Result
20/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Minnesota United
50.4% | Draw
24.8% | Chicago Fire
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Minnesota United - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.88) |
3.85 ↑
(3.83) |
3.79 ↑
(3.73) |
5.1%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
- Minnesota has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chicago is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Minnesota could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Chicago Fire?
Minnesota United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Minnesota United?
Chicago Fire has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
08.07.2025
Minnesota United
-
Chicago Fire
3:1
27.07.2023
Minnesota United
-
Chicago Fire
2:3
08.04.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Minnesota United
2:1
Latest results of Minnesota United
Latest results of Chicago Fire
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51:33 | 18 | 54 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 54:31 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:40 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 40:49 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:55 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 33 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 45:61 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:51 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 35:58 | -23 | 21 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 55 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 50:35 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 48:43 | 5 | 49 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55:41 | 14 | 48 |
| 7 | New York City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter Miami | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54:43 | 11 | 46 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54:53 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 36:54 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:55 | -28 | 25 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 29:53 | -24 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
