Result
1:2
28/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (280/388) | 62% (167/269) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (280/388) | 62% (167/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (31/83) | 30% (18/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (68/111) | 53% (58/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 61 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Anderson H. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 28', Green K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 0 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Khouri E. (A),
- 51', 1 - 1, Edwards O. ⚽, Payne J. (A),
- 76', 1 - 2, Khouri E. ⚽, Barrington L. (A),
- 77', Green K. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 79', Khouri E. 🟨,
- 82', Hunt R. 🟨,
- 84', Edwards O. 🟨,
- 84', Hunt R. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
- 84', Kelleher F. ↓, Simpson T. ↑,
- 85', Gordon J. ↓, Thorn O. ↑,
- 88', McEachran G. ↓, Thompson C. ↑,
- 88', Barrington L. ↓, Luker J. ↑,
- 89', Read A. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Colchester United
42% | Draw
31.7% | Grimsby Town
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Colchester United - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.14) |
2.97 ↓
(3.19) |
3.59 ↑
(3.45) |
6.1%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
Colchester United will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 4.
- Colchester is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Grimsby is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Grimsby have a series of home games.
- Colchester will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Colchester: Oni M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L.
(Injury)
Gardner C.
(Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Inactive)
Vernam C.
(Thigh Injury)
Wilson D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: McJannett C.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Colchester won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:16 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Grimsby Town?
Colchester United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Colchester United?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Grimsby Town were as follows:
23.11.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
0:1
16.04.2024
Colchester United
-
Grimsby Town
2:0
24.10.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
2:3
11.02.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
0:1
17.09.2022
Colchester United
-
Grimsby Town
0:1
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Swindon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Salford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Harrogate | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Barrow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Barnet | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Notts Co | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
| 17 | Colchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | Oldham | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Newport | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Accrington | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 22 | Crawley | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
