Result
1:0
06/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.66 | 0.55 |
Ball Possession |
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46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Passes |
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82% (297/364) | 81% (365/450) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 0.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.50 | 0.24 |
Total shots |
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11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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4 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
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13 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 19 |
Passes |
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82% (297/364) | 81% (365/450) |
Long passes |
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53% (31/58) | 46% (33/71) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (70/100) | 58% (69/119) |
Crosses |
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24% (4/17) | 13% (1/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.59 | 0.64 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 23 |
Fouls |
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19 | 9 |
Tackles |
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77% (10/13) | 91% (10/11) |
Duels won |
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40 | 43 |
Clearances |
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19 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.24 | 1.50 |
Goals prevented |
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0.24 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Rodrigo Soares 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Pablo Dyego ⚽,
- 61', Mailson ↓, Italo ↑,
- 65', Bruno Jose ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 66', Lucca ↓, Pedro Balotelli ↑,
- 71', Patrick 🟨,
- 73', Marlon ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
- 74', Marcinho ↓, Kaique Maciel ↑,
- 79', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
- 81', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 84', Joao Paulo ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
- 85', Bruno Matias ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 86', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 90+3', Airton 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino 57.3% | Draw 26.7% | Chapecoense 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Novorizontino's form might have worsened.Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.44) |
3.5 ↓ (3.95) |
5.91 ↓ (7) |
7.1% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Novorizontino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Leo Tocantins
(Inactive)
Rafael Donato
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Robson
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
Waguininho
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Mario Sergio
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Leo Natel
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Chapecoense?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense were as follows:
02.11.2024
Chapecoense
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:2
18.07.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Chapecoense
1:0
20.08.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Chapecoense
1:2
06.05.2023
Chapecoense
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:1
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )