Corinthians vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 25
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpain#Vamos
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.64
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
82% (335/409)81% (352/435)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.491.25
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1625
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2116
Passes
82% (335/409)81% (352/435)
Long passes
41% (28/69)41% (15/37)
Passes in final third
61% (54/88)64% (73/114)
Crosses
11% (2/18)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.78
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
1621
Tackles
53% (8/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.252.49
Goals prevented
-0.751.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Yuri Alberto (Pen),
  • 25', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Leo Pereira , Danilo ,
  • 46', Vina M. , Alex Sandro ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto , Gui Negao (A),
  • 49', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
  • 50', Alex Sandro 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. , Carrascal J. (A),
  • 58', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
  • 69', Martinez J. , Angileri F. ,
  • 69', Gui Negao , Talles Magno ,
  • 70', Bruno Henrique , Plata G. ,
  • 70', Danilo 🟨,
  • 75', de la Cruz N. , Jorginho ,
  • 80', Maycon , Ryan ,
  • 80', Breno Bidon , Vitinho ,
  • 80', Joao Pedro , Caca ,
  • 82', Samuel Lino , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 83', Carrascal J. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Luiz Araujo , Carrascal J. (A),
  • 90+2', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 90+4', Niguez S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Corinthians
19.9%
Draw
30.2%
Flamengo
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 27.5% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8% 26.7% 50.4%

Corinthians - Flamengo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.74
(4)
3.17
(3.4)
1.92
(1.91)
4.8%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Flamengo will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Knee Injury) Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Garro R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Ayrton Lucas (Yellow Cards) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Flamengo were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Flamengo - Corinthians 4:0
    20.10.2024 Corinthians - Flamengo 0:0
    02.10.2024 Flamengo - Corinthians 1:0
    01.09.2024 Corinthians - Flamengo 2:1
    11.05.2024 Flamengo - Corinthians 2:0
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Latest results of Flamengo
    21.09.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    14.09.2025 Juventude - Flamengo 0:2
    31.08.2025 Flamengo - Grêmio 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet