Result
4:2
03/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.42 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (509/568) | 77% (239/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.42 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.23 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (509/568) | 77% (239/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (50/67) | 18% (7/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (101/126) | 59% (49/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 4.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 25', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Depay M. (A),
- 38', 1 - 1, Aguirre B. ⚽, Wesley (A),
- 42', 1 - 2, Thiago Maia ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Hugo ↓, Matheus Bidu ↑,
- 46', Alan Patrick ↓, Romero O. ↑,
- 48', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
- 57', Thiago Maia ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 57', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 62', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
- 64', Valencia E. ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
- 65', 2 - 2, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Matheus Bidu (A),
- 67', Martinez J. ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 67', Angel Romero ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 73', Raniele ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
- 77', Wesley ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
- 90+2', Romero O. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Yuri Alberto (Pen),
- 90+6', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
- 90+7', Carrillo A. ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 90+9', Charles Rigon 🟨,
- 90+13', 4 - 2, Igor Coronado ⚽, Talles Magno (A),
Chances of winning
Corinthians
36.8% | Draw
31.9% | Internacional RS
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Corinthians - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.24) |
2.97 ↓
(3.26) |
3.05 ↓
(3.3) |
5.5%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Internacional has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Carbonero J.
(Injury)
Diego Rosa
(Inactive)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Mercado G.
(Knee Injury)
Rochet S.
(Broken Hand)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Charles Rigon
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Internacional: Borre R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Internacional RS?
Corinthians has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Corinthians?
Internacional RS has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Internacional RS were as follows:
05.10.2024
Corinthians
-
Internacional RS
2:2
19.06.2024
Internacional RS
-
Corinthians
1:0
02.12.2023
Corinthians
-
Internacional RS
1:2
05.08.2023
Internacional RS
-
Corinthians
2:2
04.09.2022
Corinthians
-
Internacional RS
2:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:5 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 27 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Ceara | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
