Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (262/344) | 83% (384/461) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (262/344) | 83% (384/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (29/71) | 58% (30/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (60/108) | 63% (86/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.82 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 37% (7/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Viera W. 🟨,
- 29', Franco I. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Cardozo O. ⚽,
- 33', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 35', Morel J. 🟨,
- 35', Velazquez G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Leon D. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
- 46', Viera W. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 46', Morel J. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,
- 57', Araujo S. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
- 61', Martinez H. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
- 61', Campuzano A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 61', Cardozo O. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 68', Piris R. ↓, Sonora A. ↑,
- 72', Franco I. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 85', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 87', Sanabria L. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
41.7% | Draw
30.3% | Cerro Porteño
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.16) |
3.01 ↓
(3.05) |
3.32 ↓
(3.5) |
8.3%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2.
- Libertad is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Cerro Porteño in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recently Cerro Porteño have a series of home games.
- Libertad will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Libertad won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
26.01.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:2
28.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:3
14.09.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:1
03.05.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
11.02.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Sp. Luqueno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | General Caballero JLM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
