Result
0:2
16/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (442/527) | 82% (313/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (442/527) | 82% (313/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (30/46) | 40% (20/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (85/122) | 67% (55/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (2/27) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Lima ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 61', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 1, Rene ⚽,
- 65', Carrillo A. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 76', Raniele ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 76', Angel Romero ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
- 76', Breno Bidon ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 77', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 78', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 81', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 82', 0 - 2, Arias J. (Pen),
- 89', Bernal F. ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 90+3', Nonato 🟨,
- 90+6', Arias J. ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
44.1% | Draw
31.2% | Fluminense
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Corinthians - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.76) |
3.06 ↓
(3.61) |
3.89 ↓
(4.72) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 2.
- Recent matches Corinthians is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Fluminense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Angileri F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Garro R.
(Knee Injury)
Hugo Souza
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Fuentes G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Isaque Silva
(Inactive)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Renato Augusto
(Shoulder Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Guga
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:21 (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:6 (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Fluminense?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Corinthians?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Fluminense were as follows:
17.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Corinthians
0:0
28.04.2024
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
3:0
19.10.2023
Fluminense
-
Corinthians
3:3
28.05.2023
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
2:0
26.10.2022
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
0:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
