New York Red Bulls vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal
Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.36
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
77% (304/393)77% (305/396)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.48
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
813
Passes
77% (304/393)77% (305/396)
Long passes
33% (20/60)38% (25/65)
Passes in final third
58% (57/99)66% (81/123)
Crosses
15% (2/13)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.35
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
138
Tackles
81% (17/21)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5855
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
0.481.88
Goals prevented
0.480.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Eile N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Owusu P. ↓, Graham-Roache O. ↑,
  • 46', Piette S. ↓, Saliba N. ↑,
  • 55', Saliba N. 🟨,
  • 58', Guboglo Y. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Eile N. ⚽, Valencia O. (A),
  • 71', Clark C. ↓, Yankov D. ↑,
  • 78', Harper C. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
  • 78', Loturi V. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
  • 83', Choupo-Moting E. M. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
  • 83', Forsberg E. ↓, Parker T. ↑,
  • 85', Valencia O. 🟨,
  • 87', Ngoma S. 🟨,
  • 88', Carballo F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Carmona W. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
53.7%		Draw
26%		CF Montréal
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 23.8% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.6% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
    •

    New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.78 ↑
    (1.59)    		 3.66 ↓
    (4)    		 4.65 ↓
    (5.9)    		 5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 59.8% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5, 1st Half - NY Red Bulls (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Montreal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D. (Hamstring Injury) Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Neal J. (Chest Injury) Vrioni G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Vilsaint J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:29 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:12 (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal were as follows:
    17.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal 1:0
    19.06.2024 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 2:2
    20.05.2023 New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal 2:1
    22.04.2023 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 2:0
    31.08.2022 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    19.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - DC United 1:2
    12.04.2025 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    19.04.2025 CF Montréal - Orlando City 0:0
    12.04.2025 CF Montréal - Charlotte 0:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Columbus Crew - CF Montréal 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Chicago Fire - CF Montréal 1:1 ✺
    22.03.2025 Nashville SC - CF Montréal 3:0 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo29891238:47-933
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas287101140:48-831
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City29571734:51-1722
    15Los Angeles Galaxy28481633:56-2320


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9Chicago Fire281261053:50342
    10New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    11New England Revolution29871438:43-531
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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