Result
2:2
19/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 15
- Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | MATCH! Planeta, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', Karmaev N. 🟨,
- 10', 1 - 0, Urvantsev M. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, Levin G. ⚽,
- 45', Tsaraev A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', 2 - 1, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
- 49', Samoilov D. 🟨,
- 63', Bogdanets K. ↓, Obryvkov S. ↑,
- 64', Mirzov R. ↓, Reyes E. ↑,
- 65', Karmaev N. ↓, Botaka-Yoboma E. ↑,
- 70', Levin G. 🟨,
- 71', Avanesyan T. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
- 72', Gatin B. 🟨,
- 75', Pushkarev D. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
- 79', Troshechkin A. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
- 81', Kochiev K. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Reyes E. (Pen),
- 83', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Komissarov T. ↑,
- 84', Razdorskikh N. 🟨,
- 88', Obryvkov S. 🟨,
- 90', Melikhov A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Berdnikov A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kertanov K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chelyabinsk
39.9% | Draw
30.9% | Arsenal Tula
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Chelyabinsk - Arsenal Tula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.35) |
3.11 ↓
(3.22) |
3.31 ↑
(3.22) |
3.9%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk - Arsenal Tula?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).
- Chelyabinsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arsenal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelyabinsk won against Arsenal Tula?
Chelyabinsk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Chelyabinsk?
Arsenal Tula has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chelyabinsk - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
Latest results of Chelyabinsk
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 39:21 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Ural | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 38 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Chelyabinsk | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:26 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | R. Volgograd | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Neftekhimik | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 34 |
| 9 | SKA Khabarovsk | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 32 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Torpedo Moscow | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 28 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Ufa | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23:53 | -30 | 16 |
| 18 | Saratov | 25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 10:29 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
