Atlanta United vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Result
4:2
25/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Gonzales G. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mexicoMexicoMAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.631.43
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1230
Shots on target
710
Big Chances
93
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
82% (292/356)90% (530/589)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
3.631.43
xG on target (xGOT)
3.610.98
Total shots
1230
Shots on target
710
Shots off target
414
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
1017
Shots outside the Box
213
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
93
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
2135
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
108
Passes
82% (292/356)90% (530/589)
Long passes
46% (26/56)78% (45/58)
Passes in final third
71% (54/76)82% (138/168)
Crosses
57% (4/7)30% (9/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.681.40
Throw-ins
716
Fouls
810
Tackles
67% (14/21)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5042
Clearances
319
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
0.983.61
Goals prevented
-1.02-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', Hagglund N. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
  • 15', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Williams D. ⚽, Miranchuk Al. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Fortune A. ⚽, Lobjanidze S. (A),
  • 38', Nwobodo O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 2 - 1, Robinson M. ⚽, Evander (A),
  • 60', Amador P. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
  • 67', 3 - 1, Slisz B. ⚽, Williams D. (A),
  • 70', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ⚽, Engel L. (A), Evander (A2)
  • 71', Nwobodo O. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
  • 81', Latte Lath E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
  • 81', Almiron M. ↓, Klich M. ↑,
  • 83', Engel L. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
  • 83', Miazga M. ↓, Yedlin D. ↑,
  • 90', Yedlin D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fortune A. ↓, Cobb N. ↑,
  • 90+1', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Reilly W. ↑,
  • 90+4', 4 - 2, Thiare J. ⚽, Klich M. (A), Edwards M. (A2)

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
34.9%		Draw
26.5%		Cincinnati
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 27% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 29.6% 31.2%

Atlanta United - Cincinnati Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.72 ↑
(2.46)		 3.62 ↑
(3.52)		 2.5 ↓
(2.79)		 4.4%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 26.7% – 80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 40%). Cincinnati (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Cincinnati (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Cincinnati (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Cincinnati (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Cincinnati (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 20%). Cincinnati (votes: 8 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 0.
    • Recent form of Atlanta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cincinnati is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Cincinnati were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Cincinnati - Atlanta United 2:2
    15.05.2024 Cincinnati - Atlanta United 1:0
    20.04.2024 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 1:2
    21.10.2023 Cincinnati - Atlanta United 2:2
    30.08.2023 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 1:2
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    17.05.2025 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺
    14.05.2025 Austin FC - Atlanta United 1:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 2:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Atlanta United - Nashville SC 1:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Orlando City - Atlanta United 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1 ✺
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 2:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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