New York City vs Columbus Crew – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


New York City
38.7%
Draw
26.8%
Columbus Crew
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 25.8% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 26% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York City's form might have worsened.
  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • New York City - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.16)
    3.53
    (3.66)
    2.75
    (3.11)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
    • NY City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Columbus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    17.09.2025 New York City - Columbus Crew 3:2
    22.03.2025 Columbus Crew - New York City 0:0
    31.08.2024 Columbus Crew - New York City 4:2
    17.08.2024 Columbus Crew - New York City 2:1
    14.06.2024 New York City - Columbus Crew 2:3
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)