Pau vs Clermont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.68
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
88% (376/429)89% (443/500)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.100.58
Total shots
711
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
88% (376/429)89% (443/500)
Long passes
59% (30/51)62% (26/42)
Passes in final third
79% (77/97)70% (82/117)
Crosses
27% (4/15)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.72
Throw-ins
1812
Fouls
1111
Tackles
88% (7/8)86% (12/14)
Duels won
2432
Clearances
1513
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.582.10
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Sadik O. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Versini G. , Touzghar R. (A),
  • 33', 3 - 0, Versini G. , Beusnard S. (A),
  • 43', Beusnard S. , Gasnier K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bellache Y. , Ackra A. ,
  • 46', Boto K. , Coulibaly I. ,
  • 67', Gastien J. , Baallal A. ,
  • 68', Sadik O. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 68', Pouilly T. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 74', Socka Bongue L. , Fakili I. ,
  • 77', Kalulu J. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 77', Versini G. , Karamoko S. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Bamba K. , Baallal A. (A),

Chances of winning


Pau
68.4%
Draw
19%
Clermont
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 27.4% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 26.8% 21%

Pau - Clermont Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.84)
5.95
(3.45)
9.06
(4.38)
-7.7%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pau - Clermont?
  • Users Predictions: Pau will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.74%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pau will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 10).
    • Pau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Clermont's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Pau is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Lebouath S. (Inactive) Messi R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Injury) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Hunou A. (Inactive) Salmier Y. (Red Card)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Clermont were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Pau - Clermont 2:2
    16.08.2024 Clermont - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    23.09.2025 Pau - Laval 1:0
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    29.08.2025 Nancy - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Clermont
    26.09.2025 Clermont - Le Mans 1:1
    23.09.2025 Reims - Clermont 4:1
    19.09.2025 Rodez - Clermont 0:1
    13.09.2025 Clermont - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    29.08.2025 Laval - Clermont 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National