Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ).

: FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Final
Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	0.53
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
81% (243/301)	90% (542/599)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.93	1.38
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
15	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
12	15
Passes
81% (243/301)	90% (542/599)
Long passes
43% (20/47)	57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
69% (61/88)	76% (102/135)
Crosses
0% (0/8)	13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	1.04
Throw-ins
16	19
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
38% (5/13)	30% (7/23)
Duels won
34	46
Clearances
16	8
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
1.38	2.93
Goals prevented
1.38	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Palmer C. ⚽, Gusto M. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Palmer C. ⚽, Colwill L. (A),
34', Neto P. 🟨,
36', Caicedo M. 🟨,
40', Gusto M. 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Palmer C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
61', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
67', Joao Pedro ↓, Delap L. ↑,
73', Hakimi A. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
73', Doue D. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
73', Ruiz F. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
77', James R. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
78', Neto P. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
82', Colwill L. 🟨,
85', Neves J. 🟥,
87', Dembele O. 🟨,
90+4', Mendes N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Chelsea
19%

Draw
24.3%

Paris Saint-Germain
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

21.9%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.5%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↓ (5.13)	3.95 ↓ (4.36)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)	4.1% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 17 - 100%).

AH +1 - PSG (votes: 14 - 93.3%).

AH +1.5 - PSG (votes: 7 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

DC - Chelsea (votes: 3 - 100%).

AH +1.25 - PSG (votes: 4 - 100%).

AH +0.75 - PSG (votes: 5 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (112 of 137 users predict this - 81.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.28% – 88.22%. The data is statistically significant.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 0.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Chelsea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.
In this match, PSG is the team to beat.
There will not play in Chelsea: Castledine L. (Back Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Gittens J. (Inactive) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
There will not play in PSG: Hernandez L. (Red Card) Mukiele N. (Muscle Injury) Pacho W. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Chelsea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Chelsea?

Paris Saint-Germain has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:

Latest results of Chelsea

08.07.2025 Fluminense - Chelsea 0:2 ✺

04.07.2025 Palmeiras - Chelsea 1:2 ✺

24.06.2025 Espérance ST - Chelsea 0:3 ✺

20.06.2025 Flamengo - Chelsea 3:1 ✺

16.06.2025 Chelsea - Los Angeles 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

09.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 4:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 2:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami 4:0 ✺

23.06.2025 Seattle Sounders - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺

19.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Inter (E1)	Fluminense (F2)	0 : 2
2	Manchester City (G1)	Al Hilal (H2)	3 : 4
3	Palmeiras (A1)	Botafogo RJ (B2)	1 : 0
4	Benfica (C1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 4
5	PSG (B1)	Inter Miami (A2)	4 : 0
6	Flamengo RJ (D1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 4
7	Real Madrid (H1)	Juventus (G2)	1 : 0
8	Dortmund (F1)	Monterrey (E2)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Al Hilal (H2)	2 : 1
2	Palmeiras (A1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 2
3	PSG (B1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 0
4	Real Madrid (H1)	Dortmund (F1)	3 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Chelsea (D2)	0 : 2
2	PSG (B1)	Real Madrid (H1)	4 : 0

Final

1

Chelsea (D2)

PSG (B1)

3 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Ariana, Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	MBC 1, MBC Action
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN, SAT1
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	BNT News App, DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BNT 1, DAZN, Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Cape-verde	TCV Internacional
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	CCTV-5, Migu
Colombia	DAZN, Win play, Win Sports
Comoros	ORTC
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	DAZN
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
Egypt	MBC Masr 2
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, Molotov TV, New World TV, TF 1, TF1+
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, SAT1
Greece	ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece, DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV, Telecadena 7 y 4
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN, M4 Sport
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Iran	Persiana Sports
Ireland	Shabake 3
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 PLUS Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Canale 5, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN, Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Canal 5, DAZN App, DAZN, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania, TV Miramar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Niger	ORTN, Tele Sahel
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, SNT, Telefuturo, Tigo Sports+
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App, TVI Player, TVI
Romania	DAZN, Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, STC TV
Serbia	DAZN
Seyshelles	SBC 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus, TeleCinco
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, SAT1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Tanzania	TV3 Tanzania
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1
Uganda	Sanyuka TV
Ukraine	DAZN, MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN, MBC 5
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA, Fubo Sports Network, TBS, truTV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Uzbekistan	DAZN, Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	DAZN App, Sport 24