Result
2:3
16/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (461/531) | 77% (311/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (461/531) | 77% (311/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 28% (15/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (122/162) | 58% (54/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.47 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Bucha P. (A),
- 12', Kelsy K. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 2, Bucha P. ⚽, Evander (A),
- 36', 0 - 3, Evander ⚽, Miazga M. (A),
- 38', 1 - 3, Kelsy K. ⚽, Lassiter A. (A),
- 45+3', Robinson M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Ortiz J. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
- 59', Echenique E. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
- 59', Denkey K. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 60', Paredes C. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 3, Kelsy K. (Pen),
- 78', Robinson M. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 83', Lassiter A. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 83', Miller K. ↓, Zuparic D. ↑,
- 85', Ayala D. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
- 90+1', Yedlin D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 90+1', Jimenez S. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portland Timbers 35.5% | Draw 28% | Cincinnati 36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Portland Timbers - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.67 ↑ (2.5) |
3.4 ↓ (3.6) |
2.59 ↓ (2.7) |
5.4% (4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cincinnati is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Portland: Moreno S.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Anunga T.
(Red Card)
Kubo Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Thigh Injury)
Sergio Santos
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against Cincinnati?
Portland Timbers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Portland Timbers?
Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Cincinnati were as follows:
22.04.2023
Cincinnati
-
Portland Timbers
2:1
Latest results of Portland Timbers
Latest results of Cincinnati
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal