Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 34
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (219/319) | 66% (215/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (219/319) | 66% (215/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/68) | 38% (33/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (55/105) | 61% (79/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 56% (10/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Mandeville L. 🟨,
- 27', Richards L. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 39', 0 - 1, Mandeville L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ferizaj J. ↓, Richards T. ↑,
- 49', Gordon K. 🟨,
- 58', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
- 59', Mandeville L. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
- 59', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
- 66', Richards T. 🟨,
- 66', Adeyemo A. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
- 73', Russell J. 🟨,
- 73', Lolos K. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 77', Markanday D. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
- 80', Stirk R. 🟨,
- 85', Bajrami G. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Williams J. ⚽, Darcy R. (A),
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
32% | Draw
26.1% | Chesterfield
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Crawley Town - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.66) |
3.58 ↑
(3.45) |
2.23 ↓
(2.32) |
7%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Crawley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chesterfield is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Chesterfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
Malone S.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Chesterfield?
Crawley Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Crawley Town?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Chesterfield were as follows:
30.08.2025
Chesterfield
-
Crawley Town
2:2
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
