Chattanooga vs Carolina Core – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.65
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (292/347)84% (302/359)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.40
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
84% (292/347)84% (302/359)
Long passes
58% (30/52)61% (46/75)
Passes in final third
69% (76/110)66% (55/83)
Crosses
7% (1/15)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.52
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1110
Tackles
72% (13/18)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4329
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.400.09
Goals prevented
0.400.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Chica D. 🟨,
  • 35', Koehler N. 🟨,
  • 44', Garvanian M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Koehler N. , Brown L. ,
  • 59', Ibarra J. , Sumo A. ,
  • 59', Miller A. , Evans J. ,
  • 60', Husakiwsky L. , Mendonca N. ,
  • 61', Mangarov D. , Ancelin K. ,
  • 62', Thomas K. 🟨,
  • 72', Pineda T. , Nzingo G. ,
  • 76', Garcia A. , Thomas C. ,
  • 86', Leonardi P. , Cuevas D. ,
  • 86', Juarez J. , Scarlett Z. ,
  • 88', Turner G. , Naglestad M. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 1, Evans J. (Pen),
  • 2, Naglestad M. (Pen),
  • 2, Sutton A. (Pen),
  • 3, Garvanian M. (Pen),
  • 3, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
  • 4, Cohen Y. (Pen),
  • 4, Thomas K. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 5, Nzingo G. (Pen),
  • 6, Mendonca N. (Pen),
  • 6, Sumo A. (Pen),
  • 7, Brown L. (Pen),
  • 7, Scarlett Z. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
40%
Draw
26.7%
Carolina Core
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 25.9% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 26% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Chattanooga - Carolina Core Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.34)
    3.48
    (3.5)
    2.78
    (2.58)
    8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Chattanooga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Carolina Core has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Carolina Core were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 0:1
    13.04.2025 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 1:4
    17.07.2024 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 2:1
    22.06.2024 Chattanooga - Carolina Core 1:2
    27.04.2024 Chattanooga - Carolina Core 2:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)