez H. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 68', Amarilla L. , Aguayo G. ,
  • 68', Dominguez C. , Viera W. ,
  • 73', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
  • 75', Melgarejo L. , Villalba P. ,
  • 75', Aguilar G. , Recalde J. ,
  • 79', Morel J. , Peralta F. ,
  • 85', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. , Noguera F. ,

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
36.3%
Draw
30%
Cerro Porteño
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 28.9% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 28.1% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.33)
    3.05
    (3.22)
    2.75
    (2.97)
    8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Libertad (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Libertad Asuncion will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Libertad Asuncion will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 1:0
    26.01.2025 Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion 2:2
    28.11.2024 Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion 2:3
    14.09.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 2:1
    03.05.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 1:3
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1181229:111825
    2Cerro Porteno1063119:13621
    3Sportivo Trinidense1052315:13217
    4Sp. Luqueno1152415:12317
    5Nacional Asuncion1044211:8316
    6Libertad Asuncion1034311:9213
    7Olimpia Asuncion1033413:16-312
    8Recoleta1033414:15-112
    9General Caballero JLM103257:15-811
    102 de Mayo1024410:15-510
    11Ameliano1022610:18-88
    12Atl. Tembetary1012710:19-95

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )