Pau vs Clermont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.68
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
88% (376/429)89% (443/500)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.100.58
Total shots
711
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
88% (376/429)89% (443/500)
Long passes
59% (30/51)62% (26/42)
Passes in final third
79% (77/97)70% (82/117)
Crosses
27% (4/15)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.72
Throw-ins
1812
Fouls
1111
Tackles
88% (7/8)86% (12/14)
Duels won
2432
Clearances
1513
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.582.10
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Sadik O. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Versini G. , Touzghar R. (A),
  • 33', 3 - 0, Versini G. , Beusnard S. (A),
  • 43', Beusnard S. , Gasnier K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bellache Y. , Ackra A. ,
  • 46', Boto K. , Coulibaly I. ,
  • 67', Gastien J. , Baallal A. ,
  • 68', Sadik O. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 68', Pouilly T. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 74', Socka Bongue L. , Fakili I. ,
  • 77', Kalulu J. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 77', Versini G. , Karamoko S. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Bamba K. , Baallal A. (A),

Chances of winning


Pau
68.4%
Draw
19%
Clermont
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 27.4% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 26.8% 21%

Pau - Clermont Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.84)
5.95
(3.45)
9.06
(4.38)
-7.7%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pau - Clermont?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • EH +1 - Clermont (10.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Clermont (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Pau (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Pau will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.74%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pau will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Clermont (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 10).
    • Pau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Clermont's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Pau is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Lebouath S. (Inactive) Messi R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Injury) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Hunou A. (Inactive) Salmier Y. (Red Card)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Clermont were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Pau - Clermont 2:2
    16.08.2024 Clermont - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    23.09.2025 Pau - Laval 1:0
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    29.08.2025 Nancy - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Clermont
    26.09.2025 Clermont - Le Mans 1:1
    23.09.2025 Reims - Clermont 4:1
    19.09.2025 Rodez - Clermont 0:1
    13.09.2025 Clermont - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    29.08.2025 Laval - Clermont 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes21125433:201341
    2Reims21115537:231438
    3Le Mans21108326:18838
    4Red Star21107430:191137
    5St Etienne21104736:27934
    6Dunkerque2196635:231233
    7Guingamp2195733:33032
    8Annecy2194827:21631
    9Montpellier2194824:21331
    10Pau FC2187630:33-331
    11Rodez2169626:29-327
    12Grenoble2167823:28-525
    13Boulogne21651022:31-923
    14Clermont2157921:26-522
    15Nancy21641118:29-1122
    16Amiens21541223:32-919
    17Laval21371114:29-1516
    18Bastia21361211:27-1615

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National