Grimsby Town vs Colchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Grimsby Town - Colchester United
Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 12
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.94
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
71% (256/363)71% (203/287)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.181.73
Total shots
615
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2531
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
71% (256/363)71% (203/287)
Long passes
37% (23/63)29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
63% (85/134)62% (73/118)
Crosses
17% (4/24)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.66
Throw-ins
3624
Fouls
1412
Tackles
50% (13/26)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6356
Clearances
1944
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.730.18
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Green K. , Vernam C. (A),
  • 25', McEachran G. 🟨,
  • 27', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 27', Tucker J. 🟨,
  • 33', Payne J. 🟨,
  • 35', Iandolo E. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Mbick M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Read A. 🟨,
  • 56', Burns D. , Svanthorsson J. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Mbick M. , Araujo H. (A),
  • 70', Lisbie K. , Edwards O. ,
  • 73', Kabia J. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 73', Vernam C. , Soonsup-Bell J. ,
  • 82', McEachran G. , Walker J. ,
  • 82', Sweeney J. , Rose D. ,
  • 86', Green K. 🟨,
  • 88', Mbick M. , Williams J. ,
  • 90+2', Payne J. , Hunt R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
49%
Draw
27.8%
Colchester United
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 24.8% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 23.8% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.
  • Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Grimsby Town - Colchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.67)
    3.36
    (3.76)
    4.09
    (4.78)
    5.4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Colchester United?
  • Users Predictions: Grimsby Town will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Grimsby is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Colchester: Akande A. (Knee Injury) Flanagan T. (Calf Injury) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Goodwin W. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Colchester United were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 1:2
    23.11.2024 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 0:1
    16.04.2024 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 2:0
    24.10.2023 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 2:3
    11.02.2023 Grimsby Town - Colchester United 0:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Colchester United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1482419:13626
    2Swindon1482424:19526
    3Salford1481520:18225
    4MK Dons1473427:151224
    5Notts Co1473425:151024
    6Grimsby1473427:18924
    7Chesterfield1465324:21323
    8Gillingham1464419:14522
    9Crewe1471620:18222
    10Fleetwood1464421:20122
    11Bromley1456321:18321
    12Barnet1463518:15321
    13Cambridge Utd1463516:15121
    14Colchester1446421:18318
    15Barrow1453613:15-218
    16Bristol Rovers1452714:25-1117
    17Oldham1437412:12016
    18Tranmere1336421:19215
    19Harrogate1442815:23-814
    20Cheltenham1442810:25-1514
    21Shrewsbury1434712:22-1013
    22Accrington1333712:16-412
    23Crawley1433814:22-812
    24Newport1432914:23-911

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League