Cincinnati vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.76	0.69
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
2	5
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
8	7
Passes
86% (390/451)	77% (261/340)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.76	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.87	0.61
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
6	2
Shots inside the box
7	8
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
27	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
11	14
Passes
86% (390/451)	77% (261/340)
Long passes
63% (25/40)	27% (14/51)
Passes in final third
78% (110/141)	68% (80/118)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	1.11
Throw ins
20	18
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
60% (6/10)	67% (16/24)
Duels won
48	56
Clearances
32	34
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.61	0.87
Goals prevented
-0.39	0.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Echenique E. 🟨,
25', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Barlow T. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
63', Valenzuela G. ↓, Gidi S. ↑,
65', Edwards R. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
73', Aristizabal E. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
73', Zimmerman W. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
73', Cifuentes J. 🟨,
74', Echenique E. ↓, Evander ↑,
81', Hagglund N. 🟨,
85', 0 - 1, Salloi D. ⚽, Laryea R. (A),
86', Flores G. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
87', Hagglund N. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
90', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
90+1', Mihailovic D. ↓, Coello A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cincinnati
55.2%

Draw
24.2%

Toronto FC
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Cincinnati - Toronto FC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.79)	3.91 ↑ (3.78)	4.61 ↑ (4.24)	5.4% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Toronto FC?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Cincinnati (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4.
Cincinnati is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Corbeanu T. (Knee Injury) De Rosario A. (Hand Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kerr D. (Groin Injury) Wingo H. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Miazga M. (Leg Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Toronto FC?

Cincinnati has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Cincinnati?

Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Toronto FC were as follows:

14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1

08.03.2025 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 2:0

25.05.2024 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 3:4

25.02.2024 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:0

30.09.2023 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 2:3

Latest results of Cincinnati

28.02.2026 Minnesota United - Cincinnati 1:0 ✺

25.02.2026 Cincinnati - Universidad O&M 9:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Cincinnati - Atlanta United 2:0 ✺

18.02.2026 Universidad O&M - Cincinnati 0:4 ✺

23.01.2026 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Toronto FC

28.02.2026 Vancouver Whitecaps - Toronto FC 3:0 ✺

21.02.2026 FC Dallas - Toronto FC 3:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Toronto FC - Fredrikstad 0:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Toronto FC - AIK 2:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Toronto FC - Orlando City 4:2 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	4	4	0	0	14:1	13	12
2	Los Angeles FC	4	4	0	0	8:0	8	12
3	San Diego FC	4	3	1	0	11:3	8	10
4	San Jose Earthquakes	4	3	0	1	6:1	5	9
5	Seattle Sounders	4	3	0	1	5:2	3	9
6	Real Salt Lake	4	3	0	1	7:5	2	9
7	Colorado Rapids	4	2	0	2	7:6	1	6
8	Houston Dynamo	3	2	0	1	5:5	0	6
9	FC Dallas	4	1	2	1	6:6	0	5
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
11	Austin FC	4	1	1	2	5:7	-2	4
12	Sporting Kansas City	4	1	1	2	4:7	-3	4
13	Minnesota United	4	1	1	2	4:11	-7	4
14	Portland Timbers	4	1	0	3	6:11	-5	3
15	St. Louis City	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	New York City	4	3	1	0	11:3	8	10
2	Nashville SC	4	3	1	0	8:2	6	10
3	Inter Miami	4	2	1	1	6:6	0	7
4	New York Red Bulls	4	2	1	1	4:5	-1	7
5	DC United	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
6	Charlotte	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5
7	Chicago Fire	4	1	1	2	5:4	1	4
8	Toronto FC	4	1	1	2	4:7	-3	4
9	New England Revolution	3	1	0	2	7:6	1	3
10	Atlanta Utd	4	1	0	3	5:8	-3	3
11	FC Cincinnati	4	1	0	3	3:8	-5	3
12	CF Montreal	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3
13	Orlando City	4	1	0	3	5:12	-7	3
14	Columbus Crew	4	0	2	2	4:6	-2	2
15	Philadelphia Union	4	0	0	4	2:7	-5	0

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