Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.061.12
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
51
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
95
Passes
81% (379/467)71% (237/332)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.061.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.86
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
86
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
126
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
128
Passes
81% (379/467)71% (237/332)
Long passes
54% (43/80)35% (24/69)
Passes in final third
69% (87/126)51% (53/104)
Crosses
19% (5/26)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.97
Throw ins
2315
Fouls
812
Tackles
63% (12/19)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6356
Clearances
2838
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
04
xGOT faced
0.861.96
Goals prevented
-0.140.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Bickerstaff J. (A),
  • 50', 1 - 1, Heffernan C. , Smith R. (A),
  • 65', Ashfield H. , Young L. ,
  • 68', Deeming C. , Broom R. ,
  • 68', Smith R. , Duke-McKenna S. ,
  • 74', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
  • 82', Miller G. , Davison J. ,
  • 86', Headman C. , Faulkner B. ,
  • 86', Acquah E. , Bennett M. ,
  • 90+2', Young L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Harrogate Town
38.2%
Draw
28.8%
Cheltenham Town
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 27.8% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 27.3% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.5)
    3.25
    (3.25)
    2.83
    (2.5)
    6.7%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 4%71%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Harrogate (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cheltenham Town will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Bradbury T. (Injury) Cass L. (Inactive) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury) McCoulsky S. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: King T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town 1:1
    17.01.2025 Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0
    07.09.2024 Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town 1:0
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League