Result
0:0
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (400/490) | 70% (168/241) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (400/490) | 70% (168/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (69/122) | 59% (35/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Quintana S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aguayo G. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 53', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 61', Viera W. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,
- 61', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
- 61', Ramos J. ↓, Parra A. ↑,
- 69', Diaz S. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
- 70', Baez J. ↓, Caceres R. ↑,
- 70', Torres J. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
- 80', Araujo S. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 82', Ocampos S. 🟨,
- 83', Ocampos S. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 83', Quintana S. ↓, Rodriguez W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
63.8% | Draw
22.8% | Sportivo Luqueño
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.36) |
3.99 ↓
(4.82) |
7.12 ↓
(7.7) |
7.2%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1.
- Cerro Porteño is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Cerro Porteño has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
12.04.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:0
29.01.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
05.10.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
04.08.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Luqueño
4:0
02.06.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:2
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:9 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Sp. Luqueno | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Guarani | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | General Caballero JLM | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
