Result
2:2
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Chapapria R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (355/407) | 87% (343/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.49 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (355/407) | 87% (343/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 46% (18/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (112/139) | 69% (60/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.64 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 3.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | 1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Saivet H. ⚽, Douane M. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Mboup P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 2, Douane M. ⚽, Bamba K. (A),
- 55', Magnin Y. 🟨,
- 66', Bamba K. ↓, Diedhiou F. ↑,
- 67', Kante 🟨,
- 68', Ackra A. 🟨,
- 73', Obiang J. ↓, Kalulu J. ↑,
- 73', Bangre M. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 73', Ngom O. ↓, Chahiri M. ↑,
- 74', Ackra A. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
- 74', Bassouamina M. ↓, Diagouraga T. ↑,
- 75', Salmier Y. 🟨,
- 81', Koudou T. ↓, Gaspar J. ↑,
- 82', Diallo B. ↓, Bellache Y. ↑,
- 82', Douane M. ↓, Konate C. O. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Mille A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pau
47.1% | Draw
26.3% | Clermont
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Pau - Clermont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.86) |
3.58 ↑
(3.57) |
3.52 ↓
(3.95) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pau - Clermont?
Users Predictions:
Pau will win
(22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Recent matches Pau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Clermont is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Pau will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Pau: Arconte T.
(Ankle Injury)
Bobichon A.
(Ankle Injury)
Lopy J.
(Inactive)
Meddah D.
(Inactive)
Ngom O.
(Inactive)
Ruiz J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Clermont: Da Silva D.
(Red Card)
Gastien J.
(Red Card)
M'Bahia I.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Clermont?
Pau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Pau?
Clermont has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Clermont were as follows:
16.08.2024
Clermont
-
Pau
2:2
Latest results of Clermont
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
