Columbus Crew vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1

26/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lower.com Field (Columbus, OH).

MLS
Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	2.05
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
3	5
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
84% (466/556)	73% (242/333)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	2.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.96	1.36
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
11	12
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
3	5
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
30	21
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
14	6
Passes
84% (466/556)	73% (242/333)
Long passes
36% (16/45)	39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
78% (142/183)	62% (69/112)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.38	1.06
Throw-ins
25	14
Fouls
6	14
Tackles
72% (13/18)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
42	49
Clearances
14	27
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
1.36	0.96
Goals prevented
0.36	-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Zawadzki S. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Leroux B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
54', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Arfsten M. ⚽, Jackson A. (A),
66', Vitor Costa ↓, Jones D. ↑,
66', Pellegrino A. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
75', Leroux B. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
75', Harkes I. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
84', Moreira S. 🟨,
86', Schulte P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Columbus Crew
64%

Draw
19.5%

San Jose Earthquakes
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.1%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Crew's performance.

San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+4%)

Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.77)	4.9 ↑ (3.81)	5.76 ↑ (4.53)	4.8% (4.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Columbus won 2.
Columbus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
San Jose is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Columbus is a favorite.
There will not play in San Jose: Daniel (Injury) Fernandez N. (Inactive) Lopez H. (Shoulder Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Columbus: Hagen N. (Finger Injury) Lappalainen L. (Hip Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Columbus won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Columbus won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Latest results of Columbus Crew

19.04.2025 Columbus Crew - Inter Miami 0:1 ✺

13.04.2025 St. Louis City - Columbus Crew 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Columbus Crew - CF Montréal 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 DC United - Columbus Crew 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Columbus Crew - New York City 0:0 ✺

Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes

19.04.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City 3:5 ✺

12.04.2025 Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - DC United 6:1 ✺

29.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Charlotte - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	27	16	4	7	52:33	19	52
2	Minnesota United	27	13	8	6	44:30	14	47
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	13	7	6	44:29	15	46
4	Seattle Sounders	26	11	8	7	43:36	7	41
5	Los Angeles FC	24	11	7	6	43:30	13	40
6	Portland Timbers	26	10	7	9	35:37	-2	37
7	Colorado Rapids	27	10	6	11	36:41	-5	36
8	Austin FC	25	9	8	8	24:29	-5	35
9	San Jose Earthquakes	27	8	8	11	50:47	3	32
10	Real Salt Lake	26	9	4	13	27:33	-6	31
11	FC Dallas	26	7	8	11	38:46	-8	29
12	Houston Dynamo	26	7	8	11	33:42	-9	29
13	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	6	14	37:50	-13	24
14	St. Louis City	26	5	6	15	29:44	-15	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	26	3	7	16	29:55	-26	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Cincinnati	27	16	4	7	42:34	8	52
2	Philadelphia Union	27	15	6	6	44:26	18	51
3	Nashville SC	27	14	5	8	44:31	13	47
4	Orlando City	27	13	8	6	53:35	18	47
5	Inter Miami	24	13	6	5	53:39	14	45
6	Columbus Crew	26	12	9	5	42:37	5	45
7	Charlotte	27	14	2	11	45:39	6	44
8	New York City	25	12	5	8	36:30	6	41
9	Chicago Fire	26	11	6	9	50:44	6	39
10	New York Red Bulls	27	11	6	10	42:37	5	39
11	New England Revolution	26	7	7	12	33:37	-4	28
12	Toronto FC	26	5	8	13	27:34	-7	23
13	Atlanta Utd	26	4	10	12	31:49	-18	22
14	CF Montreal	27	4	8	15	25:48	-23	20
15	DC United	27	4	8	15	23:52	-29	20

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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