Como vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 25
  • Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
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polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
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venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN, Disney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.861.53
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
42
Passes
89% (507/568)76% (214/280)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.861.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.93
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1214
Passes
89% (507/568)76% (214/280)
Long passes
41% (7/17)20% (11/55)
Passes in final third
81% (135/167)58% (41/71)
Crosses
29% (7/24)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.10
Throw ins
1211
Fouls
1412
Tackles
65% (13/20)83% (5/6)
Duels won
5344
Clearances
1317
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.930.10
Goals prevented
-0.070.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Fagioli N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kuhn N. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 46', Valle A. , Moreno A. ,
  • 49', Kempf M. O. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Kean M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 57', Perrone M. , Addai J. ,
  • 57', Douvikas A. , Morata A. ,
  • 70', Vanoli P. 🟥,
  • 72', Vojvoda M. , Caqueret M. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Parisi F. (Own goal),
  • 82', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 84', Fagioli N. , Ndour C. ,
  • 84', Kean M. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 88', Morata A. 🟨,
  • 88', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 89', Morata A. 🟨,
  • 90', Ranieri L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Como
56.3%
Draw
24.7%
Fiorentina
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 23.9% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.2% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Como - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.7)
    3.88
    (3.98)
    5.04
    (4.68)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Como - Fiorentina?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Fiorentina (2.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - Fiorentina (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Como (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Como will win (55 of 62 users predict this - 88.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.83%96.59%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 23 - 82.1%). Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Como is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fiorentina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Como is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Gudmundsson A. (Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Como will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Como won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Como won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Como - Fiorentina were as follows:
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    21.09.2025 Fiorentina - Como 1:2
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2
    24.11.2024 Como - Fiorentina 0:2
    Latest results of Como
    10.02.2026 Napoli - Como 1:2
    01.02.2026 Como - Atalanta 0:0
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    24.01.2026 Como - Torino 6:0
    19.01.2026 Lazio - Como 0:3
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    07.02.2026 Fiorentina - Torino 2:2
    31.01.2026 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    24.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:2
    18.01.2026 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter32243575:294675
    2Napoli32206648:311766
    3AC Milan32189547:272063
    4Juventus32179655:292660
    5Como321610656:263058
    6AS Roma321831145:281757
    7Atalanta321411744:281653
    8Bologna321461242:37548
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Udinese321271338:42-443
    11Sassuolo321261439:43-442
    12Torino321161537:54-1739
    13Genoa32991438:45-736
    14Parma328121223:40-1736
    15Cagliari32891533:44-1133
    16Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    17Cremonese32691726:47-2127
    18Lecce32761921:45-2427
    19Verona32392023:55-3218
    20Pisa322121823:58-3518

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B