Morecambe vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe).

League Two - Round 40
Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.53
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
56% (156/278)	57% (139/244)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.06	0.06
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
9	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
22	20
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
19	10
Passes
56% (156/278)	57% (139/244)
Long passes
34% (29/86)	29% (23/80)
Passes in final third
50% (71/142)	50% (49/98)
Crosses
20% (5/25)	20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	1.04
Fouls
10	19
Tackles
54% (7/13)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
73	70
Clearances Total
46	47
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.06	2.06
Goals prevented
0.06	0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
64', Miller G. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
66', Dallas A. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Garner G. ⚽, Burgoyne H. (A),
72', Bakare I. 🟨,
73', Bradbury T. ↓, Adedokun V. ↑,
73', Archer E. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Angol L. ⚽,
81', Lewis P. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
83', Taylor M. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
83', Thomas J. ↓, Haynes R. ↑,
88', Hope H. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
88', Jones C. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Morecambe
40.3%

Draw
29.2%

Cheltenham Town
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25.6%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morecambe - Cheltenham Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.63)	3.22 ↓ (3.55)	3.09 ↑ (2.43)	6.1% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Morecambe - Cheltenham Town?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
Recent matches Morecambe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cheltenham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R. (Inactive) Power D. (Hamstring Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19:29 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Cheltenham Town?

Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Morecambe?

Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Cheltenham Town were as follows:

14.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Morecambe 2:0

07.01.2023 Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 2:1

25.10.2022 Cheltenham Town - Morecambe 1:0

Latest results of Morecambe

29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

28.03.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town 3:3 ✺

11.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League