Result
0:3
26/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Chesky D. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
Canada | TSN 2 |
Usa | ion TV, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.84 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
80% (304/380) | 86% (556/650) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.84 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.05 | 2.64 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
80% (304/380) | 86% (556/650) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (26/44) | 53% (25/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (56/99) | 63% (85/136) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (1/7) | 17% (1/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.68 | 1.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (18/23) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 10 |
Interceptions |
---|
19 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.64 | 1.05 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.30 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Lundkvist H. ⚽, Armstrong T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 62', Barcenas M. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
- 68', Schlegel A. ↓, Barry C. ↑,
- 68', Joseph J. ↓, Johnson M. ↑,
- 73', Corley G. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Staab S. (Own goal),
- 83', Grosso J. ↓, Nesbeth L. ↑,
- 83', Biegalski C. ↓, Gomes N. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Ascanio K. ⚽, Leon A. (A),
- 90+4', Morroni P. ↓, McNabb K. ↑,
- 90+4', Ascanio K. ↓, Favour E. ↑,
- 90+4', Cascarino D. ↓, Robbe M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chicago Stars 21.8% | Draw 25% | San Diego Wave 53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego Wave might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego Wave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.25 ↓ (5.17) |
3.71 ↓ (3.82) |
1.74 ↑ (1.57) |
8% (9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego Wave (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chicago won 3.
- Chicago is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches San Diego Wave is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Chicago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match San Diego Wave is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Stars won against San Diego Wave?
Chicago Stars has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Chicago Stars?
San Diego Wave has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave were as follows:
21.09.2024
Chicago Stars
-
San Diego Wave
1:0
28.06.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Chicago Stars
0:3
01.07.2023
Chicago Stars
-
San Diego Wave
1:0
25.03.2023
San Diego Wave
-
Chicago Stars
3:2
16.10.2022
San Diego Wave
-
Chicago Stars
2:1
Latest results of Chicago Stars
Latest results of San Diego Wave
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kansas City Current W | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 29:10 | 19 | 33 |
2 | Orlando Pride W | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
3 | San Diego Wave W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 24 |
4 | Washington Spirit W | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Portland Thorns W | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
6 | Seattle Reign W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
7 | Racing Louisville W | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 20 |
8 | Gotham W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
9 | North Carolina Courage W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
10 | Bay FC W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
11 | Angel City W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 15 |
12 | Houston Dash W | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
13 | Chicago W | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
14 | Utah Royals W | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11:29 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)