Ceuta vs Eibar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.78
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
82% (417/510)71% (217/306)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.74
Total shots
125
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
82% (417/510)71% (217/306)
Long passes
31% (14/45)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
75% (145/194)51% (35/68)
Crosses
28% (7/25)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.67
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1310
Tackles
59% (10/17)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6460
Clearances
1839
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.740.98
Goals prevented
0.74-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Buta L. 🟥,
  • 30', Ares A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 43', Anuar 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Youness , Zalazar K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. , Javier Marton ,
  • 46', Garrido A. , Martinez J. ,
  • 71', Anuar , Sanchez S. ,
  • 78', Zalazar K. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 78', Kone K. , Escudero A. ,
  • 79', Cubero S. , Guruzeta J. ,
  • 81', Corpas J. 🟨,
  • 84', Corpas J. , Arbilla A. ,
  • 88', Jamelli 🟨,
  • 89', Jamelli , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 90', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Obeng S. ,
  • 90+2', de la Fuente K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Sanchez S. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc4mkeh9

Chances of winning


Ceuta
37.6%
Draw
32.8%
Eibar
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 29.9% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 29.7% 38.7%

Ceuta - Eibar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.67
(2.93)
3.06
(3.1)
3.59
(2.42)
-2.1%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Eibar?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Eibar will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Ortuno J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Eibar: Arambarri A. (Hamstring Injury) Madariaga A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    28.09.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:0
    21.09.2025 Ceuta - Zaragoza 1:0
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1
    Latest results of Eibar
    21.09.2025 Eibar - Real Sociedad B 2:1
    13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0
    08.09.2025 Eibar - FC Andorra 2:0
    01.09.2025 Huesca - Eibar 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander21115545:311438
    2Las Palmas21108326:131338
    3Almeria21106540:301036
    4Castellon21105634:25935
    5Dep. La Coruna2197535:241134
    6Cadiz CF2197525:23234
    7Malaga2195731:26532
    8Burgos CF2195725:20532
    9Cordoba2188527:24332
    10Ceuta2195725:26-132
    11Gijon2193926:29-330
    12Leganes2168723:21226
    13Valladolid2167821:23-225
    14Andorra2167823:29-625
    15Cultural Leonesa21741022:30-825
    16Eibar2166923:26-324
    17Albacete2166926:34-824
    18Real Sociedad B21651028:30-223
    19Huesca21651020:30-1023
    20Granada CF21410723:27-422
    21Zaragoza21551120:34-1420
    22Mirandes21451222:35-1317

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation