Columbus Crew vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.882.05
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
84% (466/556)73% (242/333)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.882.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.36
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3021
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
146
Passes
84% (466/556)73% (242/333)
Long passes
36% (16/45)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
78% (142/183)62% (69/112)
Crosses
19% (4/21)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.06
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
614
Tackles
72% (13/18)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
1427
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.360.96
Goals prevented
0.36-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Zawadzki S. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Martinez J. , Leroux B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez J. , Judd P. ,
  • 54', Russell-Rowe J. , Jackson A. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Arfsten M. , Jackson A. (A),
  • 66', Vitor Costa , Jones D. ,
  • 66', Pellegrino A. , Bouda O. ,
  • 75', Leroux B. , Kaye M. ,
  • 75', Harkes I. , Tsakiris N. ,
  • 84', Moreira S. 🟨,
  • 86', Schulte P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew
64%
Draw
19.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25.1% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 24.5% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Crew's performance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.77)
    4.9
    (3.81)
    5.76
    (4.53)
    4.8%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Columbus (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Columbus (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Columbus Crew will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Columbus won 2.
    • Columbus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • San Jose is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Columbus is a favorite.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Daniel (Injury) Fernandez N. (Inactive) Lopez H. (Shoulder Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Hagen N. (Finger Injury) Lappalainen L. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Columbus won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Columbus won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)