Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 27
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (444/521) | 74% (223/302) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (444/521) | 74% (223/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 37% (26/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (111/159) | 58% (35/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (10/43) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Shpendi C. ⚽, Cerri A. (A),
- 41', Cerri A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
- 59', Nasti M. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
- 60', Haas N. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 61', Cerri A. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Fila D. ⚽, Shpendi S. (A),
- 73', Ebuehi T. ↓, Candela A. ↑,
- 77', Bisoli D. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
- 77', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 77', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 83', Ciervo R. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
- 87', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Yepes G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Empoli
37.4% | Draw
30.1% | Cesena
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Empoli - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.33) |
3.12 ↓
(3.2) |
2.89 ↓
(3) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Empoli - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cesena will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 4.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Cesena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Empoli: Elia S.
(Yellow Cards)
Ghion A.
(Inactive)
Magnino L.
(Yellow Cards)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cesena: Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Ebuehi T.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Cesena?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Empoli?
Cesena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Cesena were as follows:
10.01.2026
Cesena
-
Empoli
0:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 64:32 | 32 | 68 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
