Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
3:0
13/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.53
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
81% (243/301)90% (542/599)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.931.38
Total shots
108
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1516
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
81% (243/301)90% (542/599)
Long passes
43% (20/47)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
69% (61/88)76% (102/135)
Crosses
0% (0/8)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.04
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1512
Tackles
38% (5/13)30% (7/23)
Duels won
3446
Clearances
168
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.382.93
Goals prevented
1.38-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Palmer C. ⚽, Gusto M. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Palmer C. ⚽, Colwill L. (A),
  • 34', Neto P. 🟨,
  • 36', Caicedo M. 🟨,
  • 40', Gusto M. 🟨,
  • 43', 3 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Palmer C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
  • 61', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
  • 67', Joao Pedro ↓, Delap L. ↑,
  • 73', Hakimi A. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 73', Doue D. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
  • 73', Ruiz F. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
  • 77', James R. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
  • 78', Neto P. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
  • 82', Colwill L. 🟨,
  • 85', Neves J. 🟥,
  • 87', Dembele O. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mendes N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
19%		Draw
24.3%		Paris Saint-Germain
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 21.9% 59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 21.5% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
    •

    Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.04 ↓
    (5.13)    		 3.95 ↓
    (4.36)    		 1.7 ↑
    (1.61)    		 4.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 17 - 100%).
    • AH +1 - PSG (votes: 14 - 93.3%).
    • AH +1.5 - PSG (votes: 7 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DC - Chelsea (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +1.25 - PSG (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH +0.75 - PSG (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (112 of 137 users predict this - 81.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.28% – 88.22%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Chelsea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, PSG is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Castledine L. (Back Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Gittens J. (Inactive) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in PSG: Hernandez L. (Red Card) Mukiele N. (Muscle Injury) Pacho W. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    Latest results of Chelsea
    08.07.2025 Fluminense - Chelsea 0:2 ✺
    04.07.2025 Palmeiras - Chelsea 1:2 ✺
    24.06.2025 Espérance ST - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    20.06.2025 Flamengo - Chelsea 3:1 ✺
    16.06.2025 Chelsea - Los Angeles 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    09.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 4:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 2:0 ✺
    29.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami 4:0 ✺
    23.06.2025 Seattle Sounders - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺
    19.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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