Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Silva G. ⚽,
- 28', Frugone A. 🟨,
- 30', Cougo A. 🟨,
- 31', Villar M. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 0, Lemmo I. (Pen),
- 44', Lopez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Miranda A. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
- 46', Villar M. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 46', Neira I. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
- 48', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 53', Colombino A. 🟨,
- 60', Morales B. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 66', Silva G. ↓, Pinheiro A. ↑,
- 66', Fernandez N. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 67', Frugone A. ↓, Ocampo M. ↑,
- 74', Colombino A. ↓, De Los Santos M. ↑,
- 74', Lemmo I. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
- 84', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
- 85', Lopez F. ↓, Carroso H. ↑,
- 90', Cuello E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Progreso
42.4% | Draw
29.5% | Cerro
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+2%)
Progreso - Cerro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.25) |
3.13 ↓
(3.4) |
3.32 ↑
(3) |
7.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Progreso - Cerro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Progreso (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Progreso will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Progreso will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Cerro?
Progreso has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Progreso?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Cerro were as follows:
06.04.2025
Cerro
-
Progreso
0:0
14.09.2024
Progreso
-
Cerro
0:1
01.03.2024
Cerro
-
Progreso
2:3
10.09.2022
Cerro
-
Progreso
1:1
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | River Plate | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
