Result
2:1
05/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
Chances of winning
SPAL
32.4% | Draw
31.5% | Cittadella
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
SPAL - Cittadella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.67) |
2.97 ↑
(2.93) |
2.61 ↓
(2.77) |
6.3%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for SPAL - Cittadella?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Cittadella will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (21.88%), has project points - 38, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (72%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Cittadella has the most likely position - 13 (11.1%), has project points - 48, has currently - 34, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 28, importance 38, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1.
- SPAL has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cittadella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Cittadella?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against SPAL?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Cittadella were as follows:
15.10.2022
Cittadella
-
SPAL
0:0
Latest results of Cittadella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
