Eibar vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 34
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.240.21
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
61
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
62
Passes
84% (381/452)81% (378/467)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.240.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.05
Total shots
136
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
91
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free kicks
1314
Passes
84% (381/452)81% (378/467)
Long passes
63% (34/54)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
68% (71/104)48% (39/82)
Crosses
18% (3/17)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.47
Throw ins
1918
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (6/9)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3441
Clearances
1522
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.052.26
Goals prevented
0.050.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Lopez P. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Javier Marton (Penalty Awarded),
  • 43', Ares A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Hernandez C. (Own goal),
  • 55', Alvarez S. 🟨,
  • 62', Campana J. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 62', Alvarez S. , Martinez J. ,
  • 62', Javier Marton , Garrido A. ,
  • 62', Almenara G. , Zalazar K. ,
  • 69', Youness 🟨,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Bautista J. , Martinez J. (A),
  • 72', Corpas J. , Guruzeta J. ,
  • 72', Madariaga A. , Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ,
  • 75', Kone K. , Bassinga A. ,
  • 76', Youness , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 80', Nolaskoain P. , Bernat J. ,
  • 80', Illescas M. , Betancourt A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/euxfzdsc

Chances of winning


Eibar
60.8%
Draw
23.6%
Ceuta
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27.2% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 26.4% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eibar's performance.
  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eibar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Eibar - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.79)
    3.98
    (3.46)
    5.99
    (4.65)
    6.4%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Eibar - Ceuta?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Eibar (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Eibar will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Eibar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 9)
    • Eibar is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ceuta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Eibar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Eibar: Moreno M. (Injury) Villa T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Jamelli (Ankle Injury) Sanchez S. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Eibar will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eibar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eibar - Ceuta were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Ceuta - Eibar 1:0
    Latest results of Eibar
    02.04.2026 Real Sociedad B - Eibar 0:1
    29.03.2026 Eibar - Las Palmas 3:1
    21.03.2026 FC Andorra - Eibar 0:1
    15.03.2026 Eibar - Burgos 0:0
    08.03.2026 Leganés - Eibar 0:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    01.04.2026 Burgos - Ceuta 1:1
    28.03.2026 Ceuta - Cádiz 2:1
    21.03.2026 Leganés - Ceuta 5:2
    08.03.2026 Las Palmas - Ceuta 4:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander341951067:531462
    2Almeria34187966:471961
    3Dep. La Coruna34179852:371560
    4Las Palmas341512745:281757
    5Castellon34169956:411557
    6Malaga34169956:411557
    7Burgos CF34169941:291257
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Gijon341471345:43249
    10Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    11Andorra3412101250:47346
    12Cordoba341291346:52-645
    13Albacete3411111243:45-244
    14Granada CF3410121243:41242
    15Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    16Leganes349121338:37139
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF341081633:47-1438
    19Zaragoza348101631:46-1534
    20Huesca34881834:52-1832
    21Mirandes34881835:54-1932
    22Cultural Leonesa34881831:55-2432

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