Flamengo vs Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Flamengo - Corinthians
Result
4:0
27/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.21
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
92% (474/516)90% (393/439)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.660.16
Total shots
178
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3312
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
92% (474/516)90% (393/439)
Long passes
82% (27/33)66% (31/47)
Passes in final third
82% (98/119)80% (48/60)
Crosses
23% (3/13)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.43
Throw-ins
108
Fouls
1412
Tackles
77% (10/13)53% (10/19)
Duels won
3641
Clearances
1222
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.162.66
Goals prevented
0.07-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Everton , de Arrascaeta G. (A),
  • 32', Angel Romero 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. , Pedro (A),
  • 37', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
  • 37', 3 - 0, Pedro ,
  • 40', Depay M. , Igor Coronado ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Everton , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 78', Angel Romero , Talles Magno ,
  • 78', Carrillo A. , Martinez J. ,
  • 78', Raniele , Maycon ,
  • 78', 4 - 0, Pedro (Pen),
  • 80', Pedro , Bruno Henrique ,
  • 80', de Arrascaeta G. , Plata G. ,
  • 87', Pulgar E. , Allan ,
  • 87', Gerson , Matheus Goncalves ,
  • 90+2', Wesley Franca 🟨,

Chances of winning


Flamengo
64.1%
Draw
22.5%
Corinthians
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 25.5% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 25.3% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Flamengo - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.58)
    4.21
    (3.71)
    7.01
    (6.44)
    5.9%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Flamengo - Corinthians?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Corinthians will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Corinthians (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Flamengo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Flamengo is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Hamstring Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R. (Knee Injury) Talles Magno (Illness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:12 (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Flamengo won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:5 (average 1.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Corinthians were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Corinthians - Flamengo 0:0
    02.10.2024 Flamengo - Corinthians 1:0
    01.09.2024 Corinthians - Flamengo 2:1
    11.05.2024 Flamengo - Corinthians 2:0
    07.10.2023 Corinthians - Flamengo 1:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    22.04.2025 LDU Quito - Flamengo 0:0
    19.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:0
    16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0
    13.04.2025 Grêmio - Flamengo 0:2
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro15103227:91833
    2Flamengo RJ1493227:52230
    3Bragantino1583418:15327
    4Palmeiras1382316:11526
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1356221:13821
    8Fluminense1362515:15020
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Corinthians1554615:19-419
    11Ceara1453614:13118
    12Internacional1445514:18-417
    13Gremio1445514:20-617
    14Sao Paulo1537514:18-416
    15Vitoria1536611:15-415
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1442812:17-514
    18Juventude1332810:28-1811
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1303105:21-163

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet