Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (575/638) | 81% (330/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (575/638) | 81% (330/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (38/58) | 49% (34/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (88/108) | 53% (33/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', PH Ganso 🟨,
- 29', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 43', PH Ganso ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vitinho ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 46', Kayke ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 62', Gui Negao 🟨,
- 63', Matheus Bidu ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 64', Gui Negao ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 66', Lima ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 66', Moreno S. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 69', Talles Magno 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 1, Matheuzinho ⚽,
- 75', Maycon ↓, Hugo ↑,
- 79', Hugo Souza 🟨,
- 86', Bernal F. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 88', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 88', Renato Gaucho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
43.8% | Draw
31.5% | Corinthians
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Fluminense - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.03) |
3.03 ↓
(3.11) |
3.91 ↓
(4.26) |
5.8%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- In recent matches, Fluminense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Corinthians is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fluminense could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Samuel Xavier
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Breno Bidon
(Yellow Cards)
Raniele
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Corinthians?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Fluminense?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Corinthians were as follows:
16.04.2025
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
0:2
17.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Corinthians
0:0
28.04.2024
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
3:0
19.10.2023
Fluminense
-
Corinthians
3:3
28.05.2023
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
2:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
