Cienciano vs Atlético Grau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.20
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
78% (279/357)79% (325/410)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.00
Total shots
910
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
78% (279/357)79% (325/410)
Long passes
50% (37/74)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
66% (61/93)60% (58/97)
Crosses
27% (4/15)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.70
Throw-ins
1324
Fouls
1511
Tackles
80% (8/10)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
3013
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.23
Goals prevented
0.000.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Tapia R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vilca R. , Garcia B. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Da Silva B. , Hohberg A. (A),
  • 53', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
  • 55', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 58', Garro J. , Olivares C. ,
  • 58', Rostaing J. 🟨,
  • 69', Guarderas R. 🟨,
  • 72', Da Silva B. , Sandoval R. ,
  • 72', Neira C. , Gamero Y. ,
  • 72', Ruidiaz R. , Sandoval T. ,
  • 72', Bolivar J. , Rodas E. ,
  • 72', de la Cruz P. , Bandiera N. ,
  • 74', Rostaing J. 🟨,
  • 76', Gonzalez A. , Amasifuen N. ,
  • 76', Hohberg A. , Ramua A. ,
  • 83', Garces C. , Souza Espana C. ,
  • 88', Torrejon C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cienciano
59.6%
Draw
23.7%
Atlético Grau
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 22.2% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 21.2% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Cienciano - Atlético Grau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.53)
    3.89
    (4.2)
    5.53
    (5.55)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cienciano - Atlético Grau?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cienciano is a strong favorite.
    • There are questionable in Cienciano: Romagnoli J. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Atlético Grau were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Atlético Grau - Cienciano 1:1
    17.08.2024 Cienciano - Atlético Grau 1:0
    09.03.2024 Atlético Grau - Cienciano 1:1
    30.09.2023 Cienciano - Atlético Grau 2:0
    21.05.2023 Atlético Grau - Cienciano 4:0
    Latest results of Cienciano
    20.08.2025 Cienciano - Bolívar 0:2
    13.08.2025 Bolívar - Cienciano 2:0
    04.08.2025 Cienciano - Los Chankas 3:0
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas972018:10823
    2Alianza Lima962112:5720
    3Cienciano961222:121019
    4U. de Deportes953112:7518
    5Cajamarca942312:11114
    6Cusco941412:10213
    7Juan Pablo II941415:21-613
    8Comerciantes Unidos933313:13012
    9Sporting Cristal932416:13311
    10Alianza Atl92529:8111
    11FBC Melgar932413:13011
    12Deportivo Garcilaso92439:10-110
    13Moquegua93158:15-710
    14AD Tarma92349:12-39
    15Sport Huancayo92259:13-48
    16Sport Boys92258:12-48
    17Grau91445:10-57
    18FC Cajamarca912610:17-75

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