Portland Timbers vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
16/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.321.53
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
5031
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Long passes
58% (30/52)28% (15/54)
Passes in final third
75% (122/162)58% (54/93)
Crosses
26% (8/31)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.831.22
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
1844
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.531.32
Goals prevented
-1.47-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Bucha P. (A),
  • 12', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Bucha P. , Evander (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, Evander , Miazga M. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 3, Kelsy K. , Lassiter A. (A),
  • 45+3', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 59', Echenique E. , Mboma K. ,
  • 59', Denkey K. , Kamara K. ,
  • 60', Paredes C. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Kelsy K. (Pen),
  • 78', Robinson M. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 83', Lassiter A. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 83', Miller K. , Zuparic D. ,
  • 85', Ayala D. , Mora F. ,
  • 90+1', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+1', Jimenez S. , Valenzuela G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
35.5%
Draw
28%
Cincinnati
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.5% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 27.1% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Portland Timbers - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.5)
    3.4
    (3.6)
    2.59
    (2.7)
    5.4%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cincinnati is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Moreno S. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Anunga T. (Red Card) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Sergio Santos (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Cincinnati were as follows:
    22.04.2023 Cincinnati - Portland Timbers 2:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    10.08.2025 Cincinnati - Charlotte 0:1
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

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