Chattanooga vs Carolina Core – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.65
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (292/347)84% (302/359)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.40
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
84% (292/347)84% (302/359)
Long passes
58% (30/52)61% (46/75)
Passes in final third
69% (76/110)66% (55/83)
Crosses
7% (1/15)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.52
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1110
Tackles
72% (13/18)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4329
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.400.09
Goals prevented
0.400.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Chica D. 🟨,
  • 35', Koehler N. 🟨,
  • 44', Garvanian M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Koehler N. , Brown L. ,
  • 59', Ibarra J. , Sumo A. ,
  • 59', Miller A. , Evans J. ,
  • 60', Husakiwsky L. , Mendonca N. ,
  • 61', Mangarov D. , Ancelin K. ,
  • 62', Thomas K. 🟨,
  • 72', Pineda T. , Nzingo G. ,
  • 76', Garcia A. , Thomas C. ,
  • 86', Leonardi P. , Cuevas D. ,
  • 86', Juarez J. , Scarlett Z. ,
  • 88', Turner G. , Naglestad M. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 1, Evans J. (Pen),
  • 2, Naglestad M. (Pen),
  • 2, Sutton A. (Pen),
  • 3, Garvanian M. (Pen),
  • 3, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
  • 4, Cohen Y. (Pen),
  • 4, Thomas K. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 5, Nzingo G. (Pen),
  • 6, Mendonca N. (Pen),
  • 6, Sumo A. (Pen),
  • 7, Brown L. (Pen),
  • 7, Scarlett Z. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
40%
Draw
26.7%
Carolina Core
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 25.9% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 26% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Chattanooga - Carolina Core Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.34)
    3.48
    (3.5)
    2.78
    (2.58)
    8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Chattanooga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Carolina Core has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Carolina Core were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 0:1
    13.04.2025 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 1:4
    17.07.2024 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 2:1
    22.06.2024 Chattanooga - Carolina Core 1:2
    27.04.2024 Chattanooga - Carolina Core 2:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)