Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.23 | 1.12 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
80% (351/441) | 84% (390/467) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.23 | 1.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.26 | 1.95 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
80% (351/441) | 84% (390/467) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (24/67) | 38% (15/40) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (74/116) | 73% (80/109) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.27 | 1.29 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
6 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.95 | 0.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.95 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Yedlin D. (A),
- 19', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
- 20', Petretta R. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
- 24', Flores G. 🟨,
- 32', Evander 🟨,
- 36', Franklin K. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Denkey K. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
- 59', Evander ↓, Kubo Y. ↑,
- 59', Smith B. ↓, Engel L. ↑,
- 70', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 70', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 70', Insigne L. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 77', Hadebe T. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 85', Valenzuela G. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 90', Engel L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC 31.4% | Draw 27.4% | Cincinnati 41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Toronto FC aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Toronto FC - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.02 ↑ (2.96) |
3.48 ↓ (3.65) |
2.32 ↑ (2.27) |
5% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
- Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cincinnati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Toronto: Cimermancic M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kerr D.
(Ankle Injury)
Osorio J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Cincinnati?
Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Toronto FC?
Cincinnati has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Cincinnati were as follows:
08.03.2025
Cincinnati
-
Toronto FC
2:0
25.05.2024
Toronto FC
-
Cincinnati
3:4
25.02.2024
Cincinnati
-
Toronto FC
0:0
30.09.2023
Toronto FC
-
Cincinnati
2:3
21.06.2023
Cincinnati
-
Toronto FC
3:0
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:34 | 20 | 56 |
2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 51 |
3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 44 |
5 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
7 | Austin FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 38 |
8 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 36 |
9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 35 |
10 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 32 |
11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
12 | FC Dallas | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 43:57 | -14 | 27 |
14 | St. Louis City | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 21 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 32:55 | -23 | 19 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 57 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 52 |
3 | Charlotte | 29 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Nashville SC | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
6 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
8 | New York City | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 44 |
9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 40 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50:48 | 2 | 39 |
11 | New England Revolution | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 31 |
12 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
13 | Toronto FC | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 25 |
14 | CF Montreal | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:51 | -22 | 24 |
15 | DC United | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)