Result
1:2
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 18
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (350/478) | 65% (242/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (350/478) | 65% (242/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (40/100) | 27% (23/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (115/180) | 52% (52/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Munroe F. ⚽, Palmer O. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Fleck J. ⚽, Dunkley C. (A),
- 39', Tanton D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Palmer O. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Snowdon J. ⚽,
- 63', Drinan A. 🟨,
- 68', Naylor T. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
- 68', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
- 68', Gordon L. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 69', Tanton D. ↓, Daley-Campbell V. ↑,
- 69', Munroe F. 🟨,
- 71', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 75', Glatzel P. 🟨,
- 79', Markanday D. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
- 80', Oldaker D. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
- 80', Nichols T. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
- 84', Ripley C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Munroe F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
37.9% | Draw
26.6% | Swindon Town
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Chesterfield - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.25) |
3.52 ↑
(3.45) |
2.66 ↓
(2.91) |
6.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Swindon (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Swindon (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
- Recent performances by Chesterfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Swindon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Knee Injury)
Dobra A.
(Inactive)
Elliott G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Grigg W.
(Inactive)
Stirk R.
(Inactive)
Williams T.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Snowdon J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Swindon Town?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Chesterfield?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Swindon Town were as follows:
22.02.2025
Swindon Town
-
Chesterfield
1:0
09.08.2024
Chesterfield
-
Swindon Town
1:1
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
