Corinthians vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Corinthians - Flamengo
28/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Corinthians
21.3%
Draw
28.1%
Flamengo
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 27.5% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8% 26.7% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Corinthians - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.42
    (4)
    3.39
    (3.4)
    1.88
    (1.91)
    5.5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Flamengo were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Flamengo - Corinthians 4:0
    20.10.2024 Corinthians - Flamengo 0:0
    02.10.2024 Flamengo - Corinthians 1:0
    01.09.2024 Corinthians - Flamengo 2:1
    11.05.2024 Flamengo - Corinthians 2:0
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Latest results of Flamengo
    21.09.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    14.09.2025 Juventude - Flamengo 0:2
    31.08.2025 Flamengo - Grêmio 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ23156248:113751
    2Cruzeiro24155439:172250
    3Palmeiras22154336:181849
    4Mirassol23119341:231842
    5Botafogo RJ23116634:171739
    6Bahia22107530:25537
    7Sao Paulo2498727:24335
    8Fluminense2294926:29-331
    9Bragantino24941129:35-631
    10Corinthians2478924:29-529
    11Ceara2377922:23-128
    12Gremio2377923:29-628
    13Internacional23761028:36-827
    14Santos23751122:32-1026
    15Atletico-MG2267921:26-525
    16Vasco23661133:34-124
    17Vitoria244101019:35-1622
    18Juventude23631419:45-2621
    19Fortaleza23461323:38-1518
    20Sport Recife22281216:34-1814

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet