Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.061.12
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
51
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
95
Passes
81% (379/467)71% (237/332)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.061.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.86
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
86
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
126
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
128
Passes
81% (379/467)71% (237/332)
Long passes
54% (43/80)35% (24/69)
Passes in final third
69% (87/126)51% (53/104)
Crosses
19% (5/26)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.97
Throw ins
2315
Fouls
812
Tackles
63% (12/19)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6356
Clearances
2838
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
04
xGOT faced
0.861.96
Goals prevented
-0.140.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Bickerstaff J. (A),
  • 50', 1 - 1, Heffernan C. , Smith R. (A),
  • 65', Ashfield H. , Young L. ,
  • 68', Deeming C. , Broom R. ,
  • 68', Smith R. , Duke-McKenna S. ,
  • 74', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
  • 82', Miller G. , Davison J. ,
  • 86', Headman C. , Faulkner B. ,
  • 86', Acquah E. , Bennett M. ,
  • 90+2', Young L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Harrogate Town
38.2%
Draw
28.8%
Cheltenham Town
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 27.8% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 27.3% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.5)
    3.25
    (3.25)
    2.83
    (2.5)
    6.7%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 4%71%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Harrogate (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cheltenham Town will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Bradbury T. (Injury) Cass L. (Inactive) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury) McCoulsky S. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: King T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town 1:1
    17.01.2025 Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0
    07.09.2024 Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town 1:0
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League