Chesterfield vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 18
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.08
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
73% (350/478)65% (242/370)
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.141.40
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
99
Passes
73% (350/478)65% (242/370)
Long passes
40% (40/100)27% (23/86)
Passes in final third
64% (115/180)52% (52/100)
Crosses
17% (5/29)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.46
Throw-ins
3522
Fouls
99
Tackles
58% (7/12)50% (5/10)
Duels won
6357
Clearances
2932
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.400.14
Goals prevented
-0.60-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Munroe F. , Palmer O. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Fleck J. , Dunkley C. (A),
  • 39', Tanton D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Palmer O. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Snowdon J. ,
  • 63', Drinan A. 🟨,
  • 68', Naylor T. , Darcy R. ,
  • 68', Duffy D. , Berry-McNally J. ,
  • 68', Gordon L. , Lewis A. ,
  • 69', Tanton D. , Daley-Campbell V. ,
  • 69', Munroe F. 🟨,
  • 71', Snowdon J. , McGregor J. ,
  • 75', Glatzel P. 🟨,
  • 79', Markanday D. , Dickson W. ,
  • 80', Oldaker D. , Tabor J. ,
  • 80', Nichols T. , Ball J. ,
  • 84', Ripley C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Munroe F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
37.9%
Draw
26.6%
Swindon Town
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 26.9% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 27.4% 31.3%

Chesterfield - Swindon Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.48
(2.25)
3.52
(3.45)
2.66
(2.91)
6.4%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Swindon (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Swindon (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
    • Recent performances by Chesterfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Swindon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Dibley-Dias M. (Knee Injury) Dobra A. (Inactive) Elliott G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Grigg W. (Inactive) Stirk R. (Inactive) Williams T. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Snowdon J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Swindon Town were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Swindon Town - Chesterfield 1:0
    09.08.2024 Chesterfield - Swindon Town 1:1
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley30188454:322262
    2Notts Co30176746:301657
    3Cambridge Utd30168642:241856
    4Swindon30174950:341655
    5MK Dons30159659:332654
    6Salford29164941:35652
    7Walsall30147938:31749
    8Chesterfield301212649:41848
    9Crewe311381047:38947
    10Barnet301210840:31946
    11Colchester29129843:311245
    12Grimsby29129841:32945
    13Accrington291271035:30543
    14Gillingham291011840:36441
    15Fleetwood291071238:39-137
    16Oldham28811928:29-135
    17Tranmere30881443:51-832
    18Cheltenham29931729:51-2230
    19Bristol Rovers30831928:50-2227
    20Crawley31681732:51-1926
    21Shrewsbury30681625:50-2526
    22Barrow29661730:46-1624
    23Newport29561829:54-2521
    24Harrogate31562022:50-2821

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League