Eibar vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar).

LaLiga2 - Round 34
Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.24	0.21
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
6	2
Passes
84% (381/452)	81% (378/467)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.24	0.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.26	0.05
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked shots
4	0
Shots inside the box
9	1
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
23	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free kicks
13	14
Passes
84% (381/452)	81% (378/467)
Long passes
63% (34/54)	32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
68% (71/104)	48% (39/82)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	0.47
Throw ins
19	18
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
67% (6/9)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
34	41
Clearances
15	22
Interceptions
13	8
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.05	2.26
Goals prevented
0.05	0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Lopez P. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Javier Marton (Penalty Awarded),
43', Ares A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Hernandez C. (Own goal),
55', Alvarez S. 🟨,
62', Campana J. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
62', Alvarez S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
62', Javier Marton ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
62', Almenara G. ↓, Zalazar K. ↑,
69', Youness 🟨,
70', 3 - 0, Bautista J. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
72', Corpas J. ↓, Guruzeta J. ↑,
72', Madariaga A. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
75', Kone K. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
76', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
80', Nolaskoain P. ↓, Bernat J. ↑,
80', Illescas M. ↓, Betancourt A. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/euxfzdsc

Chances of winning

Eibar
60.8%

Draw
23.6%

Ceuta
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eibar's performance.

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eibar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Eibar - Ceuta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.79)	3.98 ↑ (3.46)	5.99 ↑ (4.65)	6.4% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Eibar - Ceuta?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Eibar (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 9)
Eibar is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ceuta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Eibar is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Eibar: Moreno M. (Injury) Villa T. (Injury)
There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Jamelli (Ankle Injury) Sanchez S. (Calf Injury)
We predict that Eibar will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eibar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Ceuta?

Eibar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Eibar?

Ceuta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Ceuta were as follows:

03.10.2025 Ceuta - Eibar 1:0

Latest results of Eibar

02.04.2026 Real Sociedad B - Eibar 0:1 ✺

29.03.2026 Eibar - Las Palmas 3:1 ✺

21.03.2026 FC Andorra - Eibar 0:1 ✺

15.03.2026 Eibar - Burgos 0:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Leganés - Eibar 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Ceuta

01.04.2026 Burgos - Ceuta 1:1 ✺

28.03.2026 Ceuta - Cádiz 2:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Leganés - Ceuta 5:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Las Palmas - Ceuta 4:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	37	21	6	10	75:55	20	69
2	Almeria	37	20	7	10	74:56	18	67
3	Dep. La Coruna	37	18	11	8	57:40	17	65
4	Castellon	37	18	10	9	64:46	18	64
5	Las Palmas	37	17	12	8	49:31	18	63
6	Burgos CF	37	17	10	10	44:33	11	61
7	Eibar	37	17	10	10	45:32	13	61
8	Malaga	37	17	9	11	62:47	15	60
9	Andorra	37	15	10	12	56:47	9	55
10	Cordoba	37	15	9	13	52:55	-3	54
11	Gijon	37	15	7	15	50:47	3	52
12	Ceuta	37	14	9	14	44:57	-13	51
13	Albacete	37	12	11	14	48:51	-3	47
14	Granada CF	37	11	12	14	47:49	-2	45
15	Valladolid	37	11	10	16	40:48	-8	43
16	Leganes	37	10	12	15	40:44	-4	42
17	Real Sociedad B	37	11	8	18	46:54	-8	41
18	Cadiz CF	37	10	8	19	34:53	-19	38
19	Huesca	37	9	9	19	37:55	-18	36
20	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	40:60	-20	36
21	Zaragoza	37	8	11	18	33:50	-17	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	37	8	8	21	33:60	-27	32

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