Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 0.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (336/415) | 80% (270/336) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 0.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.21 | 0.67 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
81% (336/415) | 80% (270/336) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (20/48) | 36% (19/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (68/108) | 53% (40/76) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (3/13) | 18% (4/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.44 | 0.82 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
76% (13/17) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 67 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.67 | 0.21 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.33 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Viera D. 🟨,
- 9', Fernandez H. 🟨,
- 16', Riveros B. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Aliseda I. (A),
- 41', Sanabria L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caballero H. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
- 52', Torres J. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽,
- 68', Sanabria L. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez H. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 68', Amarilla L. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 68', Dominguez C. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 73', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
- 75', Melgarejo L. ↓, Villalba P. ↑,
- 75', Aguilar G. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
- 79', Morel J. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 85', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Noguera F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion 36.3% | Draw 30% | Cerro Porteño 33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↑ (2.33) |
3.05 ↓ (3.22) |
2.75 ↓ (2.97) |
8% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Libertad (votes: 4 - 80%).
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Libertad Asuncion will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Libertad Asuncion has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Libertad Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
05.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
26.01.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:2
28.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:3
14.09.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:1
03.05.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Guarani | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 29:11 | 18 | 25 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
4 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
5 | Nacional Asuncion | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
6 | Libertad Asuncion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
8 | Recoleta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
9 | General Caballero JLM | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
10 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Ameliano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
12 | Atl. Tembetary | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )