Toronto FC vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Toronto FC - Cincinnati
Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.95
Total shots
814
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1123
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
80% (351/441)84% (390/467)
Long passes
36% (24/67)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)73% (80/109)
Crosses
19% (3/16)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.29
Throw-ins
2925
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
614
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.950.26
Goals prevented
0.950.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Yedlin D. (A),
  • 19', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
  • 20', Petretta R. , Franklin K. ,
  • 24', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 32', Evander 🟨,
  • 36', Franklin K. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Denkey K. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 59', Evander , Kubo Y. ,
  • 59', Smith B. , Engel L. ,
  • 70', Bernardeschi F. , Spicer T. ,
  • 70', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 70', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 77', Hadebe T. , Powell A. ,
  • 85', Valenzuela G. , Kamara K. ,
  • 90', Engel L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
31.4%
Draw
27.4%
Cincinnati
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 26% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25.5% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Toronto FC aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Toronto FC - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.96)
    3.48
    (3.65)
    2.32
    (2.27)
    5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
    • Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cincinnati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Cimermancic M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Cincinnati were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 2:0
    25.05.2024 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 3:4
    25.02.2024 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.09.2023 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 2:3
    21.06.2023 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 3:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)