Result
4:2
25/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Gonzales G. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Max |
 Australia | SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Max |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mexico | MAX |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.63 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (292/356) | 90% (530/589) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.63 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (292/356) | 90% (530/589) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 78% (45/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (54/76) | 82% (138/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 3.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Hagglund N. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 15', Robinson M. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Williams D. ⚽, Miranchuk Al. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Fortune A. ⚽, Lobjanidze S. (A),
- 38', Nwobodo O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 1, Robinson M. ⚽, Evander (A),
- 60', Amador P. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 1, Slisz B. ⚽, Williams D. (A),
- 70', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ⚽, Engel L. (A), Evander (A2)
- 71', Nwobodo O. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 81', Latte Lath E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 81', Almiron M. ↓, Klich M. ↑,
- 83', Engel L. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
- 83', Miazga M. ↓, Yedlin D. ↑,
- 90', Yedlin D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Fortune A. ↓, Cobb N. ↑,
- 90+1', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Reilly W. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 2, Thiare J. ⚽, Klich M. (A), Edwards M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
34.9% | Draw
26.5% | Cincinnati
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlanta United - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.46) |
3.62 ↑
(3.52) |
2.5 ↓
(2.79) |
4.4%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 0.
- Recent form of Atlanta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cincinnati is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Cincinnati?
Atlanta United has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Atlanta United?
Cincinnati has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Cincinnati were as follows:
22.03.2025
Cincinnati
-
Atlanta United
2:2
15.05.2024
Cincinnati
-
Atlanta United
1:0
20.04.2024
Atlanta United
-
Cincinnati
1:2
21.10.2023
Cincinnati
-
Atlanta United
2:2
30.08.2023
Atlanta United
-
Cincinnati
1:2
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Cincinnati
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
