Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño
Result
1:3
15/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.39
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
72% (212/294)85% (488/577)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.95
Total shots
912
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1612
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
912
Passes
72% (212/294)85% (488/577)
Long passes
43% (21/49)46% (31/68)
Passes in final third
59% (54/91)65% (74/113)
Crosses
28% (5/18)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.86
Fouls
129
Tackles
79% (15/19)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5052
Clearances Total
1430
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.951.05
Goals prevented
-1.05-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Iturbe J. , Benitez A. G. (A),
  • 31', 1 - 1, Caballero Fleytas T. I. , Prieto R. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Iturbe J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sonora A. , Viera W. ,
  • 53', 1 - 3, Torres J. , Viera W. (A),
  • 55', Caballero Fleytas T. I. , Colman C. ,
  • 55', Gaona Lugo O. , Alfaro J. F. ,
  • 65', Gomez R. , Benitez A. ,
  • 67', Ortiz C. , Duarte D. ,
  • 67', Monteagudo J. , Caceres D. ,
  • 70', Iturbe J. , Dominguez C. ,
  • 78', Torres J. , Chico ,
  • 78', Gimenez G. , Eliseche N. ,
  • 86', Arrua C. , Quintana S. ,
  • 90+6', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Asuncion
27.9%
Draw
31.4%
Cerro Porteño
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 28.8% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 28.4% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.9)
    2.95
    (3.15)
    2.28
    (2.28)
    7.8%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0.
    • Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cerro Porteño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Cerro Porteño will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:32 (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion 3:1
    10.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 2:2
    27.08.2024 Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion 2:1
    05.06.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 0:2
    30.03.2024 Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion 1:0
    Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Trinidense32108:537
    2Cerro Porteno32104:137
    3Sp. Luqueno32103:037
    4Nacional Asuncion32103:127
    5Recoleta32018:716
    6Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    7Guarani31113:214
    82 de Mayo31112:3-14
    9Ameliano31022:4-23
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM30031:6-50

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