Atlanta United vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Cincinnati
Result
4:2
25/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Gonzales G. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mexicoMexicoMAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.631.43
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1230
Shots on target
710
Big Chances
93
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
82% (292/356)90% (530/589)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
3.631.43
xG on target (xGOT)
3.610.98
Total shots
1230
Shots on target
710
Shots off target
414
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
1017
Shots outside the Box
213
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
93
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
2135
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
108
Passes
82% (292/356)90% (530/589)
Long passes
46% (26/56)78% (45/58)
Passes in final third
71% (54/76)82% (138/168)
Crosses
57% (4/7)30% (9/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.681.40
Throw-ins
716
Fouls
810
Tackles
67% (14/21)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5042
Clearances
319
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
0.983.61
Goals prevented
-1.02-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', Hagglund N. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 15', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Williams D. , Miranchuk Al. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Fortune A. , Lobjanidze S. (A),
  • 38', Nwobodo O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 2 - 1, Robinson M. , Evander (A),
  • 60', Amador P. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 67', 3 - 1, Slisz B. , Williams D. (A),
  • 70', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. , Engel L. (A), Evander (A2)
  • 71', Nwobodo O. , Kamara K. ,
  • 81', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 81', Almiron M. , Klich M. ,
  • 83', Engel L. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 83', Miazga M. , Yedlin D. ,
  • 90', Yedlin D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fortune A. , Cobb N. ,
  • 90+1', Lobjanidze S. , Reilly W. ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 2, Thiare J. , Klich M. (A), Edwards M. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
34.9%
Draw
26.5%
Cincinnati
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 27% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 29.6% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta United - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.46)
    3.62
    (3.52)
    2.5
    (2.79)
    4.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 0.
    • Recent form of Atlanta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cincinnati is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Cincinnati were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Cincinnati - Atlanta United 2:2
    15.05.2024 Cincinnati - Atlanta United 1:0
    20.04.2024 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 1:2
    21.10.2023 Cincinnati - Atlanta United 2:2
    30.08.2023 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 1:2
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)