Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH).

MLS
Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	2.38
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
76% (347/456)	70% (234/336)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	2.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.24	1.39
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
27	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
17	13
Passes
76% (347/456)	70% (234/336)
Long passes
36% (20/56)	25% (13/53)
Passes in final third
63% (76/120)	61% (70/115)
Crosses
17% (4/23)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.99
Throw-ins
20	21
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
40% (4/10)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
61	51
Clearances
30	38
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.39	0.24
Goals prevented
0.39	0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Marczuk D. 🟨,
22', Makhanya O. 🟨,
45+4', Glesnes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Damiani B. ⚽,
51', Harriel N. 🟨,
61', Makhanya O. 🟨,
63', Sullivan Q. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
63', Baribo T. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
64', Marczuk D. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
64', Anunga T. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
74', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
74', Echenique E. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
84', Iloski M. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
85', Westfield F. 🟨,
89', Engel L. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
90+1', Denkey K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cincinnati
37.3%

Draw
25.6%

Philadelphia Union
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

22.8%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

23.2%

25.3%

Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.83)	3.72 ↓ (4.13)	2.6 ↓ (3.65)	4.7% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 4% – 71%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Cincinnati (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cincinnati (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
Recent form of Cincinnati has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Philadelphia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Orellano L. (Muscle Injury) Robinson M. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Bender B. (Calf Injury) Blake A. (Injury) Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Vassilev I. (Concussion)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Philadelphia Union?

Cincinnati has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Cincinnati?

Philadelphia Union has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union were as follows:

01.03.2025 Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati 4:1

19.10.2024 Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati 1:2

13.08.2024 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 2:4

19.06.2024 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 4:3

25.11.2023 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 1:0

Latest results of Cincinnati

23.08.2025 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Portland Timbers - Cincinnati 2:3 ✺

10.08.2025 Cincinnati - Charlotte 0:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Cincinnati - Chivas Guadalajara 1:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Philadelphia Union

23.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 4:0 ✺

16.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺

13.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 3:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 1:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 ✺

MLS Table

2026

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Dallas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Houston Dynamo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Real Salt Lake	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	San Jose Earthquakes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Colorado Rapids	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sporting Kansas City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Seattle Sounders	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Portland Timbers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vancouver Whitecaps	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Minnesota United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Los Angeles FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Austin FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Louis City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	New England Revolution	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	DC United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Toronto FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	New York Red Bulls	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Columbus Crew	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Chicago Fire	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	CF Montreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Philadelphia Union	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Orlando City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	New York City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Cincinnati	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atlanta Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Nashville SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Inter Miami	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Charlotte	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)