Chapecoense vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B
Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 30
  • Referee: Furtado A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
82% (304/372)82% (323/393)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.940.10
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1425
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
82% (304/372)82% (323/393)
Long passes
46% (39/85)34% (14/41)
Passes in final third
61% (56/92)70% (93/132)
Crosses
36% (5/14)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.16
Throw-ins
2916
Fouls
1811
Tackles
67% (6/9)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
2214
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.101.94
Goals prevented
0.100.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Jorge Jimenez 🟨,
  • 25', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
  • 42', Patrick 🟨,
  • 45', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 45+3', Rafael Donato 🟨,
  • 45+3', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bruno Jose ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
  • 59', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
  • 59', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Victor Caetano ↑,
  • 59', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Victor Caetano (A),
  • 71', Ruiz O. ↓, Lucca ↑,
  • 71', Mayk ↓, Romulo ↑,
  • 73', David Antunes ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
  • 79', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
  • 79', Waguininho ↓, Airton ↑,
  • 84', Victor Caetano 🟨,
  • 90+3', Rafael Santos 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
36.6%		Draw
31.1%		Grêmio Novorizontino
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 29% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 30.6% 26.8%

Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.56 ↑
(2.21)		 2.98 ↓
(3.25)		 2.9 ↓
(3.33)		 7.2%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
    • Chapecoense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Novorizontino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Bressan (Injury) Bruno Matias (Injury) Everton (Yellow Cards) Mancha (Knee Injury) Victor Caetano (Injury)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Rai Ramos (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Robson (Yellow Cards) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio (Injury) Giovanni Augusto (Injury) Jorge Jimenez (Injury) Marlon (Inactive) Vinicius Balieiro (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Nathan Fogaca (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    06.06.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense 1:0
    02.11.2024 Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:2
    18.07.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense 1:0
    20.08.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense 1:2
    06.05.2023 Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:1
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    29.09.2025 Amazonas - Chapecoense 1:3
    28.09.2025 Chapecoense - Santa Catarina 0:3
    25.09.2025 Chapecoense - Avaí 0:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Cuiabá - Chapecoense 1:0
    17.09.2025 Chapecoense - Brusque 0:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    28.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺
    19.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club 1:0 ✺
    15.09.2025 Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:2 ✺
    08.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense 1:1 ✺
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba361810837:221564
    2Athletico-PR361781150:42859
    3Remo361514747:351259
    4Chapecoense-SC351771150:331758
    5Criciuma3616101045:321358
    6Goias3616101040:34658
    7Novorizontino361415740:31957
    8CRB361581343:37653
    9Avai3613131047:39852
    10Atletico GO3613121139:37251
    11Cuiaba3613111241:43-250
    12Vila Nova FC3611131238:40-246
    13Operario-PR3611111438:43-544
    14America MG351191539:42-342
    15Athletic Club361171841:52-1140
    16Ferroviaria368161241:48-740
    17Botafogo SP359111531:50-1938
    18Amazonas358111635:50-1535
    19Volta Redonda368101823:40-1734
    20Paysandu PA ✔ 365121933:48-1527

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Paysandu PA is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy