Morecambe vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Morecambe - Cheltenham Town
Result
2:0
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.53
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
56% (156/278)57% (139/244)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.060.06
Total shots
178
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2220
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
56% (156/278)57% (139/244)
Long passes
34% (29/86)29% (23/80)
Passes in final third
50% (71/142)50% (49/98)
Crosses
20% (5/25)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.04
Fouls
1019
Tackles
54% (7/13)60% (12/20)
Duels won
7370
Clearances Total
4647
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.062.06
Goals prevented
0.060.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
  • 64', Miller G. , Hay A. ,
  • 66', Dallas A. , Garner G. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Garner G. , Burgoyne H. (A),
  • 72', Bakare I. 🟨,
  • 73', Bradbury T. , Adedokun V. ,
  • 73', Archer E. , Dulson L. ,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Angol L. ,
  • 81', Lewis P. , Songo'o Y. ,
  • 83', Taylor M. , Williams E. ,
  • 83', Thomas J. , Haynes R. ,
  • 88', Hope H. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 88', Jones C. , Cooke C. ,

Chances of winning


Morecambe
40.3%
Draw
29.2%
Cheltenham Town
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 26.3% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 25.6% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Morecambe - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.63)
    3.22
    (3.55)
    3.09
    (2.43)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Morecambe - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
    • Recent matches Morecambe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cheltenham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R. (Inactive) Power D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19:29 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Morecambe 2:0
    07.01.2023 Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 2:1
    25.10.2022 Cheltenham Town - Morecambe 1:0
    Latest results of Morecambe
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    04.03.2025 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League