Colchester United vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Colchester United - Grimsby Town
Result
1:2
28/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 39
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.42
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
72% (280/388)62% (167/269)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.65
Total shots
716
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1327
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
72% (280/388)62% (167/269)
Long passes
37% (31/83)30% (18/60)
Passes in final third
61% (68/111)53% (58/110)
Crosses
15% (2/13)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.241.17
Fouls
1514
Tackles
59% (10/17)47% (9/19)
Duels won
6961
Clearances Total
2918
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.650.78
Goals prevented
-0.35-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Anderson H. , Gordon J. ,
  • 28', Green K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Green K. , Khouri E. (A),
  • 51', 1 - 1, Edwards O. , Payne J. (A),
  • 76', 1 - 2, Khouri E. , Barrington L. (A),
  • 77', Green K. , Davies J. ,
  • 79', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 82', Hunt R. 🟨,
  • 84', Edwards O. 🟨,
  • 84', Hunt R. , Vincent-Young K. ,
  • 84', Kelleher F. , Simpson T. ,
  • 85', Gordon J. , Thorn O. ,
  • 88', McEachran G. , Thompson C. ,
  • 88', Barrington L. , Luker J. ,
  • 89', Read A. , Scully A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Colchester United
42%
Draw
31.7%
Grimsby Town
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 29.3% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 28.9% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Colchester United - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.14)
    2.97
    (3.19)
    3.59
    (3.45)
    6.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Colchester United - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: Colchester United will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 4.
    • Colchester is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Grimsby is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Grimsby have a series of home games.
    • Colchester will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Colchester: Oni M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Thigh Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: McJannett C. (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Colchester won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:16 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 0:1
    16.04.2024 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 2:0
    24.10.2023 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 2:3
    11.02.2023 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 0:1
    17.09.2022 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 0:1
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grimsby11003:033
    2Crewe11003:123
    3Fleetwood11002:023
    4Walsall11002:113
    5Chesterfield11001:013
    6Cambridge Utd11001:013
    7Harrogate11001:013
    8Colchester10101:101
    9Gillingham10101:101
    10Tranmere10101:101
    11Accrington10101:101
    12Notts Co10101:101
    13Newport10101:101
    14Oldham10100:001
    15MK Dons10100:001
    16Shrewsbury10100:001
    17Bromley10100:001
    18Swindon10011:2-10
    19Bristol Rovers10010:1-10
    20Cheltenham10010:1-10
    21Barrow10010:1-10
    22Salford10011:3-20
    23Barnet10010:2-20
    24Crawley10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League