Ceuta vs Eibar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
1:0
03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.78
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
82% (417/510)71% (217/306)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.74
Total shots
125
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
82% (417/510)71% (217/306)
Long passes
31% (14/45)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
75% (145/194)51% (35/68)
Crosses
28% (7/25)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.67
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1310
Tackles
59% (10/17)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6460
Clearances
1839
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.740.98
Goals prevented
0.74-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Buta L. 🟥,
  • 30', Ares A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
  • 43', Anuar 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Youness ⚽, Zalazar K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
  • 46', Garrido A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
  • 71', Anuar ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
  • 78', Zalazar K. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
  • 78', Kone K. ↓, Escudero A. ↑,
  • 79', Cubero S. ↓, Guruzeta J. ↑,
  • 81', Corpas J. 🟨,
  • 84', Corpas J. ↓, Arbilla A. ↑,
  • 88', Jamelli 🟨,
  • 89', Jamelli ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
  • 90', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
  • 90+2', de la Fuente K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Sanchez S. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc4mkeh9

Chances of winning


Ceuta
37.6%		Draw
32.8%		Eibar
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 29.9% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 29.7% 38.7%

Ceuta - Eibar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.67 ↓
(2.93)		 3.06 ↓
(3.1)		 3.59 ↑
(2.42)		 -2.1%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Eibar?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Eibar will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 15.4% – 84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Eibar (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Ortuno J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Eibar: Arambarri A. (Hamstring Injury) Madariaga A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    28.09.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Ceuta - Zaragoza 1:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3 ✺
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1 ✺
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Eibar
    27.09.2025 Eibar - Deportivo La Coruña 1:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Eibar - Real Sociedad B 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0 ✺
    08.09.2025 Eibar - FC Andorra 2:0 ✺
    01.09.2025 Huesca - Eibar 2:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander24135650:331744
    2Castellon24126638:251342
    3Dep. La Coruna24117638:261240
    4Almeria24116745:351039
    5Las Palmas24109529:20939
    6Malaga24115836:28838
    7Cordoba24108632:27538
    8Burgos CF24115828:24438
    9Gijon241131033:32136
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2497826:27-134
    12Albacete2496930:34-433
    13Eibar2487925:26-131
    14Leganes2478926:25129
    15Granada CF24611726:28-229
    16Andorra2478926:33-729
    17Valladolid24771025:27-228
    18Huesca24761122:32-1027
    19Real Sociedad B24671130:34-425
    20Cultural Leonesa24741325:38-1325
    21Zaragoza24571221:37-1622
    22Mirandes24551425:41-1620

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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