Cheltenham Town vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 15
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.06
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
80% (302/379)80% (364/454)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.711.01
Total shots
718
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1525
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
80% (302/379)80% (364/454)
Long passes
31% (16/51)36% (23/64)
Passes in final third
60% (52/87)64% (89/138)
Crosses
14% (3/21)45% (10/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.11
Throw-ins
4022
Fouls
1211
Tackles
57% (12/21)71% (20/28)
Duels won
4961
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.011.71
Goals prevented
-0.990.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Jatta A. , Iorpenda T. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 2, Hall T. , Tsaroulla N. (A),
  • 45+1', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 66', 1 - 2, Hutchinson I. ,
  • 67', Iorpenda T. 🟨,
  • 72', Grant C. , Dennis M. ,
  • 76', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 83', Bennetts K. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 87', Bickerstaff J. , Adelakun H. ,
  • 88', Iorpenda T. , Norburn O. ,
  • 90+3', Archer E. , Martin J. ,

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
26.4%
Draw
26.3%
Notts County
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 24.7% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 26% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cheltenham Town - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (3.7)
    3.59
    (3.75)
    1.98
    (1.85)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 30 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 61.6%88.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Notts County (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Notts County (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Notts County (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3.
    • Cheltenham has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Notts County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Notts County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Notts County is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Bennett S. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Inactive) Miller G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K. (Knee Injury) Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Backwell T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 2.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Notts County were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    29.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 3:5
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League