Result
1:4
21/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (308/382) | 83% (330/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (308/382) | 83% (330/397) |
| Long passes |
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| 66% (40/61) | 35% (18/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (68/110) | 62% (55/89) |
| Crosses |
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| 44% (8/18) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
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| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 14 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.90 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Diop M. (Pen),
- 32', 0 - 1, Diop M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 1 - 1, Harper C. (Own goal),
- 61', Kossa-Rienzi K. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
- 65', Amadou D. 🟨,
- 75', Fadal A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 76', Carli E. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,
- 77', Khoury J. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Wathuta S. (A),
- 83', Wathuta S. ↓, Cameron J. ↑,
- 83', Senanou M. ↓, Rinaldi V. ↑,
- 88', Diop M. ↓, Flores S. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Harris A. ⚽, Bassett S. (A),
- 90+2', 1 - 4, Cameron J. ⚽, Amadou D. (A),
- 90+3', Pedder R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tacoma Defiance 26.7% | Draw 21.3% | Colorado Rapids 2 51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tacoma Defiance's form might have worsened.Colorado Rapids 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colorado Rapids 2's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colorado Rapids 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.48 ↑ (2.75) |
4.36 ↑ (4.05) |
1.79 ↓ (2.08) |
7.6% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
- Tacoma is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Colorado Rapids 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tacoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Colorado Rapids 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 2.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Colorado Rapids 2?
Tacoma Defiance has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colorado Rapids 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?
Colorado Rapids 2 has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2 were as follows:
20.07.2025
Colorado Rapids 2
-
Tacoma Defiance
6:4
24.03.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
Colorado Rapids 2
4:2
13.08.2023
Tacoma Defiance
-
Colorado Rapids 2
1:3
18.06.2023
Colorado Rapids 2
-
Tacoma Defiance
1:2
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Latest results of Colorado Rapids 2
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |