Colchester United vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester).

League Two - Round 29
Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.79	1.22
Ball possession
63%	37%
Total shots
25	13
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
8	5
Passes
81% (409/503)	67% (193/290)
Yellow cards
3	3
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.79	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.14	0.60
Total shots
25	13
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked shots
14	4
Shots inside the box
18	8
Shots outside the box
7	5
Hit the woodwork
2	2
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
47	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
13	14
Passes
81% (409/503)	67% (193/290)
Long passes
47% (30/64)	39% (26/66)
Passes in final third
71% (145/203)	48% (55/114)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.60	0.40
Throw ins
32	12
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
40% (8/20)	69% (18/26)
Duels won
61	69
Clearances
24	47
Interceptions
6	16
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.60	1.14
Goals prevented
-0.40	1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Rodgers H. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Tovide S. 🟨,
57', Tovide S. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
57', Terry F. ↓, Gape D. ↑,
61', Green K. 🟨,
65', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
66', Green K. 🟨,
69', Burns D. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
70', Vernam C. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
75', Cook A. 🟨,
76', Gape D. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
81', Lisbie K. 🟨,
82', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
82', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
83', Edwards O. ↓, Akande A. ↑,
90+10', Araujo H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Colchester United
39.6%

Draw
29.2%

Grimsby Town
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.2%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Colchester United - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	6.6% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Colchester United - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Colchester (1.95) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Colchester (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Colchester (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Colchester (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Colchester (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Grimsby (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 4.
Colchester is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Grimsby is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Colchester might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Grimsby Town?

Colchester United has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Colchester United?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Grimsby Town were as follows:

11.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 1:2

28.03.2025 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 1:2

23.11.2024 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 0:1

16.04.2024 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 2:0

24.10.2023 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 2:3

Latest results of Colchester United

24.01.2026 Colchester United - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

01.01.2026 Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Crawley Town - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

24.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town 0:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Barnet 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Weston-super-Mare 3:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League