Result
1:3
15/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.44 | 1.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
35% | 65% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
72% (212/294) | 85% (488/577) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.44 | 1.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.05 | 1.95 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 12 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
72% (212/294) | 85% (488/577) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (21/49) | 46% (31/68) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (54/91) | 65% (74/113) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (5/18) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.16 | 0.86 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (15/19) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 52 |
Clearances Total |
---|
14 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.95 | 1.05 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.05 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Iturbe J. ⚽, Benitez A. G. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ⚽, Prieto R. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Iturbe J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sonora A. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 3, Torres J. ⚽, Viera W. (A),
- 55', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 55', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Alfaro J. F. ↑,
- 65', Gomez R. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 67', Ortiz C. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 67', Monteagudo J. ↓, Caceres D. ↑,
- 70', Iturbe J. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 78', Torres J. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 78', Gimenez G. ↓, Eliseche N. ↑,
- 86', Arrua C. ↓, Quintana S. ↑,
- 90+6', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion 27.9% | Draw 31.4% | Cerro Porteño 40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.33 ↑ (2.9) |
2.95 ↓ (3.15) |
2.28 (2.28) |
7.8% (10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0.
- Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cerro Porteño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Cerro Porteño will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:32 (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
01.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
3:1
10.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:2
27.08.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
05.06.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
0:2
30.03.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Sp. Luqueno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Nacional Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | 2 de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
12 | General Caballero JLM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )