Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (116/217) | 76% (301/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (116/217) | 76% (301/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (17/59) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (43/93) | 66% (77/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Paez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', Paez E. ↓, Franco C. ↑,
- 65', Peralta F. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
- 69', Ramos J. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez W. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 76', Amarilla L. ↓, Portillo Avalos T. G. ↑,
- 86', Dominguez C. 🟨,
- 88', Dominguez C. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 88', Ocampos S. 🟨,
- 88', Ocampos S. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, Torres J. ⚽,
- 90+4', Torres J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Santander F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
19.8% | Draw
29% | Cerro Porteño
51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.79 ↑
(4.52) |
3.24 ↓
(3.68) |
1.88 ↑
(1.73) |
5.1%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 1.
- Sportivo Luqueño has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cerro Porteño has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Cerro Porteño has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
20.07.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:0
12.04.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:0
29.01.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
05.10.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
04.08.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Luqueño
4:0
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Guarani | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 18 |
| 9 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
