Result
5:2
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (500/565) | 81% (321/396) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (500/565) | 81% (321/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (16/37) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (118/144) | 60% (51/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -2.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Davison J. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Jones J. ⚽, Palmer M. (A),
- 28', 2 - 1, Palmer M. ⚽, Macari L. (A),
- 35', 2 - 2, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Ashfield H. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Macari L. 🟨,
- 49', Ashfield H. 🟨,
- 59', Bedeau J. 🟨,
- 65', Tangen H. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
- 65', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 65', Grant C. ↓, Norburn O. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 2, Iorpenda T. ⚽, Palmer M. (A),
- 72', 4 - 2, Wilson J. (Own goal),
- 74', Jones J. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 75', McDonald R. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 75', Young L. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
- 75', Davison J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
- 75', Ashfield H. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 81', Sherring S. 🟥,
- 85', Thomas J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 85', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
- 90+1', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 5 - 2, Hall T. ⚽, Bennetts K. (A),
Chances of winning
Notts County 61.3% | Draw 23.3% | Cheltenham Town 15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Notts County - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↑ (1.53) |
4.01 ↑ (3.85) |
6 ↑ (5.75) |
7% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Cheltenham Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Notts County is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Notts County: Dennis M.
(Yellow Cards)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Faal M.
(Inactive)
Harmon G.
(Inactive)
King T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Platt M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Cheltenham Town?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Notts County?
Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
10.11.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Notts County
1:2
21.04.2025
Notts County
-
Cheltenham Town
1:2
29.12.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Notts County
3:5
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League