Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | #Vamos |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (335/409) | 81% (352/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (335/409) | 81% (352/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/69) | 41% (15/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/88) | 64% (73/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Yuri Alberto (Pen),
- 25', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Leo Pereira ↓, Danilo ↑,
- 46', Vina M. ↓, Alex Sandro ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Gui Negao (A),
- 49', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
- 50', Alex Sandro 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),
- 58', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
- 69', Martinez J. ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 69', Gui Negao ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 70', Bruno Henrique ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 70', Danilo 🟨,
- 75', de la Cruz N. ↓, Jorginho ↑,
- 80', Maycon ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 80', Breno Bidon ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 80', Joao Pedro ↓, Caca ↑,
- 82', Samuel Lino ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 83', Carrascal J. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 2, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),
- 90+2', Jorginho 🟨,
- 90+4', Niguez S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
19.9% | Draw
30.2% | Flamengo
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Corinthians - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.93 ↑
(4) |
3.11 ↓
(3.4) |
1.92 ↑
(1.91) |
4.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Flamengo will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon
(Knee Injury)
Depay M.
(Muscle Injury)
Garro R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Ayrton Lucas
(Yellow Cards)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Flamengo?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Corinthians?
Flamengo has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Flamengo were as follows:
27.04.2025
Flamengo
-
Corinthians
4:0
20.10.2024
Corinthians
-
Flamengo
0:0
02.10.2024
Flamengo
-
Corinthians
1:0
01.09.2024
Corinthians
-
Flamengo
2:1
11.05.2024
Flamengo
-
Corinthians
2:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 58 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 50:13 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40:20 | 20 | 52 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ceara | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Vasco | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
| 15 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25:38 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
