Orlando City vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.85
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
51
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
157
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Long passes
48% (13/27)39% (12/31)
Passes in final third
80% (119/148)80% (92/115)
Crosses
44% (4/9)0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.21
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
2118
Tackles
56% (9/16)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5163
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.850.27
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. , Muriel L. (A),
  • 45+4', Waterman J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Clark C. , Escobar O. ,
  • 48', Enrique R. 🟨,
  • 52', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 59', Muriel L. , Angulo I. ,
  • 62', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 63', Synchuk G. , Sealy D. ,
  • 67', Freeman A. 🟨,
  • 72', Piette S. , Herbers F. ,
  • 72', Petrasso L. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 74', Brekalo D. 🟨,
  • 77', Enrique R. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 77', Rafael Santos , Smith K. ,
  • 79', Bugaj D. , Pearce T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Owusu P. (Pen),
  • 88', Araujo C. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 90+3', Sealy D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
67.3%
Draw
18.8%
CF Montréal
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20.4% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 19.7% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Orlando City - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.49)
    5.03
    (4.68)
    6.79
    (6.07)
    5.6%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Montreal (4.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 40%). Montreal (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gallese P. (Yellow Cards) Jansson R. (Yellow Cards) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Herbers F. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - CF Montréal were as follows:
    19.04.2025 CF Montréal - Orlando City 0:0
    26.07.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 4:1
    20.04.2024 CF Montréal - Orlando City 2:2
    24.02.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 0:0
    30.09.2023 Orlando City - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)