Result
2:0
02/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 3
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (274/341) | 84% (330/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (274/341) | 84% (330/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (58/81) | 65% (55/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (20/25) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 25', 1 - 0, Morel J. ⚽, Aliseda I. (A),
- 29', Balbuena A. 🟨,
- 33', Franco C. 🟨,
- 36', Dominguez F. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Vegetti P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pereira K. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 46', Ramos J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 46', Franco C. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
- 60', Maiz A. 🟨,
- 61', Balbuena A. ↓, Martinez Cubilla A. M. ↑,
- 61', Ruiz O. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 69', Morel J. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 70', Dominguez F. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 71', Quintana S. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 75', Aguayo G. 🟨,
- 83', Aliseda I. ↓, Cristaldo A. ↑,
- 90+2', Maggi I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
59.7% | Draw
24% | Sportivo Luqueño
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Porteño's form might have worsened.Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.41) |
3.91 ↓
(4.64) |
5.71 ↓
(6.92) |
7.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1.
- Recent performances by Cerro Porteño have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recently, Cerro Porteño has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Cerro Porteño has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
27.09.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
20.07.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:0
12.04.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:0
29.01.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
05.10.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Recoleta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Sp. Luqueno | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Guarani | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:22 | -18 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
