Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Benitez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/404) | 73% (195/268) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/404) | 73% (195/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (31/61) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (74/123) | 62% (50/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (12/38) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 1.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Benitez A. G. 🟨,
- 38', Perez M. 🟨,
- 40', Benitez A. G. ↓, Chaparro M. ↑,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Vargas S. ⚽, Rojas S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Paredes C. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 56', Klimowicz M. 🟨,
- 59', Valdez I. 🟨,
- 59', Samudio A. 🟨,
- 59', Samudio A. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 62', Gomez R. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 62', Klimowicz M. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
- 63', Prieto R. 🟨,
- 71', Bailone I. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
- 71', Colman Escobar D. J. ↓, Benitez G. ↑,
- 74', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
- 75', 0 - 2, Benitez G. ⚽,
- 79', Feliu J. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
- 79', Vargas S. ↓, Caceres L. ↑,
- 83', Aliseda I. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 89', Rojas S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
51.3% | Draw
28.3% | Nacional Asuncion
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.89) |
3.29 ↓
(3.44) |
4.56 ↑
(3.98) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cerro Porteño will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 3)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 3.
- Cerro Porteño is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cerro Porteño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
27.10.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:2
08.08.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
15.04.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
01.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
3:1
10.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:2
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
