Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (347/456) | 70% (234/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (347/456) | 70% (234/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/56) | 25% (13/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (76/120) | 61% (70/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Marczuk D. 🟨,
- 22', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 45+4', Glesnes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Damiani B. ⚽,
- 51', Harriel N. 🟨,
- 61', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 63', Sullivan Q. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
- 63', Baribo T. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
- 64', Marczuk D. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
- 64', Anunga T. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 74', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 74', Echenique E. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
- 84', Iloski M. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
- 85', Westfield F. 🟨,
- 89', Engel L. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 90+1', Denkey K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
37.3% | Draw
25.6% | Philadelphia Union
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(1.83) |
3.72 ↓
(4.13) |
2.6 ↓
(3.65) |
4.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
- Recent form of Cincinnati has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Philadelphia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O.
(Thigh Injury)
Orellano L.
(Muscle Injury)
Robinson M.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Bender B.
(Calf Injury)
Blake A.
(Injury)
Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
Vassilev I.
(Concussion)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Philadelphia Union?
Cincinnati has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Cincinnati?
Philadelphia Union has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
01.03.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Cincinnati
4:1
19.10.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Cincinnati
1:2
13.08.2024
Cincinnati
-
Philadelphia Union
2:4
19.06.2024
Cincinnati
-
Philadelphia Union
4:3
25.11.2023
Cincinnati
-
Philadelphia Union
1:0
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
