Flamengo vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro).

: Serie A Betano - Round 6
Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.12	0.21
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
10	3
Passes
92% (474/516)	90% (393/439)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12	0.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.66	0.16
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
33	12
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
92% (474/516)	90% (393/439)
Long passes
82% (27/33)	66% (31/47)
Passes in final third
82% (98/119)	80% (48/60)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.43
Throw-ins
10	8
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
77% (10/13)	53% (10/19)
Duels won
36	41
Clearances
12	22
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.16	2.66
Goals prevented
0.07	-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Everton ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
32', Angel Romero 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Pedro (A),
37', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
37', 3 - 0, Pedro ⚽,
40', Depay M. ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Everton ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
78', Angel Romero ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
78', Carrillo A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
78', Raniele ↓, Maycon ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Pedro (Pen),
80', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
80', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
87', Pulgar E. ↓, Allan ↑,
87', Gerson ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
90+2', Wesley Franca 🟨,

Chances of winning

Flamengo
64.1%

Draw
22.5%

Corinthians
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

25.5%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

25.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Flamengo - Corinthians Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.58)	4.21 ↑ (3.71)	7.01 ↑ (6.44)	5.9% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Flamengo - Corinthians?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Corinthians will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Corinthians (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Flamengo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Flamengo is certain favorite.
There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Hamstring Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R. (Knee Injury) Talles Magno (Illness)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:12 (average 1.5:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Flamengo won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:5 (average 1.6:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Corinthians?

Flamengo has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Flamengo?

Corinthians has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Corinthians were as follows:

20.10.2024 Corinthians - Flamengo 0:0

02.10.2024 Flamengo - Corinthians 1:0

01.09.2024 Corinthians - Flamengo 2:1

11.05.2024 Flamengo - Corinthians 2:0

07.10.2023 Corinthians - Flamengo 1:1

Latest results of Flamengo

22.04.2025 LDU Quito - Flamengo 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:0 ✺

16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Grêmio - Flamengo 0:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Flamengo - Central Córdoba 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Corinthians

24.04.2025 Corinthians - Racing Montevideo 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Corinthians - Sport Recife 2:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Corinthians - Fluminense 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 2:0 ✺

08.04.2025 América de Cali - Corinthians 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	11	7	3	1	24:4	20	24
2	Cruzeiro	12	7	3	2	17:8	9	24
3	Bragantino	12	7	2	3	14:11	3	23
4	Palmeiras	11	7	1	3	12:8	4	22
5	Bahia	12	6	3	3	14:11	3	21
6	Fluminense	11	6	2	3	15:12	3	20
7	Atletico-MG	12	5	5	2	13:10	3	20
8	Botafogo RJ	11	5	3	3	14:7	7	18
9	Mirassol	11	4	5	2	17:12	5	17
10	Corinthians	12	4	4	4	13:15	-2	16
11	Gremio	12	4	4	4	12:15	-3	16
12	Ceara	11	4	3	4	13:11	2	15
13	Vasco	12	4	1	7	14:16	-2	13
14	Sao Paulo	12	2	6	4	10:14	-4	12
15	Santos	12	3	2	7	11:14	-3	11
16	Vitoria	12	2	5	5	10:14	-4	11
17	Internacional	12	2	5	5	12:18	-6	11
18	Fortaleza	12	2	4	6	12:18	-6	10
19	Juventude	11	2	2	7	8:24	-16	8
20	Sport Recife	11	0	3	8	5:18	-13	3

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

Which TV channels are streaming of Flamengo - Corinthians?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball