Cincinnati 2 vs Crown Legacy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
11/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.73
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
80% (292/367)83% (333/401)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.73
xG on target (xGOT)
2.900.40
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
4116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
915
Passes
80% (292/367)83% (333/401)
Long passes
43% (25/58)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
72% (100/139)72% (77/107)
Crosses
33% (3/9)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.84
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
159
Tackles
53% (10/19)40% (8/20)
Duels won
5952
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.402.90
Goals prevented
-2.60-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Mboma K. , Adnan N. (A),
  • 32', Tcheuyap Y. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Uchegbu E. , Forbes J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 51', 2 - 1, Davila A. , del Valle Y. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 1, Chirila S. (Pen),
  • 63', del Valle Y. , Locker C. ,
  • 63', Mendoza A. , Smalls M. ,
  • 63', Subotic A. , Thiago ,
  • 64', Chirila A. 🟨,
  • 68', 3 - 2, Thiago , Romero B. (A),
  • 70', Tcheuyap Y. , Teixeira N. ,
  • 70', Forbes J. , Thomas M. ,
  • 70', Tonidandel S. , Curtis E. ,
  • 75', Davila A. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 76', 4 - 2, Locker C. ,
  • 84', Mangione P. , Augee B. ,
  • 84', Chirila S. , Opeyemi M. ,
  • 84', Hurtado D. , Kuisel W. ,
  • 86', 4 - 3, Thiago ,
  • 88', Augee B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
51.5%
Draw
24.1%
Crown Legacy
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 24.5% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 23.4% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Crown Legacy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.73)
    3.81
    (3.75)
    3.78
    (4.08)
    8.7%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 11)
    • Cincinnati 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Crown Legacy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Cincinnati 2 is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Cincinnati 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Crown Legacy - Cincinnati 2 2:0
    20.10.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy 1:2
    04.05.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy 2:1
    29.07.2023 Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy 0:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    Latest results of Crown Legacy
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

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