Result
2:3
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (458/514) | 86% (386/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (458/514) | 86% (386/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (25/40) | 48% (31/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (143/180) | 67% (62/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (11/34) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 3.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Muyumba T. ⚽, Slisz B. (A),
- 35', Biel P. 🟨,
- 41', Hernandez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Morales E. ↓, Amador P. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Toklomati I. ⚽, Calderon Vargas K. A. (A),
- 59', 1 - 2, Zaha W. ⚽, Biel P. (A),
- 72', Brennan L. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
- 72', Muyumba T. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 73', Tuiloma B. ↓, Doumbia S. ↑,
- 76', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Smalls T. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Biel P. ⚽, Zaha W. (A),
- 84', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Reilly W. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, Latte Lath E. ⚽, Almiron M. (A),
- 90+2', Zaha W. ↓, Williamson E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
41.9% | Draw
25% | Charlotte
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Atlanta United - Charlotte Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.2) |
3.82 ↑
(3.55) |
2.85 ↓
(3.19) |
5.5%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Charlotte?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Charlotte will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Atlanta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Charlotte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
- Atlanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Fortune A.
(Foot Injury)
Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Charlotte: Byrne N.
(Neck Injury)
Doumbia S.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Charlotte?
Atlanta United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte won against Atlanta United?
Charlotte has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Charlotte were as follows:
01.03.2025
Charlotte
-
Atlanta United
2:0
31.08.2024
Charlotte
-
Atlanta United
0:1
02.06.2024
Atlanta United
-
Charlotte
2:3
13.05.2023
Atlanta United
-
Charlotte
1:3
11.03.2023
Charlotte
-
Atlanta United
0:3
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Charlotte
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51:33 | 18 | 54 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 54:31 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:40 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 40:49 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:55 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 33 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 45:61 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:51 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 35:58 | -23 | 21 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 55 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 50:35 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 48:43 | 5 | 49 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55:41 | 14 | 48 |
| 7 | New York City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter Miami | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54:43 | 11 | 46 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54:53 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 36:54 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:55 | -28 | 25 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 29:53 | -24 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
