Result
6:2
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 11
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.17 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (302/395) | 78% (363/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.17 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.81 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (302/395) | 78% (363/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (29/77) | 34% (24/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (93/145) | 62% (78/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 5.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Anderson H. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
- 13', 2 - 0, Payne J. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 1, Mandeville L. ⚽, Tanton D. (A),
- 22', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
- 44', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
- 44', 3 - 1, Payne J. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
- 45+1', Dobra A. 🟨,
- 45+5', 4 - 1, Payne J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', Mandeville L. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
- 63', Fleck J. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
- 63', Dickson W. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
- 66', Iandolo E. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 68', 5 - 1, Lisbie K. ⚽, Mbick M. (A),
- 78', Bishop T. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 78', Mbick M. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
- 78', Dobra A. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
- 81', 5 - 2, Berry-McNally J. ⚽,
- 84', Lisbie K. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 90+6', 6 - 2, Anderson H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Colchester United
39.8% | Draw
29.8% | Chesterfield
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colchester United's performance.Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesterfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchester United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Colchester United - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(3.17) |
3.61 ↑
(3.21) |
3.68 ↑
(2.28) |
-7.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Chesterfield might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Flanagan T.
(Injury)
Goodwin W.
(Thigh Injury)
Iandolo E.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Duffy D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Williams T.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Chesterfield?
Colchester United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Colchester United?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Chesterfield were as follows:
04.03.2025
Colchester United
-
Chesterfield
1:0
22.10.2024
Chesterfield
-
Colchester United
1:1
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
