Clermont vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.520.71
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
33
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
50
Passes
88% (469/530)81% (281/345)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.520.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.77
Total shots
108
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
1314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1520
Passes
88% (469/530)81% (281/345)
Long passes
62% (23/37)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
70% (83/119)65% (37/57)
Crosses
14% (3/21)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.31
Throw ins
2415
Fouls
2015
Tackles
86% (12/14)44% (4/9)
Duels won
3635
Clearances
1425
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.771.22
Goals prevented
-0.231.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Diedhiou F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Versini G. , Ruiz J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Beusnard S. 🟨,
  • 72', Anziani J. , Fall C. ,
  • 74', Kone E. H. 🟨,
  • 76', Caufriez M. , Coulibaly I. ,
  • 76', Gastien J. , Hunou A. ,
  • 77', Versini G. , Dong K. ,
  • 77', Sissoko O. , Sadik O. ,
  • 86', Touzghar R. , Bobichon A. ,
  • 87', Pouilly T. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 87', Cantero E. , Camblan A. ,
  • 88', Kone E. H. , Nsimba V. ,
  • 90', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sow S. , Fakili I. ,
  • 90+3', Guivarch T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Clermont
38.8%
Draw
27.9%
Pau
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 27.5% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 26.8% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Clermont - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.6)
    3.37
    (3.35)
    2.81
    (2.48)
    6.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Clermont - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Clermont: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
    • Recent performances by Clermont have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pau has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Clermont: Boto K. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Saivet H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Yellow Cards) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Kante (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Pau: Briancon A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Clermont - Pau were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1
    11.04.2025 Pau - Clermont 2:2
    16.08.2024 Clermont - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Clermont
    07.03.2026 Troyes - Clermont 2:1
    27.02.2026 Clermont - Dunkerque 2:1
    20.02.2026 Boulogne - Clermont 0:2
    13.02.2026 Clermont - Rodez 1:2
    09.02.2026 Amiens - Clermont 4:3
    Latest results of Pau
    06.03.2026 Pau - Bastia 2:2
    28.02.2026 Pau - Saint-Étienne 0:3
    21.02.2026 Troyes - Pau 4:3
    13.02.2026 Pau - Boulogne 1:2
    06.02.2026 Red Star - Pau 0:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National