Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 30
- Referee: Furtado A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (304/372) | 82% (323/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (304/372) | 82% (323/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (39/85) | 34% (14/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (56/92) | 70% (93/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Jorge Jimenez 🟨,
- 25', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 42', Patrick 🟨,
- 45', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 45+3', Rafael Donato 🟨,
- 45+3', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bruno Jose ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
- 59', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 59', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Victor Caetano ↑,
- 59', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Victor Caetano (A),
- 71', Ruiz O. ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 71', Mayk ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 73', David Antunes ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
- 79', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
- 79', Waguininho ↓, Airton ↑,
- 84', Victor Caetano 🟨,
- 90+3', Rafael Santos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
36.6% | Draw
31.1% | Grêmio Novorizontino
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.21) |
2.98 ↓
(3.25) |
2.9 ↓
(3.33) |
7.2%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Novorizontino (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Chapecoense (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Chapecoense (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 2 - 40%). Novorizontino (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
- Chapecoense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Novorizontino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bressan
(Injury)
Bruno Matias
(Injury)
Everton
(Yellow Cards)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Victor Caetano
(Injury)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon
(Inactive)
Rai Ramos
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Robson
(Yellow Cards)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Giovanni Augusto
(Injury)
Jorge Jimenez
(Injury)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Vinicius Balieiro
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas
(Inactive)
Nathan Fogaca
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Chapecoense?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
06.06.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Chapecoense
1:0
02.11.2024
Chapecoense
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:2
18.07.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Chapecoense
1:0
20.08.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Chapecoense
1:2
06.05.2023
Chapecoense
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:1
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
