Colchester United vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Colchester United - Chesterfield
Result
1:0
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.26
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
146
Shots on Goal
40
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
60
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
91
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
1211
Offsides
33
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
3029
Touches in the Opposition Box
2712
Passes
69% (239/345)73% (263/358)
Passes in the final third
49% (51/105)58% (77/132)
Crosses
33% (4/12)0% (0/9)
Tackles
78% (18/23)91% (10/11)
Clearances Total
3719
Interceptions
314

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Read A. , Taylor L. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Gordon J. , Payne J. (A),
  • 60', Simpson T. , Tovide S. ,
  • 63', Duffy D. , Dobra A. ,
  • 63', Hobson B. , Colclough R. ,
  • 66', Mandeville L. 🟨,
  • 69', Sparkes J. 🟨,
  • 75', Sheckleford R. 🟨,
  • 77', Naylor T. , Olakigbe M. ,
  • 77', Mandeville L. , Pepple A. ,
  • 77', Banks O. , Fleck J. ,
  • 79', Gordon J. , Thorn O. ,
  • 79', Edwards O. , Anderson H. ,
  • 86', Egbo M. , Vincent-Young K. ,
  • 89', Madden P. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Colchester United
46.4%
Draw
30%
Chesterfield
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.1% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 28.7% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colchester United's performance.
  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesterfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchester United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Colchester United - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.36)
    3.13
    (3.24)
    4.03
    (3.03)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Colchester United - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: Colchester United will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 0.
    • Colchester is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Chesterfield is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Colchester will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Colchester: Oni M. (Knee Injury) Scully A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Araujo H. (Knee Injury) Daley-Campbell V. (Hamstring Injury) Dunkley C. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury) Jones M. (Injury) McFadzean K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Grigg W. (Calf Injury) Hobson B. (Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Chesterfield were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Chesterfield - Colchester United 1:1
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe440010:2812
    2Grimsby43109:4510
    3Chesterfield43017:529
    4Salford43016:519
    5MK Dons42208:178
    6Gillingham42207:348
    7Bromley42206:338
    8Harrogate42206:428
    9Cambridge Utd42116:517
    10Fleetwood42117:707
    11Walsall42024:406
    12Swindon42026:7-16
    13Tranmere31206:245
    14Colchester41215:415
    15Notts Co41127:614
    16Newport41124:5-14
    17Oldham40312:3-13
    18Barnet41033:6-33
    19Barrow41032:5-33
    20Accrington30122:5-31
    21Bristol Rovers40132:6-41
    22Crawley40132:7-51
    23Shrewsbury40131:10-91
    24Cheltenham40041:10-90

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League