Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (351/441) | 84% (390/467) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (351/441) | 84% (390/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (74/116) | 73% (80/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Yedlin D. (A),
- 19', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
- 20', Petretta R. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
- 24', Flores G. 🟨,
- 32', Evander 🟨,
- 36', Franklin K. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Denkey K. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
- 59', Evander ↓, Kubo Y. ↑,
- 59', Smith B. ↓, Engel L. ↑,
- 70', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 70', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 70', Insigne L. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 77', Hadebe T. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 85', Valenzuela G. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 90', Engel L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
31.4% | Draw
27.4% | Cincinnati
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Toronto FC aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Toronto FC - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.96) |
3.48 ↓
(3.65) |
2.32 ↑
(2.27) |
5%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
- Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cincinnati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Toronto: Cimermancic M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kerr D.
(Ankle Injury)
Osorio J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Cincinnati?
Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Toronto FC?
Cincinnati has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Cincinnati were as follows:
08.03.2025
Cincinnati
-
Toronto FC
2:0
25.05.2024
Toronto FC
-
Cincinnati
3:4
25.02.2024
Cincinnati
-
Toronto FC
0:0
30.09.2023
Toronto FC
-
Cincinnati
2:3
21.06.2023
Cincinnati
-
Toronto FC
3:0
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
