Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 29
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (464/535) | 82% (272/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (464/535) | 82% (272/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 50% (15/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (79/119) | 62% (51/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Renzo Saravia 🟨,
- 32', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Renzo Saravia ↓, Natanael ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Maycon ⚽, Garro R. (A),
- 57', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 60', Franco A. 🟨,
- 64', Fausto Vera 🟨,
- 65', Biel ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 65', Igor Gomes ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 72', Caio Paulista ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
- 73', Fausto Vera ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 78', Depay M. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 78', Garro R. ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 87', Maycon 🟨,
- 88', Breno Bidon ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 88', Yuri Alberto ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 90+3', Maycon ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
48.5% | Draw
29.2% | Atlético Mineiro
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.07) |
3.24 ↑
(3.23) |
4.27 ↑
(3.63) |
5.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
- Recent form of Corinthians has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of home games.
- Corinthians could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Andre Ramalho
(Hamstring Injury)
Angel Romero
(Inactive)
Carrillo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Gustavo Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Torres F.
(Inactive)
Vitinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Junior Santos
(Hip Injury)
Lyanco
(Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Andre
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Alonso J.
(International duty)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Atlético Mineiro?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Corinthians?
Atlético Mineiro has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
24.05.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Corinthians
0:0
28.07.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Corinthians
2:1
14.04.2024
Corinthians
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
09.11.2023
Corinthians
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
08.07.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Corinthians
0:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Bahia | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:27 | 0 | 35 |
| 14 | Internacional | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35:42 | -7 | 35 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
