New York Red Bulls vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal
Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.36
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
77% (304/393)77% (305/396)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.48
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
813
Passes
77% (304/393)77% (305/396)
Long passes
33% (20/60)38% (25/65)
Passes in final third
58% (57/99)66% (81/123)
Crosses
15% (2/13)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.35
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
138
Tackles
81% (17/21)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5855
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
0.481.88
Goals prevented
0.480.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Eile N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Owusu P. , Graham-Roache O. ,
  • 46', Piette S. , Saliba N. ,
  • 55', Saliba N. 🟨,
  • 58', Guboglo Y. , Pearce T. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Eile N. , Valencia O. (A),
  • 71', Clark C. , Yankov D. ,
  • 78', Harper C. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 78', Loturi V. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 83', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 83', Forsberg E. , Parker T. ,
  • 85', Valencia O. 🟨,
  • 87', Ngoma S. 🟨,
  • 88', Carballo F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Carmona W. , Edwards R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
53.7%
Draw
26%
CF Montréal
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 23.8% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.6% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.59)
    3.66
    (4)
    4.65
    (5.9)
    5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 59.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Montreal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D. (Hamstring Injury) Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Neal J. (Chest Injury) Vrioni G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Vilsaint J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:29 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:12 (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal were as follows:
    17.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal 1:0
    19.06.2024 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 2:2
    20.05.2023 New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal 2:1
    22.04.2023 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 2:0
    31.08.2022 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

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