Colchester United vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester).

League Two - Round 29
Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.79	1.22
Ball possession
63%	37%
Total shots
25	13
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
8	5
Passes
81% (409/503)	67% (193/290)
Yellow cards
3	3
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.79	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.14	0.60
Total shots
25	13
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked shots
14	4
Shots inside the box
18	8
Shots outside the box
7	5
Hit the woodwork
2	2
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
47	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
13	14
Passes
81% (409/503)	67% (193/290)
Long passes
47% (30/64)	39% (26/66)
Passes in final third
71% (145/203)	48% (55/114)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.60	0.40
Throw ins
32	12
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
40% (8/20)	69% (18/26)
Duels won
61	69
Clearances
24	47
Interceptions
6	16
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.60	1.14
Goals prevented
-0.40	1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Rodgers H. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Tovide S. 🟨,
57', Tovide S. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
57', Terry F. ↓, Gape D. ↑,
61', Green K. 🟨,
65', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
66', Green K. 🟨,
69', Burns D. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
70', Vernam C. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
75', Cook A. 🟨,
76', Gape D. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
81', Lisbie K. 🟨,
82', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
82', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
83', Edwards O. ↓, Akande A. ↑,
90+10', Araujo H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Colchester United
39.6%

Draw
29.2%

Grimsby Town
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.2%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Colchester United - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	6.6% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Colchester United - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 4% – 71%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Colchester (1.95) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Colchester (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Colchester (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Colchester (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Colchester (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Colchester (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Grimsby (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 4.
Colchester is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Grimsby is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Colchester might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Grimsby Town?

Colchester United has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Colchester United?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Grimsby Town were as follows:

11.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 1:2

28.03.2025 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 1:2

23.11.2024 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 0:1

16.04.2024 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 2:0

24.10.2023 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 2:3

Latest results of Colchester United

24.01.2026 Colchester United - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Colchester United - Accrington Stanley Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

24.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town 0:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Barnet 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Grimsby Town - Weston-super-Mare 3:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Cambridge United - Grimsby Town Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League