Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 42
- Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (223/336) | 61% (184/301) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (223/336) | 61% (184/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (38/89) | 23% (16/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (49/105) | 48% (57/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Kaikai S. ⚽, Jobe M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Ball D. 🟨,
- 61', Stevenson B. ↓, Young L. ↑,
- 68', Davison J. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
- 69', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 73', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 73', Knight B. ↓, Hoddle G. ↑,
- 84', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
- 84', Ashfield H. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
- 86', Mayor A. ↓, Morrison M. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Eastwood J. (Own goal),
- 90+3', Mpanzu P. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town
16.8% | Draw
25.8% | Cambridge United
57.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambridge United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.44 ↑
(3.96) |
3.65 ↑
(3.4) |
1.63 ↓
(1.83) |
7.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cambridge United will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cambridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cambridge is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Harmon G.
(Inactive)
King T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Injury)
Kouassi K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Cambridge United?
Cheltenham Town has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Cheltenham Town?
Cambridge United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United were as follows:
02.08.2025
Cambridge United
-
Cheltenham Town
1:0
10.12.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Cambridge United
2:1
10.02.2024
Cambridge United
-
Cheltenham Town
0:1
21.10.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Cambridge United
1:0
14.02.2023
Cambridge United
-
Cheltenham Town
1:2
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Cambridge United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
