Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
45.3%
Draw
24.7%
Philadelphia Union
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 22.8% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 23.2% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.
  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.83)
    3.84
    (4.13)
    3.22
    (3.65)
    5.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
    • Cincinnati is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Philadelphia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • Cincinnati could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati 4:1
    19.10.2024 Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati 1:2
    13.08.2024 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 2:4
    19.06.2024 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 4:3
    25.11.2023 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 1:0
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
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    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Orlando City28138754:401447
    5Inter Miami25137554:401446
    6Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

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