Como vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 25
  • Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
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malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayDAZN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
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ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN, Disney+
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN, Disney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.861.53
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
42
Passes
89% (507/568)76% (214/280)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.861.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.93
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1214
Passes
89% (507/568)76% (214/280)
Long passes
41% (7/17)20% (11/55)
Passes in final third
81% (135/167)58% (41/71)
Crosses
29% (7/24)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.10
Throw ins
1211
Fouls
1412
Tackles
65% (13/20)83% (5/6)
Duels won
5344
Clearances
1317
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.930.10
Goals prevented
-0.070.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Fagioli N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kuhn N. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 46', Valle A. , Moreno A. ,
  • 49', Kempf M. O. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Kean M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 57', Perrone M. , Addai J. ,
  • 57', Douvikas A. , Morata A. ,
  • 70', Vanoli P. 🟥,
  • 72', Vojvoda M. , Caqueret M. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Parisi F. (Own goal),
  • 82', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 84', Fagioli N. , Ndour C. ,
  • 84', Kean M. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 88', Morata A. 🟨,
  • 88', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 89', Morata A. 🟨,
  • 90', Ranieri L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Como
56.3%
Draw
24.7%
Fiorentina
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 23.9% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.2% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Como - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.7)
    3.88
    (3.98)
    5.04
    (4.68)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Como - Fiorentina?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Fiorentina (2.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - Fiorentina (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Como (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Como will win (55 of 62 users predict this - 88.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.83%96.59%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Como will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Como (votes: 23 - 82.1%). Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Como is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fiorentina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Como is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Gudmundsson A. (Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Como will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Como won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Como won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Como - Fiorentina were as follows:
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    21.09.2025 Fiorentina - Como 1:2
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2
    24.11.2024 Como - Fiorentina 0:2
    Latest results of Como
    10.02.2026 Napoli - Como 1:2
    01.02.2026 Como - Atalanta 0:0
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    24.01.2026 Como - Torino 6:0
    19.01.2026 Lazio - Como 0:3
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    07.02.2026 Fiorentina - Torino 2:2
    31.01.2026 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    24.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:2
    18.01.2026 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter27221464:214367
    2AC Milan27169243:202357
    3Napoli27165641:281353
    4AS Roma27163837:191851
    5Como27139544:202448
    6Juventus27138646:281847
    7Atalanta27129637:241345
    8Bologna271161036:32439
    9Sassuolo271151134:36-238
    10Udinese271051231:39-835
    11Lazio27810926:27-134
    12Parma27891020:32-1233
    13Cagliari27791129:36-730
    14Torino27861327:47-2030
    15Genoa27691232:39-727
    16Fiorentina27591330:42-1224
    17Cremonese27591321:38-1724
    18Lecce27661518:36-1824
    19Pisa271121420:44-2415
    20Verona27291620:48-2815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B