Inter Miami vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.86
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
88% (537/611)82% (338/411)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.86
xG on target (xGOT)
3.110.33
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
4722
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
58
Passes
88% (537/611)82% (338/411)
Long passes
74% (31/42)50% (23/46)
Passes in final third
80% (188/236)67% (69/103)
Crosses
27% (3/11)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
3.730.73
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
85
Tackles
65% (13/20)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
722
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.333.11
Goals prevented
0.33-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Gregersen S. , Mazzaferro S. ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Messi L. , Rodriguez B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Alba J. , Messi L. (A),
  • 56', Bright Y. , Picault F. ,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Suarez L. ,
  • 71', Leo Afonso , Togashi C. ,
  • 80', Aviles T. , Sailor R. ,
  • 85', Sanchez C. , Weah P. ,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Messi L. , Alba J. (A),
  • 89', Rodriguez B. , Morales S. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
72%
Draw
15.9%
Atlanta United
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 22.5% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 22% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Miami's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Miami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Inter Miami - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.55)
    5.91
    (4.2)
    7.79
    (5.76)
    3.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 15 - 20.3%). Atlanta will win (votes: 54 - 73%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 62.9%83.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Atlanta (6.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Atlanta (3.73) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Inter Miami (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlanta United will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 50 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 3 - 6%). Atlanta (votes: 43 - 86%). Tie (votes: 4 - 8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Inter Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Atlanta United were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 2:3
    02.11.2024 Atlanta United - Inter Miami 2:1
    25.10.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 2:1
    18.09.2024 Atlanta United - Inter Miami 2:2
    29.05.2024 Inter Miami - Atlanta United 1:3
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire952217:8917
    5Charlotte1142518:19-114
    6Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    13CF Montreal930613:20-79
    14Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)