Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 12
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (256/363) | 71% (203/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (256/363) | 71% (203/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (23/63) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (85/134) | 62% (73/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Green K. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
- 25', McEachran G. 🟨,
- 27', Khouri E. 🟨,
- 27', Tucker J. 🟨,
- 33', Payne J. 🟨,
- 35', Iandolo E. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Mbick M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Read A. 🟨,
- 56', Burns D. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Mbick M. ⚽, Araujo H. (A),
- 70', Lisbie K. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
- 73', Kabia J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 73', Vernam C. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
- 82', McEachran G. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
- 82', Sweeney J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
- 86', Green K. 🟨,
- 88', Mbick M. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 90+2', Payne J. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
49% | Draw
27.8% | Colchester United
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Grimsby Town - Colchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.67) |
3.36 ↓
(3.76) |
4.09 ↓
(4.78) |
5.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Colchester United?
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Grimsby is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Flanagan T.
(Calf Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Goodwin W.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Colchester United?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Grimsby Town?
Colchester United has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Colchester United were as follows:
28.03.2025
Colchester United
-
Grimsby Town
1:2
23.11.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
0:1
16.04.2024
Colchester United
-
Grimsby Town
2:0
24.10.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
2:3
11.02.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
0:1
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Colchester United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 15 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 | Accrington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
