Result
4:3
11/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (292/367) | 83% (333/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 2.15 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.90 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
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| 80% (292/367) | 83% (333/401) |
| Long passes |
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| 43% (25/58) | 43% (23/54) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 72% (100/139) | 72% (77/107) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (3/9) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.11 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
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| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
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| 59 | 52 |
| Clearances |
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| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.40 | 2.90 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -2.60 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, Mboma K. ⚽, Adnan N. (A),
- 32', Tcheuyap Y. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Uchegbu E. ⚽, Forbes J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 51', 2 - 1, Davila A. ⚽, del Valle Y. (A),
- 62', 3 - 1, Chirila S. (Pen),
- 63', del Valle Y. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
- 63', Mendoza A. ↓, Smalls M. ↑,
- 63', Subotic A. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 64', Chirila A. 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 2, Thiago ⚽, Romero B. (A),
- 70', Tcheuyap Y. ↓, Teixeira N. ↑,
- 70', Forbes J. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
- 70', Tonidandel S. ↓, Curtis E. ↑,
- 75', Davila A. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 2, Locker C. ⚽,
- 84', Mangione P. ↓, Augee B. ↑,
- 84', Chirila S. ↓, Opeyemi M. ↑,
- 84', Hurtado D. ↓, Kuisel W. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 3, Thiago ⚽,
- 88', Augee B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati 2 51.5% | Draw 24.1% | Crown Legacy 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Crown Legacy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.73) |
3.81 ↑ (3.75) |
3.78 ↓ (4.08) |
8.7% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 11)
- Cincinnati 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Crown Legacy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cincinnati 2 is the team to beat.
- We predict that Cincinnati 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati 2 won against Crown Legacy?
Cincinnati 2 has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crown Legacy won against Cincinnati 2?
Crown Legacy has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy were as follows:
25.05.2025
Crown Legacy
-
Cincinnati 2
2:0
20.10.2024
Cincinnati 2
-
Crown Legacy
1:2
04.05.2024
Cincinnati 2
-
Crown Legacy
2:1
29.07.2023
Cincinnati 2
-
Crown Legacy
0:1
Latest results of Cincinnati 2
Latest results of Crown Legacy
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |