Atlanta United vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Charlotte
Result
2:3
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.23
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
89% (458/514)86% (386/450)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.23
xG on target (xGOT)
3.262.04
Total shots
198
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
149
Passes
89% (458/514)86% (386/450)
Long passes
63% (25/40)48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
79% (143/180)67% (62/92)
Crosses
32% (11/34)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.050.87
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
914
Tackles
70% (7/10)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3823
Clearances
2333
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.043.26
Goals prevented
-0.961.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Muyumba T. , Slisz B. (A),
  • 35', Biel P. 🟨,
  • 41', Hernandez R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Morales E. , Amador P. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Toklomati I. , Calderon Vargas K. A. (A),
  • 59', 1 - 2, Zaha W. , Biel P. (A),
  • 72', Brennan L. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 72', Muyumba T. , Thiare J. ,
  • 73', Tuiloma B. , Doumbia S. ,
  • 76', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Smalls T. ,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Biel P. , Zaha W. (A),
  • 84', Miranchuk Al. , Reilly W. ,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Latte Lath E. , Almiron M. (A),
  • 90+2', Zaha W. , Williamson E. ,

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
41.9%
Draw
25%
Charlotte
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 26.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 27.2% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Atlanta United - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.2)
    3.82
    (3.55)
    2.85
    (3.19)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Charlotte will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Atlanta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Charlotte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
    • Atlanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Byrne N. (Neck Injury) Doumbia S. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Charlotte were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Charlotte - Atlanta United 2:0
    31.08.2024 Charlotte - Atlanta United 0:1
    02.06.2024 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3
    13.05.2023 Atlanta United - Charlotte 1:3
    11.03.2023 Charlotte - Atlanta United 0:3
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Charlotte
    MLS Table
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