SPAL vs Cittadella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B SPAL - Cittadella
Result
2:1
05/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Highlights

Chances of winning


SPAL
32.4%
Draw
31.5%
Cittadella
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 31.6% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 32.8% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • SPAL - Cittadella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.67)
    2.97
    (2.93)
    2.61
    (2.77)
    6.3%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for SPAL - Cittadella?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Cittadella will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%84.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (21.88%), has project points - 38, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (72%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Cittadella has the most likely position - 13 (11.1%), has project points - 48, has currently - 34, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 28, importance 38, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1.
    • SPAL has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cittadella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Cittadella were as follows:
    15.10.2022 Cittadella - SPAL 0:0
    Latest results of SPAL
    01.03.2023 SPAL - Frosinone 0:2
    25.02.2023 Genoa - SPAL 3:0
    18.02.2023 SPAL - Como 1:1
    11.02.2023 Venezia - SPAL 2:1
    04.02.2023 SPAL - Bari 3:4
    Latest results of Cittadella
    01.03.2023 Cittadella - Brescia 0:0
    25.02.2023 Ternana - Cittadella 1:2
    18.02.2023 Cittadella - Reggina 3:2
    11.02.2023 Frosinone - Cittadella 3:0
    04.02.2023 Cittadella - Ascoli 3:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2