Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño
Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.80
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
76% (262/344)83% (384/461)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.180.54
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2918
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
76% (262/344)83% (384/461)
Long passes
41% (29/71)58% (30/52)
Passes in final third
56% (60/108)63% (86/136)
Crosses
47% (9/19)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.82
Fouls
1012
Tackles
67% (12/18)37% (7/19)
Duels won
5351
Clearances Total
3640
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.541.18
Goals prevented
0.540.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Viera W. 🟨,
  • 29', Franco I. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Cardozo O. ,
  • 33', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 35', Morel J. 🟨,
  • 35', Velazquez G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Leon D. , Benitez A. G. ,
  • 46', Viera W. , Aguayo G. ,
  • 46', Morel J. , Gimenez G. ,
  • 57', Araujo S. , Iturbe J. ,
  • 61', Martinez H. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 61', Campuzano A. , Caballero H. ,
  • 61', Cardozo O. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 68', Piris R. , Sonora A. ,
  • 72', Franco I. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 85', Gimenez N. 🟨,
  • 87', Sanabria L. , Alcaraz A. ,

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
41.7%
Draw
30.3%
Cerro Porteño
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 30.4% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 31.6% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.16)
    3.01
    (3.05)
    3.32
    (3.5)
    8.3%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2.
    • Libertad is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cerro Porteño in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Cerro Porteño have a series of home games.
    • Libertad will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Libertad won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion 2:2
    28.11.2024 Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion 2:3
    14.09.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 2:1
    03.05.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 1:3
    11.02.2024 Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion 1:1
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Trinidense32108:537
    2Cerro Porteno32104:137
    3Sp. Luqueno32103:037
    4Nacional Asuncion32103:127
    5Recoleta32018:716
    6Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    7Guarani31113:214
    82 de Mayo31112:3-14
    9Ameliano31022:4-23
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )