Orlando City vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - CF Montréal
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.85
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
51
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
157
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Long passes
48% (13/27)39% (12/31)
Passes in final third
80% (119/148)80% (92/115)
Crosses
44% (4/9)0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.21
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
2118
Tackles
56% (9/16)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5163
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.850.27
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. , Muriel L. (A),
  • 45+4', Waterman J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Clark C. , Escobar O. ,
  • 48', Enrique R. 🟨,
  • 52', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 59', Muriel L. , Angulo I. ,
  • 62', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 63', Synchuk G. , Sealy D. ,
  • 67', Freeman A. 🟨,
  • 72', Piette S. , Herbers F. ,
  • 72', Petrasso L. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 74', Brekalo D. 🟨,
  • 77', Enrique R. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 77', Rafael Santos , Smith K. ,
  • 79', Bugaj D. , Pearce T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Owusu P. (Pen),
  • 88', Araujo C. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 90+3', Sealy D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
67.3%
Draw
18.8%
CF Montréal
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20.4% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 19.7% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Orlando City - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.49)
    5.03
    (4.68)
    6.79
    (6.07)
    5.6%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gallese P. (Yellow Cards) Jansson R. (Yellow Cards) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Herbers F. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - CF Montréal were as follows:
    19.04.2025 CF Montréal - Orlando City 0:0
    26.07.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 4:1
    20.04.2024 CF Montréal - Orlando City 2:2
    24.02.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 0:0
    30.09.2023 Orlando City - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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