Toronto FC vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
44.4%
Draw
26.5%
Cincinnati
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 26.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.2% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Toronto FC - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.14)
    3.54
    (3.48)
    3.25
    (3.08)
    6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Toronto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Cincinnati were as follows:
    08.03.2026 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:1
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    08.03.2025 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 2:0
    25.05.2024 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 3:4
    25.02.2024 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)