Result
0:0
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Villar M. 🟨,
- 43', Pinheiro A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Silva G. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 57', Miranda A. ↓, Ocampo M. ↑,
- 57', Caceres S. ↓, Mulet A. ↑,
- 67', Haller R. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
- 69', Colombino A. 🟨,
- 78', Camacho S. 🟨,
- 79', Lopez P. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
- 81', Alonso M. ↓, Aires A. ↑,
- 81', Benitez B. ↓, Almeida E. ↑,
- 87', Garcia A. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
- 87', Pinheiro A. ↓, Trasante G. ↑,
- 89', Aires A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro
40.3% | Draw
30.2% | Progreso
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro's form might have worsened.Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Progreso's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Progreso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerro - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.94) |
3.04 ↓
(3.2) |
3.17 ↓
(3.8) |
7.7%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro - Progreso?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1.
- Cerro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Progreso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cerro will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Cerro won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:19 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Progreso?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Cerro?
Progreso has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Progreso were as follows:
14.09.2024
Progreso
-
Cerro
0:1
01.03.2024
Cerro
-
Progreso
2:3
10.09.2022
Cerro
-
Progreso
1:1
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Torneo IntermedioGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | River Plate | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Juventud | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Boston River | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 6 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Miramar | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Cerro - Progreso?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Spain | Gol Play |
 Uruguay | VTV+ |
 World | Disney+ |
