Orlando City vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Orlando City - CF Montréal
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.85
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
51
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
157
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Long passes
48% (13/27)39% (12/31)
Passes in final third
80% (119/148)80% (92/115)
Crosses
44% (4/9)0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.21
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
2118
Tackles
56% (9/16)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5163
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.850.27
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽, Muriel L. (A),
  • 45+4', Waterman J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Clark C. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
  • 48', Enrique R. 🟨,
  • 52', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 59', Muriel L. ↓, Angulo I. ↑,
  • 62', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 63', Synchuk G. ↓, Sealy D. ↑,
  • 67', Freeman A. 🟨,
  • 72', Piette S. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
  • 72', Petrasso L. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
  • 74', Brekalo D. 🟨,
  • 77', Enrique R. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
  • 77', Rafael Santos ↓, Smith K. ↑,
  • 79', Bugaj D. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Owusu P. (Pen),
  • 88', Araujo C. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
  • 90+3', Sealy D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
67.3%		Draw
18.8%		CF Montréal
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20.4% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 19.7% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Orlando City - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↓
    (1.49)    		 5.03 ↑
    (4.68)    		 6.79 ↑
    (6.07)    		 5.6%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 35.2% – 84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gallese P. (Yellow Cards) Jansson R. (Yellow Cards) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Herbers F. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - CF Montréal were as follows:
    19.04.2025 CF Montréal - Orlando City 0:0
    26.07.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 4:1
    20.04.2024 CF Montréal - Orlando City 2:2
    24.02.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 0:0
    30.09.2023 Orlando City - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    05.07.2025 Charlotte - Orlando City 2:2 ✺
    25.06.2025 St. Louis City - Orlando City 2:4 ✺
    14.06.2025 Colorado Rapids - Orlando City 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Orlando City - Chicago Fire 1:3 ✺
    28.05.2025 Atlanta United - Orlando City 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    09.07.2025 CF Montréal - Forge 2:2
    05.07.2025 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:4 ✺
    25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3 ✺
    14.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal 1:3 ✺
    31.05.2025 CF Montréal - New England Revolution 0:3 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    2San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    10San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy