Chicago Fire vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Chicago Fire - San Diego
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.10
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
83% (347/417)86% (474/549)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.88
Total shots
187
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
3815
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
83% (347/417)86% (474/549)
Long passes
47% (22/47)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
63% (77/122)69% (70/102)
Crosses
30% (3/10)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.25
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1711
Tackles
89% (16/18)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4137
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.881.37
Goals prevented
-0.120.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 30', Pineda M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', McNair P. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 46', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 58', Lozano H. , Mighten A. ,
  • 66', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 71', Pineda M. , D'Avilla D. ,
  • 72', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 81', Angel T. , Boateng E. ,
  • 82', Boateng E. 🟨,
  • 86', Rogers S. , Barlow T. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Cuypers H. , Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 90+1', Bombino L. , Negri F. ,
  • 90+6', Gutierrez B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
37.1%
Draw
24.6%
San Diego
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 26.7% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Chicago Fire - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.54)
    3.83
    (3.68)
    2.47
    (2.63)
    5.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). San Diego will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chicago is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Diego is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Acosta K. (Injury) Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Injury) Diop H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Reynolds J. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of San Diego
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)