Orlando City vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - CF Montréal
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.85
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
51
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
157
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Long passes
48% (13/27)39% (12/31)
Passes in final third
80% (119/148)80% (92/115)
Crosses
44% (4/9)0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.21
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
2118
Tackles
56% (9/16)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5163
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.850.27
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. , Muriel L. (A),
  • 45+4', Waterman J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Clark C. , Escobar O. ,
  • 48', Enrique R. 🟨,
  • 52', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 59', Muriel L. , Angulo I. ,
  • 62', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 63', Synchuk G. , Sealy D. ,
  • 67', Freeman A. 🟨,
  • 72', Piette S. , Herbers F. ,
  • 72', Petrasso L. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 74', Brekalo D. 🟨,
  • 77', Enrique R. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 77', Rafael Santos , Smith K. ,
  • 79', Bugaj D. , Pearce T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Owusu P. (Pen),
  • 88', Araujo C. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 90+3', Sealy D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
67.3%
Draw
18.8%
CF Montréal
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20.4% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 19.7% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Orlando City - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.49)
    5.03
    (4.68)
    6.79
    (6.07)
    5.6%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gallese P. (Yellow Cards) Jansson R. (Yellow Cards) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Herbers F. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - CF Montréal were as follows:
    19.04.2025 CF Montréal - Orlando City 0:0
    26.07.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 4:1
    20.04.2024 CF Montréal - Orlando City 2:2
    24.02.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 0:0
    30.09.2023 Orlando City - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

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