Result
1:3
15/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (212/294) | 85% (488/577) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (212/294) | 85% (488/577) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 46% (31/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 65% (74/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.86 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.05 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Iturbe J. ⚽, Benitez A. G. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ⚽, Prieto R. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Iturbe J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sonora A. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 3, Torres J. ⚽, Viera W. (A),
- 55', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 55', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Alfaro J. F. ↑,
- 65', Gomez R. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 67', Ortiz C. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 67', Monteagudo J. ↓, Caceres D. ↑,
- 70', Iturbe J. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 78', Torres J. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 78', Gimenez G. ↓, Eliseche N. ↑,
- 86', Arrua C. ↓, Quintana S. ↑,
- 90+6', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
27.9% | Draw
31.4% | Cerro Porteño
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.9) |
2.95 ↓
(3.15) |
2.28
(2.28) |
7.8%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0.
- Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cerro Porteño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Cerro Porteño will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:32 (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
01.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
3:1
10.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:2
27.08.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
05.06.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
0:2
30.03.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Sp. Luqueno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | General Caballero JLM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
