Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Zamora J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (251/336) | 68% (198/290) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (251/336) | 68% (198/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 46% (31/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (54/96) | 59% (51/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.64 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Garces C. (Pen),
- 34', Galeano L. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
- 42', 0 - 1, Garces C. ⚽, Estrada J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Reyes J. ↓, Rostaing J. ↑,
- 46', Garcia B. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
- 46', Herrera Joel ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
- 51', Guarderas R. 🟨,
- 58', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 61', La Torre D. ↓, Arias Fierro S. D. ↑,
- 61', Ramua A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 65', Bolado J. 🟨,
- 76', Ascues A. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
- 76', Garces C. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 81', Gentile G. 🟨,
- 84', Noronha O. 🟨,
- 89', Rostaing J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Bandiera N. ⚽, Vasquez A. (A),
- 90+8', Benites Vargas L. E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
50.7% | Draw
26.9% | Cienciano
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Atlético Grau - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.01) |
3.46 ↑
(3.39) |
4.07 ↑
(3.78) |
7.2%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Cienciano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grau won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Grau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Grau is a favorite.
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Gonzalez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ibanez P.
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Grau won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 2.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Cienciano?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Atlético Grau?
Cienciano has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Cienciano were as follows:
17.08.2024
Cienciano
-
Atlético Grau
1:0
09.03.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Cienciano
1:1
30.09.2023
Cienciano
-
Atlético Grau
2:0
21.05.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Cienciano
4:0
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
