Result
0:1
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 29
- Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
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| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
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| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (409/503) | 67% (193/290) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.79 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.14 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
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| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 14 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 18 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 47 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (409/503) | 67% (193/290) |
| Long passes |
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| 47% (30/64) | 39% (26/66) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 71% (145/203) | 48% (55/114) |
| Crosses |
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| 19% (5/27) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
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| 32 | 12 |
| Fouls |
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| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 40% (8/20) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
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| 61 | 69 |
| Clearances |
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| 24 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.60 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.40 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Rodgers H. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Tovide S. 🟨,
- 57', Tovide S. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 57', Terry F. ↓, Gape D. ↑,
- 61', Green K. 🟨,
- 65', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 66', Green K. 🟨,
- 69', Burns D. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
- 70', Vernam C. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
- 75', Cook A. 🟨,
- 76', Gape D. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 81', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 82', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
- 82', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 83', Edwards O. ↓, Akande A. ↑,
- 90+10', Araujo H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colchester United 39.6% | Draw 29.2% | Grimsby Town 31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Colchester United - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↑ (2.28) |
3.22 ↓ (3.25) |
3.01 ↑ (2.9) |
6.6% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Colchester (1.95) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Colchester (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Colchester (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Colchester (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Colchester (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Colchester (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Grimsby (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 4.
- Colchester is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Grimsby is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Colchester might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Grimsby Town?
Colchester United has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Colchester United?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Grimsby Town were as follows:
11.10.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
1:2
28.03.2025
Colchester United
-
Grimsby Town
1:2
23.11.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
0:1
16.04.2024
Colchester United
-
Grimsby Town
2:0
24.10.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
2:3
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 54:32 | 22 | 62 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 46:30 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:24 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Swindon | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 50:34 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 59:33 | 26 | 54 |
| 6 | Salford | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Walsall | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:41 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Crewe | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Barnet | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 11 | Colchester | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 45 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 13 | Accrington | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | Oldham | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 43:51 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:50 | -22 | 27 |
| 20 | Crawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 32:51 | -19 | 26 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 26 |
| 22 | Barrow | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 24 |
| 23 | Newport | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22:50 | -28 | 21 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League