Progreso vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
56
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
53
Total shots
56
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Silva G. ,
  • 28', Frugone A. 🟨,
  • 30', Cougo A. 🟨,
  • 31', Villar M. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Lemmo I. (Pen),
  • 44', Lopez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Miranda A. , Caceres S. ,
  • 46', Villar M. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 46', Neira I. , Larrosa E. ,
  • 48', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 53', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 60', Morales B. , Cuello E. ,
  • 66', Silva G. , Pinheiro A. ,
  • 66', Fernandez N. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 67', Frugone A. , Ocampo M. ,
  • 74', Colombino A. , De Los Santos M. ,
  • 74', Lemmo I. , Lopez P. ,
  • 84', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 85', Lopez F. , Carroso H. ,
  • 90', Cuello E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Progreso
42.4%
Draw
29.5%
Cerro
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 27.4% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 26.5% 30.1%

Progreso - Cerro Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.2
(2.25)
3.13
(3.4)
3.32
(3)
7.6%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Progreso - Cerro?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Progreso will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Progreso will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Progreso will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Cerro were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Cerro - Progreso 0:0
    14.09.2024 Progreso - Cerro 0:1
    01.03.2024 Cerro - Progreso 2:3
    10.09.2022 Cerro - Progreso 1:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Latest results of Cerro
    21.09.2025 Cerro - Miramar Misiones 1:0
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    07.09.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 0:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional00000:000
    2CA Cerro00000:000
    3Liverpool M00000:000
    4Progreso00000:000
    5Danubio00000:000
    6Wanderers00000:000
    7Central Esp00000:000
    8Defensor Sp00000:000
    9Juventud00000:000
    10Penarol00000:000
    11Racing Montevideo00000:000
    12Cerro Largo00000:000
    13Maldonado00000:000
    14Boston River00000:000
    15Montevideo City00000:000
    16Albion00000:000

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