Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.94 | 0.36 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
77% (304/393) | 77% (305/396) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.94 | 0.36 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.88 | 0.48 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
77% (304/393) | 77% (305/396) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (20/60) | 38% (25/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (57/99) | 66% (81/123) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (2/13) | 47% (7/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.55 | 1.35 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (17/21) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.48 | 1.88 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.48 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Eile N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Owusu P. ↓, Graham-Roache O. ↑,
- 46', Piette S. ↓, Saliba N. ↑,
- 55', Saliba N. 🟨,
- 58', Guboglo Y. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Eile N. ⚽, Valencia O. (A),
- 71', Clark C. ↓, Yankov D. ↑,
- 78', Harper C. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
- 78', Loturi V. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 83', Choupo-Moting E. M. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
- 83', Forsberg E. ↓, Parker T. ↑,
- 85', Valencia O. 🟨,
- 87', Ngoma S. 🟨,
- 88', Carballo F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Carmona W. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
Chances of winning
New York Red Bulls 53.7% | Draw 26% | CF Montréal 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↑ (1.59) |
3.66 ↓ (4) |
4.65 ↓ (5.9) |
5% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 59.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 2.
- Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Montreal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mitchell R.
(Knee Injury)
Morales M.
(Knee Injury)
Morgan L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Montreal: Neal J.
(Chest Injury)
Vrioni G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Montreal: Vilsaint J.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27:29 (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:12 (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against CF Montréal?
New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against New York Red Bulls?
CF Montréal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal were as follows:
17.07.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
CF Montréal
1:0
19.06.2024
CF Montréal
-
New York Red Bulls
2:2
20.05.2023
New York Red Bulls
-
CF Montréal
2:1
22.04.2023
CF Montréal
-
New York Red Bulls
2:0
31.08.2022
CF Montréal
-
New York Red Bulls
0:1
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
Latest results of CF Montréal
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 47:32 | 15 | 43 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
3 | Minnesota United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 41 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
5 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 39:27 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
8 | Austin FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 30 |
9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32:41 | -9 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
2 | Nashville SC | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 41 |
6 | Orlando City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:32 | 11 | 38 |
7 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 35 |
8 | New York City | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 35 |
9 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 4 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 32 |
11 | New England Revolution | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
14 | DC United | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:45 | -25 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20:45 | -25 | 15 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)