Atlético Mineiro vs Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte).

Serie A Betano - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.57
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
2	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
1	1
Passes
84% (355/422)	81% (341/419)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	0.00
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
2	0
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
1	1
Touches in opposition box
13	11
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
18	24
Passes
84% (355/422)	81% (341/419)
Long passes
44% (21/48)	54% (32/59)
Passes in final third
70% (71/102)	62% (56/90)
Crosses
20% (2/10)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.41	0.45
Throw-ins
20	26
Fouls
24	18
Tackles
69% (9/13)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
44	46
Clearances
16	11
Interceptions
19	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.00	0.91
Goals prevented
0.00	0.91

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Lyanco 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Caca 🟨,
59', Bernard ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
59', Rony ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
60', Joao Pedro 🟨,
65', Martinez J. ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
65', Hernandez H. ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
67', Ryan 🟨,
73', Talles Magno ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
74', Carrillo A. ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
81', Matheuzinho ↓, Torres F. ↑,
83', Natanael ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
85', Angel Romero 🟨,
90+4', Cuca 🟨,
90+5', Rubens 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Atlético Mineiro
51.8%

Draw
28.2%

Corinthians
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.98)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	4.64 ↑ (3.95)	5.5% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians?

Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
In this match, Atlético MG is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R. (Knee Injury) Gustavo Henrique (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cuello (Injury) Guilherme Arana (Injury) Patrick Silva (Injury)
There are questionable in Corinthians: Depay M. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Corinthians?

Atlético Mineiro has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Atlético Mineiro?

Corinthians has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians were as follows:

28.07.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians 2:1

14.04.2024 Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro 0:0

09.11.2023 Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro 1:1

08.07.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians 0:1

31.05.2023 Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro 3:0

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

21.05.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Maringá 4:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 0:0 ✺

15.05.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Caracas 3:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense 3:2 ✺

08.05.2025 Deportes Iquique - Atlético Mineiro 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Corinthians

21.05.2025 Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Corinthians - Santos 1:0 ✺

15.05.2025 Racing Montevideo - Corinthians 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Mirassol - Corinthians 2:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Corinthians - América de Cali 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	18	12	4	2	33:8	25	40
2	Cruzeiro	19	11	4	4	31:13	18	37
3	Palmeiras	17	11	3	3	23:15	8	36
4	Bahia	17	8	6	3	23:16	7	30
5	Botafogo RJ	17	8	5	4	23:10	13	29
6	Mirassol	17	7	7	3	28:18	10	28
7	Sao Paulo	19	7	7	5	22:20	2	28
8	Bragantino	19	8	3	8	22:25	-3	27
9	Fluminense	17	7	3	7	21:23	-2	24
10	Atletico-MG	17	6	6	5	19:18	1	24
11	Internacional	18	6	6	6	21:23	-2	24
12	Ceara	18	6	4	8	18:19	-1	22
13	Corinthians	19	5	7	7	18:23	-5	22
14	Santos	18	6	3	9	20:23	-3	21
15	Gremio	18	5	5	8	16:24	-8	20
16	Vitoria	19	3	9	7	16:22	-6	18
17	Vasco	17	4	4	9	19:24	-5	16
18	Fortaleza	18	3	6	9	18:29	-11	15
19	Juventude	17	4	2	11	13:36	-23	14
20	Sport Recife	17	1	6	10	10:25	-15	9

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet