Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Minnesota United - Chicago Fire
Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.992.13
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
81% (256/315)90% (520/576)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.992.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.393.44
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2238
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
916
Passes
81% (256/315)90% (520/576)
Long passes
40% (10/25)70% (40/57)
Passes in final third
65% (68/105)79% (115/145)
Crosses
46% (6/13)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.38
Throw-ins
1214
Fouls
169
Tackles
65% (11/17)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
1525
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
3.440.39
Goals prevented
0.440.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Waterman J. ,
  • 40', Trapp W. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 2, D'Avilla D. , Franco A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Randell A. , Pereyra J. ,
  • 56', Gene O. , Boxall M. ,
  • 56', Fitz D. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 56', Trapp W. , Lod R. ,
  • 59', Duggan M. 🟨,
  • 70', 0 - 3, Zinckernagel P. , Gutman A. (A), Bamba J. (A2)
  • 72', Markanich A. , Rosales J. ,
  • 79', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 79', Zinckernagel P. , Gutierrez B. ,
  • 86', Cuypers H. (Pen),
  • 87', Romero N. 🟨,
  • 87', Elliott J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Franco A. , Kouame R. ,
  • 90+3', Dean J. , Barroso L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
44.1%
Draw
25.5%
Chicago Fire
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 24.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 26.8% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United's form might have worsened.
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Minnesota United - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.88)
    3.76
    (3.83)
    3.17
    (3.73)
    4.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Minnesota is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
    • Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chicago has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.
    • Minnesota could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Jung Ho-yeon (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    08.07.2025 Minnesota United - Chicago Fire 3:1
    27.07.2023 Minnesota United - Chicago Fire 2:3
    08.04.2023 Chicago Fire - Minnesota United 2:1
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2