Ontario Reign vs Coachella Valley Firebirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
01/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2131
Shooting PCT
4.76% (1/21)16.13% (5/31)
Goalkeeper Saves
2620
Saves PCT
83.87% (26/31)95.24% (20/21)
Penalties
35
PIM
913
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)80% (4/5)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 00:54, 0 - 1, Firkus J. (G), Nyman J. (A), Price C. (A2)
  • 08:14, 0 - 2, Roed L. (G), Nelson T. (A),
  • 08:55, 1 - 2, Hughes J. (G), Bolduc S. (A), Pinelli F. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 04:17, 1 - 3, Stephens M. (G), Roed L. (A), Sale E. (A2)
  • 16:02, 1 - 4, Roed L. (G), Jugnauth T. (A), Morrison L. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 09:34, 1 - 5, Firkus J. (G),

Chances of winning


Ontario Reign
43.3%
Draw
22.3%
Coachella Valley Firebirds
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 23.3% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 24.4% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ontario Reign has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ontario Reign's form might have worsened.
  • Coachella Valley Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coachella Valley Firebirds's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coachella Valley Firebirds than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coachella Valley Firebirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.86)
    4.15
    (3.9)
    2.68
    (3.27)
    8.4%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ontario will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Coachella Valley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Coachella Valley has had a series of home games.
    • Ontario might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Ontario will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 56:55. (average 2.8:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 2.5:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds were as follows:
    23.01.2026 Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign 2:3
    03.01.2026 Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds 3:2
    25.01.2025 Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds 3:0
    04.01.2025 Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds 3:4
    28.12.2024 Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign 3:4
    Latest results of Ontario Reign
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins47281018157:9277
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton51285513171:13571
    3Charlotte Checkers48235317161:13259
    4Hershey Bears49175819135:15052
    5Bridgeport Islanders49183721150:15049
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms48148422134:15148
    7Springfield Thunderbirds50163625135:18244
    8Hartford Wolf Pack48143625119:16840


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins4933637170:9381
    2Chicago Wolves471961111148:14061
    3Texas Stars49177421140:15152
    4Manitoba Moose44203417117:12150
    5Milwaukee Admirals47137522133:14345
    6Rockford IceHogs49135427134:16440
    7Iowa Wild4794529107:15731


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign50248216167:13966
    2Colorado Eagles47236612150:11264
    3Bakersfield Condors50216815173:15762
    4San Jose Barracuda46199315157:14259
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds49198517167:14859
    6San Diego Gulls471751015140:13654
    7Tucson Roadrunners471210817151:15552
    8Henderson Silver Knights46173818148:15048
    9Calgary Wranglers501081220136:18248
    10Abbotsford Canucks52126628117:17842


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket51248514167:13369
    2Syracuse Crunch50282416163:12464
    3Cleveland Monsters491511716145:14759
    4Rochester Americans49195817155:14456
    5Toronto Marlies49177718152:16155
    6Belleville Senators53156824168:19250
    7Utica Comets47123824114:15238

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )