Portland Timbers vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Portland Timbers - Cincinnati
Result
2:3
16/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.321.53
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
5031
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Long passes
58% (30/52)28% (15/54)
Passes in final third
75% (122/162)58% (54/93)
Crosses
26% (8/31)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.831.22
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
1844
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.531.32
Goals prevented
-1.47-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Bucha P. (A),
  • 12', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Bucha P. , Evander (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, Evander , Miazga M. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 3, Kelsy K. , Lassiter A. (A),
  • 45+3', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 59', Echenique E. , Mboma K. ,
  • 59', Denkey K. , Kamara K. ,
  • 60', Paredes C. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Kelsy K. (Pen),
  • 78', Robinson M. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 83', Lassiter A. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 83', Miller K. , Zuparic D. ,
  • 85', Ayala D. , Mora F. ,
  • 90+1', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+1', Jimenez S. , Valenzuela G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
35.5%
Draw
28%
Cincinnati
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.5% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 27.1% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Portland Timbers - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.5)
    3.4
    (3.6)
    2.59
    (2.7)
    5.4%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cincinnati is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Moreno S. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Anunga T. (Red Card) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Sergio Santos (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Cincinnati were as follows:
    22.04.2023 Cincinnati - Portland Timbers 2:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    10.08.2025 Cincinnati - Charlotte 0:1
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)