Result
11/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
30.2% | Draw
30.7% | Cerro Porteño
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.46) |
3.05 ↓
(3.17) |
2.38 ↑
(2.14) |
7.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cerro Porteño is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nacional has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Nacional Asuncion has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Nacional Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
15.02.2026
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:2
27.10.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:2
08.08.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
15.04.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
01.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Nacional Asuncion
3:1
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
