Toronto FC vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.95
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1123
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Long passes
36% (24/67)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)73% (80/109)
Crosses
19% (3/16)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.29
Throw-ins
2925
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
614
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.950.26
Goals prevented
0.950.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Yedlin D. (A),
  • 19', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
  • 20', Petretta R. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
  • 24', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 32', Evander 🟨,
  • 36', Franklin K. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Denkey K. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
  • 59', Evander ↓, Kubo Y. ↑,
  • 59', Smith B. ↓, Engel L. ↑,
  • 70', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
  • 70', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
  • 70', Insigne L. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
  • 77', Hadebe T. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
  • 85', Valenzuela G. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
  • 90', Engel L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
31.4%		Draw
27.4%		Cincinnati
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 26% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25.5% 42.8%

Toronto FC - Cincinnati Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.02 ↑
(2.96)		 3.48 ↓
(3.65)		 2.32 ↑
(2.27)		 5%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
    • Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cincinnati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Cimermancic M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Cincinnati were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 2:0
    25.05.2024 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 3:4
    25.02.2024 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.09.2023 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 2:3
    21.06.2023 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    10.05.2025 Toronto FC - DC United 2:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Toronto FC - New England Revolution 0:2 ✺
    30.04.2025 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    26.04.2025 Toronto FC - New York City 0:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Real Salt Lake - Toronto FC 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Chicago Fire - Cincinnati 2:3 ✺
    12.04.2025 DC United - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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