Fiorentina vs Como – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Como
Result
1:2
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 4
  • Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.44
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
819
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
77% (239/312)85% (425/501)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.441.49
Total shots
819
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1525
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1916
Passes
77% (239/312)85% (425/501)
Long passes
39% (21/54)59% (27/46)
Passes in final third
55% (43/78)76% (93/123)
Crosses
19% (3/16)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.220.66
Throw-ins
1017
Fouls
1619
Tackles
50% (11/22)61% (11/18)
Duels won
6058
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.490.44
Goals prevented
-0.51-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. ,
  • 7', Vojvoda M. 🟨,
  • 22', Lamptey T. , Fortini N. ,
  • 30', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 34', Pioli S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Vojvoda M. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 50', Roberto S. 🟨,
  • 61', Kuhn N. , Addai J. ,
  • 61', Morata A. , Douvikas A. ,
  • 62', Fazzini J. , Sohm S. ,
  • 62', Mandragora R. , Fagioli N. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Kempf M. O. , Paz N. (A),
  • 68', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 77', Kempf M. O. 🟨,
  • 77', Piccoli R. , Dzeko E. ,
  • 78', Ranieri L. , Viti M. ,
  • 82', Valle A. , Posch S. ,
  • 88', Dodo 🟨,
  • 89', Sohm S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Addai J. , Paz N. (A),
  • 90+5', Roberto S. , Goldaniga E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
40.3%
Draw
28.8%
Como
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 29.5% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 30.3% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Fiorentina - Como Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.69)
    3.48
    (3.23)
    3.33
    (2.72)
    0.3%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Como?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). Como will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 34.4%68.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 25%). Como (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Foot Injury) Dossena A. (Knee Injury) Ramon J. (Red Card) Van der Brempt I. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Como were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2
    24.11.2024 Como - Fiorentina 0:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    31.08.2025 Torino - Fiorentina 0:0
    24.08.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:1
    Latest results of Como
    15.09.2025 Como - Genoa 1:1
    30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0
    24.08.2025 Como - Lazio 2:0
    10.08.2025 Barcelona - Como 5:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli860215:8718
    2AS Roma86028:3518
    3AC Milan852113:6717
    4Inter850319:11815
    5Bologna741211:5613
    6Como83419:5413
    7Juventus73319:7212
    8Atalanta826012:6612
    9Udinese833210:12-212
    10Cremonese82519:10-111
    11Torino83238:14-611
    12Sassuolo83148:9-110
    13Cagliari82338:10-29
    14Lazio722310:738
    15Parma81433:7-47
    16Lecce81347:13-66
    17Verona80534:11-75
    18Pisa80445:12-74
    19Fiorentina70345:10-53
    20Genoa80354:11-73

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B