Result
1:2
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (321/416) | 63% (161/255) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (321/416) | 63% (161/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/72) | 30% (21/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (58/107) | 53% (42/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 100% (12/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', Haynes R. 🟨,
- 42', Abbott G. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Backwell T. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
- 46', Haynes R. ↓, Bakare I. ↑,
- 61', Dieng T. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
- 61', Miller G. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
- 67', Grant C. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽, Taylor M. (A),
- 82', Gordon K. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
- 82', Traore M. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Archer E. ⚽, Dulson L. (A),
- 90+2', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Notts County
62.6% | Draw
21.4% | Cheltenham Town
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Notts County - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.5) |
4.41 ↑
(4.05) |
5.91 ↓
(6.69) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Notts County - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.
- Recent matches Notts County is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cheltenham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Notts County is a favorite.
- There will not play in Notts County: Ness L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H.
(Knee Injury)
Power D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Young L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S.
(Injury)
Bass A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R.
(Inactive)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:15 (average 2.1:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Cheltenham Town?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Notts County?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
29.12.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Notts County
3:5
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
