Notts County vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Notts County - Cheltenham Town
Result
1:2
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 44
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.82
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
248
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
77% (321/416)63% (161/255)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.521.42
Total shots
248
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
3016
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
916
Passes
77% (321/416)63% (161/255)
Long passes
31% (22/72)30% (21/70)
Passes in final third
54% (58/107)53% (42/80)
Crosses
36% (8/22)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.26
Fouls
169
Tackles
67% (10/15)100% (12/12)
Duels won
5652
Clearances Total
2532
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.421.52
Goals prevented
-0.580.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', Haynes R. 🟨,
  • 42', Abbott G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ,
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Backwell T. , Dulson L. ,
  • 46', Haynes R. , Bakare I. ,
  • 61', Dieng T. , Taylor M. ,
  • 61', Miller G. , Hay A. ,
  • 67', Grant C. , Jones J. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Thomas J. , Taylor M. (A),
  • 82', Gordon K. , Whitaker C. ,
  • 82', Traore M. , Jarvis W. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Archer E. , Dulson L. (A),
  • 90+2', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
62.6%
Draw
21.4%
Cheltenham Town
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 23.2% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 22.3% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Notts County - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.5)
    4.41
    (4.05)
    5.91
    (6.69)
    6.1%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Notts County - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.
    • Recent matches Notts County is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cheltenham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Notts County is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H. (Knee Injury) Power D. (Hamstring Injury) Young L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S. (Injury) Bass A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R. (Inactive)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:15 (average 2.1:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 3:5
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe33006:159
    2Chesterfield33006:159
    3MK Dons32107:077
    4Grimsby32108:447
    5Fleetwood32106:337
    6Swindon32016:516
    7Walsall32014:316
    8Salford32015:506
    9Tranmere31206:245
    10Colchester31204:225
    11Bromley31204:225
    12Harrogate31205:415
    13Gillingham31203:215
    14Cambridge Utd31114:404
    15Newport31114:404
    16Barrow31022:4-23
    17Oldham30212:3-12
    18Notts Co30123:5-21
    19Accrington30122:5-31
    20Shrewsbury30120:6-61
    21Bristol Rovers30032:6-40
    22Barnet30031:6-50
    23Crawley30031:6-50
    24Cheltenham30030:8-80

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League