Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (447/495) | 89% (410/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (447/495) | 89% (410/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 39% (12/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (119/148) | 80% (92/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 0% (0/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽, Muriel L. (A),
- 45+4', Waterman J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Clark C. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
- 48', Enrique R. 🟨,
- 52', Schlegel R. 🟨,
- 59', Muriel L. ↓, Angulo I. ↑,
- 62', Owusu P. 🟨,
- 63', Synchuk G. ↓, Sealy D. ↑,
- 67', Freeman A. 🟨,
- 72', Piette S. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
- 72', Petrasso L. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
- 74', Brekalo D. 🟨,
- 77', Enrique R. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 77', Rafael Santos ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 79', Bugaj D. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Owusu P. (Pen),
- 88', Araujo C. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 90+3', Sealy D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orlando City
67.3% | Draw
18.8% | CF Montréal
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Orlando City - CF Montréal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.49) |
5.03 ↑
(4.68) |
6.79 ↑
(6.07) |
5.6%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Orlando City - CF Montréal?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Orlando City is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gallese P.
(Yellow Cards)
Jansson R.
(Yellow Cards)
McGuire D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Montreal: Neal J.
(Ankle Injury)
Vrioni G.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Montreal: Herbers F.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against CF Montréal?
Orlando City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Orlando City?
CF Montréal has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - CF Montréal were as follows:
19.04.2025
CF Montréal
-
Orlando City
0:0
26.07.2024
Orlando City
-
CF Montréal
4:1
20.04.2024
CF Montréal
-
Orlando City
2:2
24.02.2024
Orlando City
-
CF Montréal
0:0
30.09.2023
Orlando City
-
CF Montréal
3:0
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of CF Montréal
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
