Result
3:1 ET
08/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (668/755) | 84% (431/515) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.80 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (668/755) | 84% (431/515) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 54% (36/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (216/268) | 74% (104/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 4.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Gonzalez O. 🟥,
- 27', Trapp W. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Gutierrez B. (Pen),
- 30', Haile-Selassie M. ↓, Rogers S. ↑,
- 35', Harvey C. 🟨,
- 37', Elliott J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gressel J. ↓, Markanich A. ↑,
- 46', Trapp W. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
- 46', Jeong S. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
- 46', Barlow T. ↓, Cuypers H. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Lod R. ⚽, Markanich A. (A),
- 51', Rosales J. 🟨,
- 63', Gene O. ↓, Yeboah K. ↑,
- 67', Gutierrez B. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
- 72', Williams S. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
- 72', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
- 75', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Boxall M. ↑,
- Extra Time (2 - 0)
- 91', Duggan M. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
- 95', 2 - 1, Yeboah K. ⚽, Harvey C. (A),
- 97', D'Avilla D. ↓, Bamba J. ↑,
- 107', Hlongwane B. 🟨,
- 115', Cuypers H. 🟨,
- 118', Barroso L. 🟨,
- 120', 3 - 1, Yeboah K. (Pen),
- 120', Brady C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Minnesota United
46.9% | Draw
25% | Chicago Fire
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Minnesota United - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.84) |
3.74 ↓
(3.94) |
3.33 ↓
(3.81) |
7.6%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Chicago Fire?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Minnesota is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Chicago Fire?
Minnesota United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Minnesota United?
Chicago Fire has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
27.07.2023
Minnesota United
-
Chicago Fire
2:3
08.04.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Minnesota United
2:1
Latest results of Minnesota United
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Draw
20251/128-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
| 3 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Richmond Kickers | Virginia Dream | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 9 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | Menace | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Flatirons | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | San Antonio | |
| 17 | Hartford Athletic | New York Shockers | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
| 24 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 25 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 29 | Detroit | Bye | |
| 31 | Motown | Westchester SC | |
| 32 | Cincinnati 2 | New York Pancyprian | 0 : 1 |
| 33 | Tacoma Defiance | Washington AC | 3 : 1 |
| 34 | Ballard | Spokane Velocity | 0 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
| 40 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 41 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
| 43 | Monterey Bay | International SF | 4 : 0 |
| 44 | Real Monarchs | El Farolito | 1 : 3 |
| 48 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 49 | Forward Madison | Duluth FC | 5 : 1 |
| 50 | Tulsa Athletic | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
| 56 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 57 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 61 | New Mexico | Bye | |
| 63 | Ventura County | Laguna United | 7 : 0 |
| 64 | El Paso | Harpos | 5 : 1 |
| 65 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 69 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
| 71 | Inter Miami II | Miami United | 4 : 2 |
| 72 | Miami FC | Naples United | 4 : 1 |
| 73 | Columbus Crew 2 | NY Renegades | 4 : 1 |
| 74 | Lexington | Southern Indiana | 5 : 0 |
| 76 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
| 80 | Bye | New York City | |
| 81 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
| 83 | Asheville City | Greenville | 0 : 1 |
| 84 | Appalachian | One Knoxville | 0 : 3 |
| 88 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 89 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 93 | AV Alta | Ventura | 3 : 1 |
| 94 | Los Angeles FC II | Arizona FC | 7 : 1 |
| 96 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
| 97 | Sarasota Paradise | FC Naples | 1 : 2 |
| 98 | Little Rock Rangers | Birmingham | 1 : 0 |
| 100 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
| 104 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 105 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 109 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
| 111 | Chattanooga | Corpus Christi FC | 1 : 0 |
| 112 | New Jersey Alliance | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
| 113 | Long Island | Charlotte Independ. | 2 : 3 |
| 114 | Carolina Core | Soda City | 4 : 2 |
| 116 | Bye | North Carolina | |
| 120 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 121 | DC United | Bye | |
| 125 | Charleston | Bye | |
| 127 | Tormenta | Harbor City | 3 : 0 |
| 128 | Texoma | Foro | 1 : 2 |
1/64-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
| 2 | Loudoun | Virginia Dream | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 5 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 7 | Menace | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | San Antonio | |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
| 12 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 15 | Detroit | Bye | |
| 16 | Westchester SC | New York Pancyprian | 3 : 2 |
| 17 | Tacoma Defiance | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
| 20 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 21 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
| 22 | Monterey Bay | El Farolito | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 25 | Forward Madison | FC Tulsa | 1 : 3 |
| 26 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
| 28 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 29 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 31 | New Mexico | Bye | |
| 32 | Ventura County | El Paso | 0 : 3 |
| 33 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 35 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
| 36 | Inter Miami II | Miami FC | 0 : 1 |
| 37 | Columbus Crew 2 | Lexington | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
| 40 | Bye | New York City | |
| 41 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
| 42 | Greenville | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 44 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 45 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 47 | AV Alta | Los Angeles FC II | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
| 49 | FC Naples | Little Rock Rangers | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
| 52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 53 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 55 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
| 56 | Chattanooga | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 2 |
| 57 | Charlotte Independ. | Carolina Core | 2 : 1 |
| 58 | Bye | North Carolina | |
| 60 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 61 | DC United | Bye | |
| 63 | Charleston | Bye | |
| 64 | Tormenta | Foro | 3 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Loudoun | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 3 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 4 | Union Omaha | San Antonio | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Rhode Island | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 8 | Detroit | Westchester SC | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | Oakland Roots | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 11 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 13 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 15 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 2 : 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 18 | Indy Eleven | Miami FC | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Columbus Crew 2 | Pittsburgh | 0 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | New York City | |
| 21 | Colorado Springs | One Knoxville | 3 : 2 |
| 22 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 23 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 24 | AV Alta | Orange County SC | 3 : 2 |
| 25 | FC Naples | Tampa Bay | 1 : 2 |
| 26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 27 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 28 | Las Vegas Lights | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
| 29 | Charlotte Independ. | North Carolina | 1 : 3 |
| 30 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 31 | DC United | Bye | |
| 32 | Charleston | Tormenta | 4 : 0 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | Union Omaha | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rhode Island | New England Revolution | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | Detroit | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | El Paso | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union | Indy Eleven | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Pittsburgh | New York City | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Colorado Springs | New York Red Bulls | 1 : 4 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | AV Alta | 3 : 1 |
| 13 | Tampa Bay | Orlando City | 0 : 5 |
| 14 | Nashville SC | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | North Carolina | Charlotte | 1 : 4 |
| 16 | DC United | Charleston | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Minnesota United | St. Louis City | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | Chicago Fire | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | Austin FC | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union | Pittsburgh | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls | FC Dallas | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Orlando City | Nashville SC | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Charlotte | DC United | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Minnesota United | Chicago Fire | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin FC | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | New York Red Bulls | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | DC United | 5 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Minnesota United | Austin FC | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | Nashville SC | |
Final
