Notts County vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 44
Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.21	0.82
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
24	8
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	6
Passes
77% (321/416)	63% (161/255)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21	0.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.52	1.42
Total shots
24	8
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
11	4
Blocked Shots
8	1
Shots inside the Box
15	5
Shots outside the Box
9	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
30	16
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
9	16
Passes
77% (321/416)	63% (161/255)
Long passes
31% (22/72)	30% (21/70)
Passes in final third
54% (58/107)	53% (42/80)
Crosses
36% (8/22)	27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	0.26
Fouls
16	9
Tackles
67% (10/15)	100% (12/12)
Duels won
56	52
Clearances Total
25	32
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.42	1.52
Goals prevented
-0.58	0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Haynes R. 🟨,
42', Abbott G. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Backwell T. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
46', Haynes R. ↓, Bakare I. ↑,
61', Dieng T. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
61', Miller G. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
67', Grant C. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽, Taylor M. (A),
82', Gordon K. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
82', Traore M. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Archer E. ⚽, Dulson L. (A),
90+2', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Notts County
62.6%

Draw
21.4%

Cheltenham Town
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

22.3%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Notts County - Cheltenham Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.5)	4.41 ↑ (4.05)	5.91 ↓ (6.69)	6.1% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Notts County - Cheltenham Town?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 64.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.
Recent matches Notts County is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cheltenham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Notts County is a favorite.
There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H. (Knee Injury) Power D. (Hamstring Injury) Young L. (Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S. (Injury) Bass A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R. (Inactive)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:15 (average 2.1:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Cheltenham Town?

Notts County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Notts County?

Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:

29.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 3:5

Latest results of Notts County

17.04.2025 Bradford City - Notts County 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Notts County - Salford City 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Colchester United - Notts County 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Newport County - Notts County 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

18.04.2025 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 2:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers 0:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League