Los Angeles vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT, TNT Sports
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chileChileTNT Sports
chinaChinaQQ Sports
ecuadorEcuadorTNT
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Sports
paraguayParaguayTNT
peruPeruTNT
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaTNT
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.07
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
90% (562/626)88% (463/529)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.01
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
110
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
281
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
79
Passes
90% (562/626)88% (463/529)
Long passes
42% (14/33)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
77% (114/149)75% (88/117)
Crosses
27% (4/15)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.23
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
97
Tackles
47% (7/15)42% (8/19)
Duels won
3543
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.010.98
Goals prevented
0.01-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Segura E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Choiniere M. 🟨,
  • 65', Hollingshead R. , Smolyakov A. ,
  • 65', Choiniere M. , Moran A. ,
  • 72', Miranchuk Al. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 72', Thiare J. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 78', Gregersen S. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 83', Segura E. , Ebobisse J. ,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Bouanga D. ,
  • 88', Delgado M. , Amaya F. ,
  • 90+1', Alzate S. , Leo Afonso ,
  • 90+1', Hernandez R. , Togashi C. ,
  • 90+3', Slisz B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles
70.3%
Draw
16.9%
Atlanta United
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 23.4% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 22.1% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Angeles - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.68)
    5.55
    (4)
    7.37
    (4.45)
    5.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Los Angeles - Atlanta United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.25 - Los Angeles (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Los Angeles (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (41 of 43 users predict this - 95.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.06%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Los Angeles will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 18 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • Los Angeles is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Los Angeles is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Los Angeles is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Los Angeles: Holm O. T. (Leg Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury) Long A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Brennan L. (International duty) Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Reilly W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • We predict that Los Angeles will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles - Atlanta United were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Atlanta United - Los Angeles 0:1
    07.06.2023 Los Angeles - Atlanta United 0:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)