Result
1:2
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 4
- Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Azam Sports 3, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 1.44 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
77% (239/312) | 85% (425/501) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 1.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.44 | 1.49 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
77% (239/312) | 85% (425/501) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (21/54) | 59% (27/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (43/78) | 76% (93/123) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 26% (5/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.22 | 0.66 |
Throw-ins |
---|
10 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (11/22) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.49 | 0.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.51 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. ⚽,
- 7', Vojvoda M. 🟨,
- 22', Lamptey T. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
- 30', Pongracic M. 🟨,
- 34', Pioli S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Vojvoda M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 50', Roberto S. 🟨,
- 61', Kuhn N. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
- 61', Morata A. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
- 62', Fazzini J. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
- 62', Mandragora R. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Kempf M. O. ⚽, Paz N. (A),
- 68', Ranieri L. 🟨,
- 77', Kempf M. O. 🟨,
- 77', Piccoli R. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
- 78', Ranieri L. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
- 82', Valle A. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
- 88', Dodo 🟨,
- 89', Sohm S. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Addai J. ⚽, Paz N. (A),
- 90+5', Roberto S. ↓, Goldaniga E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina 40.3% | Draw 28.8% | Como 30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+5%)
Fiorentina - Como Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↓ (2.69) |
3.48 ↑ (3.23) |
3.33 ↑ (2.72) |
0.3% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Como?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). Como will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 34.4% – 68.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 25%). Como (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Como: Diao A.
(Foot Injury)
Dossena A.
(Knee Injury)
Ramon J.
(Red Card)
Van der Brempt I.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Como?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Como won against Fiorentina?
Como has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Como were as follows:
16.02.2025
Fiorentina
-
Como
0:2
24.11.2024
Como
-
Fiorentina
0:2
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | AC Milan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Napoli | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
3 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
5 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
7 | Sassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
8 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
10 | Bologna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
12 | Udinese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
14 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
19 | Pisa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
20 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B