Result
0:2
01/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Supercopa do Brasil - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DSports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Israel | ONE Sport |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DSports 1 |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (360/439) | 78% (247/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (360/439) | 78% (247/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (65/98) | 64% (43/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Gabriel Paulista ⚽, Gustavo Henrique (A),
- 43', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 45+6', Carrascal J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Depay M. 🟨,
- 58', Pedro ↓, Lucas Paqueta ↑,
- 61', Carrillo A. ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 64', Gabriel Paulista 🟨,
- 69', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 77', Depay M. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
- 77', Andre ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 81', Jorginho ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 81', Plata G. ↓, Everton ↑,
- 81', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
- 83', Gabriel Paulista ↓, Andre Ramalho ↑,
- 83', Breno Bidon ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 90+3', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Kaio Cesar (A),
Chances of winning
Flamengo
55.3% | Draw
27% | Corinthians
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Flamengo - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.78) |
3.47 ↑
(3.32) |
5.39 ↑
(4.75) |
5.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Corinthians?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- Recent form of Flamengo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Corinthians has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Flamengo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo
(Inactive)
Lucas Paqueta
(Inactive)
Luiz Araujo
(Inactive)
Niguez S.
(Inactive)
de la Cruz N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:13. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:5. (average 1.9:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Corinthians?
Flamengo has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Flamengo?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Corinthians were as follows:
28.09.2025
Corinthians
-
Flamengo
1:2
27.04.2025
Flamengo
-
Corinthians
4:0
20.10.2024
Corinthians
-
Flamengo
0:0
02.10.2024
Flamengo
-
Corinthians
1:0
01.09.2024
Corinthians
-
Flamengo
2:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Corinthians
Draw
2026Final| 1 | Flamengo RJ | Corinthians | 0 : 2 |
