Result
1:0
03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | beIN Sports 1 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (417/510) | 71% (217/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (417/510) | 71% (217/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (14/45) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (145/194) | 51% (35/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.74 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Buta L. 🟥,
- 30', Ares A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 43', Anuar 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Youness ⚽, Zalazar K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
- 46', Garrido A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 71', Anuar ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
- 78', Zalazar K. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
- 78', Kone K. ↓, Escudero A. ↑,
- 79', Cubero S. ↓, Guruzeta J. ↑,
- 81', Corpas J. 🟨,
- 84', Corpas J. ↓, Arbilla A. ↑,
- 88', Jamelli 🟨,
- 89', Jamelli ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 90', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
- 90+2', de la Fuente K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sanchez S. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yc4mkeh9
Chances of winning
Ceuta
37.6% | Draw
32.8% | Eibar
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eibar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eibar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceuta - Eibar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(2.93) |
3.06 ↓
(3.1) |
3.59 ↑
(2.42) |
-2.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Eibar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Eibar will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Eibar (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Ortuno J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Eibar: Arambarri A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Madariaga A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M.
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Eibar?
Ceuta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Ceuta?
Eibar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Eibar were as follows:
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 2 | Castellon | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 45:26 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 52:39 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | Malaga | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cordoba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Gijon | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Burgos CF | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | Eibar | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Cadiz CF | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 34 |
| 14 | Albacete | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Leganes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 32 |
| 17 | Andorra | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 30 |
| 19 | Valladolid | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
