Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.79 | 0.06 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
90% (575/638) | 81% (330/406) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.79 | 0.06 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.37 | 0.46 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 6 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
90% (575/638) | 81% (330/406) |
Long passes |
---|
66% (38/58) | 49% (34/69) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (88/108) | 53% (33/62) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (4/21) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 0.58 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (11/17) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.46 | 0.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.54 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', PH Ganso 🟨,
- 29', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 43', PH Ganso ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vitinho ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 46', Kayke ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 62', Gui Negao 🟨,
- 63', Matheus Bidu ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 64', Gui Negao ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 66', Lima ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 66', Moreno S. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 69', Talles Magno 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 1, Matheuzinho ⚽,
- 75', Maycon ↓, Hugo ↑,
- 79', Hugo Souza 🟨,
- 86', Bernal F. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 88', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 88', Renato Gaucho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense 43.8% | Draw 31.5% | Corinthians 24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Fluminense - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (2.03) |
3.03 ↓ (3.11) |
3.91 ↓ (4.26) |
5.8% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- In recent matches, Fluminense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Corinthians is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fluminense could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Samuel Xavier
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Breno Bidon
(Yellow Cards)
Raniele
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Corinthians?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Fluminense?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Corinthians were as follows:
16.04.2025
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
0:2
17.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Corinthians
0:0
28.04.2024
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
3:0
19.10.2023
Fluminense
-
Corinthians
3:3
28.05.2023
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
2:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:21 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
8 | Fluminense | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 35 |
9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
11 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
12 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
15 | Internacional | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet