Notts County vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 39
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.661.08
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
73
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
73
Passes
88% (500/565)81% (321/396)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.661.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.86
Total shots
177
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
70
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
112
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
128
Passes
88% (500/565)81% (321/396)
Long passes
43% (16/37)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
82% (118/144)60% (51/85)
Crosses
16% (4/25)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.49
Throw ins
2117
Fouls
812
Tackles
71% (10/14)92% (12/13)
Duels won
5234
Clearances
1732
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.861.67
Goals prevented
-0.14-2.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Davison J. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Jones J. , Palmer M. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 1, Palmer M. , Macari L. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 2, Hutchinson I. , Ashfield H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Macari L. 🟨,
  • 49', Ashfield H. 🟨,
  • 59', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 65', Tangen H. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 65', Tsaroulla N. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 65', Grant C. , Norburn O. ,
  • 66', 3 - 2, Iorpenda T. , Palmer M. (A),
  • 72', 4 - 2, Wilson J. (Own goal),
  • 74', Jones J. , Hall T. ,
  • 75', McDonald R. , Ness L. ,
  • 75', Young L. , Deeming C. ,
  • 75', Davison J. , Miller G. ,
  • 75', Ashfield H. , Broom R. ,
  • 81', Sherring S. 🟥,
  • 85', Thomas J. , Martin J. ,
  • 85', Bickerstaff J. , Nurse G. ,
  • 90+1', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 5 - 2, Hall T. , Bennetts K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
61.3%
Draw
23.3%
Cheltenham Town
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 23.8% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 25.2% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Notts County - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.53)
    4.01
    (3.85)
    6
    (5.75)
    7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Cheltenham Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Notts County is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Dennis M. (Yellow Cards) Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Faal M. (Inactive) Harmon G. (Inactive) King T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Platt M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    10.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 1:2
    21.04.2025 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    29.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 3:5
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League