Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (256/315) | 90% (520/576) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 3.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (256/315) | 90% (520/576) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 70% (40/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (68/105) | 79% (115/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.44 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Waterman J. ⚽,
- 40', Trapp W. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, D'Avilla D. ⚽, Franco A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Randell A. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
- 56', Gene O. ↓, Boxall M. ↑,
- 56', Fitz D. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
- 56', Trapp W. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
- 59', Duggan M. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 3, Zinckernagel P. ⚽, Gutman A. (A), Bamba J. (A2)
- 72', Markanich A. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
- 79', Bamba J. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 79', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 86', Cuypers H. (Pen),
- 87', Romero N. 🟨,
- 87', Elliott J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Franco A. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
- 90+3', Dean J. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Minnesota United
44.1% | Draw
25.5% | Chicago Fire
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United's form might have worsened.Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Minnesota United - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.88) |
3.76 ↓
(3.83) |
3.17 ↓
(3.73) |
4.5%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Chicago Fire?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Minnesota is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
- Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chicago has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.
- Minnesota could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H.
(Knee Injury)
Jung Ho-yeon
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mueller C.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Chicago: Kouame R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Chicago Fire?
Minnesota United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Minnesota United?
Chicago Fire has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
08.07.2025
Minnesota United
-
Chicago Fire
3:1
27.07.2023
Minnesota United
-
Chicago Fire
2:3
08.04.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Minnesota United
2:1
Latest results of Minnesota United
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
