Notts County vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 39
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.661.08
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
73
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
73
Passes
88% (500/565)81% (321/396)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.661.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.86
Total shots
177
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
70
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
112
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
128
Passes
88% (500/565)81% (321/396)
Long passes
43% (16/37)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
82% (118/144)60% (51/85)
Crosses
16% (4/25)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.49
Throw ins
2117
Fouls
812
Tackles
71% (10/14)92% (12/13)
Duels won
5234
Clearances
1732
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.861.67
Goals prevented
-0.14-2.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Davison J. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Jones J. , Palmer M. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 1, Palmer M. , Macari L. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 2, Hutchinson I. , Ashfield H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Macari L. 🟨,
  • 49', Ashfield H. 🟨,
  • 59', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 65', Tangen H. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 65', Tsaroulla N. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 65', Grant C. , Norburn O. ,
  • 66', 3 - 2, Iorpenda T. , Palmer M. (A),
  • 72', 4 - 2, Wilson J. (Own goal),
  • 74', Jones J. , Hall T. ,
  • 75', McDonald R. , Ness L. ,
  • 75', Young L. , Deeming C. ,
  • 75', Davison J. , Miller G. ,
  • 75', Ashfield H. , Broom R. ,
  • 81', Sherring S. 🟥,
  • 85', Thomas J. , Martin J. ,
  • 85', Bickerstaff J. , Nurse G. ,
  • 90+1', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 5 - 2, Hall T. , Bennetts K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
61.3%
Draw
23.3%
Cheltenham Town
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 23.8% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 25.2% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Notts County - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.53)
    4.01
    (3.85)
    6
    (5.75)
    7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Cheltenham Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Notts County is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Dennis M. (Yellow Cards) Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Faal M. (Inactive) Harmon G. (Inactive) King T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Platt M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    10.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 1:2
    21.04.2025 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    29.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 3:5
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League