Chapecoense vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arena Condá (Chapecó).

Serie B Superbet - Round 30
Referee: Furtado A. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.33
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
82% (304/372)	82% (323/393)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.94	0.10
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
3	11
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
6	11
Shots outside the Box
9	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
14	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
11	18
Passes
82% (304/372)	82% (323/393)
Long passes
46% (39/85)	34% (14/41)
Passes in final third
61% (56/92)	70% (93/132)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	1.16
Throw-ins
29	16
Fouls
18	11
Tackles
67% (6/9)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
43	47
Clearances
22	14
Interceptions
7	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.10	1.94
Goals prevented
0.10	0.94

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Jorge Jimenez 🟨,
25', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
42', Patrick 🟨,
45', Joao Paulo 🟨,
45+3', Rafael Donato 🟨,
45+3', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bruno Jose ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
59', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
59', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Victor Caetano ↑,
59', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Victor Caetano (A),
71', Ruiz O. ↓, Lucca ↑,
71', Mayk ↓, Romulo ↑,
73', David Antunes ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
79', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
79', Waguininho ↓, Airton ↑,
84', Victor Caetano 🟨,
90+3', Rafael Santos 🟨,

Chances of winning

Chapecoense
36.6%

Draw
31.1%

Grêmio Novorizontino
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

30.6%

26.8%

Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.21)	2.98 ↓ (3.25)	2.9 ↓ (3.33)	7.2% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
Chapecoense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Novorizontino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Chapecoense: Bressan (Injury) Bruno Matias (Injury) Everton (Yellow Cards) Mancha (Knee Injury) Victor Caetano (Injury)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Rai Ramos (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Robson (Yellow Cards) Vitinho (Inactive)
There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio (Injury) Giovanni Augusto (Injury) Jorge Jimenez (Injury) Marlon (Inactive) Vinicius Balieiro (Inactive)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Nathan Fogaca (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Chapecoense?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:

06.06.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense 1:0

02.11.2024 Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:2

18.07.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense 1:0

20.08.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense 1:2

06.05.2023 Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:1

Latest results of Chapecoense

29.09.2025 Amazonas - Chapecoense 1:3 ✺

28.09.2025 Chapecoense - Santa Catarina 0:3 ✺

25.09.2025 Chapecoense - Avaí 0:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Cuiabá - Chapecoense 1:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Chapecoense - Brusque 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

28.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club 1:0 ✺

15.09.2025 Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:2 ✺

08.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	38	19	11	8	39:23	16	68
2	Athletico-PR	38	19	8	11	53:43	10	65
3	Chapecoense-SC	38	18	8	12	52:35	17	62
4	Remo	38	16	14	8	51:39	12	62
5	Criciuma	38	17	10	11	47:33	14	61
6	Goias	38	17	10	11	42:37	5	61
7	Novorizontino	38	15	15	8	43:32	11	60
8	CRB	38	16	8	14	45:40	5	56
9	Avai	38	14	14	10	50:40	10	56
10	Cuiaba	38	14	12	12	43:44	-1	54
11	Atletico GO	38	13	13	12	39:38	1	52
12	Operario-PR	38	12	12	14	40:44	-4	48
13	Vila Nova FC	38	11	14	13	40:44	-4	47
14	America MG	38	12	10	16	41:44	-3	46
15	Athletic Club	38	12	8	18	43:53	-10	44
16	Botafogo SP	38	10	12	16	32:52	-20	42
17	Ferroviaria	38	8	16	14	43:52	-9	40
18	Amazonas	38	8	12	18	38:55	-17	36
19	Volta Redonda	38	8	12	18	26:43	-17	36
20	Paysandu PA	38	5	13	20	36:52	-16	28

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )