Corinthians vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Corinthians - Mirassol
Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 27
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.76
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
71% (183/257)84% (376/445)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.440.00
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
512
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1627
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
71% (183/257)84% (376/445)
Long passes
38% (22/58)48% (13/27)
Passes in final third
57% (34/60)71% (80/113)
Crosses
40% (4/10)38% (10/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.38
Throw-ins
1627
Fouls
1914
Tackles
87% (13/15)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3852
Clearances
349
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.002.44
Goals prevented
0.00-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Reinaldo 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Maycon (Pen),
  • 45+1', Jose Aldo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Lucas Ramon , Daniel Borges ,
  • 55', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 58', Hugo Souza 🟨,
  • 59', Negueba , Alesson ,
  • 59', Cristian Renato , Chico ,
  • 62', Gui Negao , Vitinho ,
  • 62', Martinez J. , Andre ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Yuri Alberto , Vitinho (A),
  • 73', Breno Bidon , Depay M. ,
  • 75', Guilherme , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 75', Carlos Eduardo , Maceio ,
  • 84', Matheus Bidu , Angileri F. ,
  • 84', Vitinho , Ryan ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 0, Andre , Yuri Alberto (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Corinthians
46.6%
Draw
29.2%
Mirassol
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 29.6% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 29.8% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Corinthians - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.17)
    3.24
    (3.21)
    3.91
    (3.57)
    5.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Corinthians - Mirassol?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Andre Ramalho (Inactive) Carrillo A. (Inactive) Charles Rigon (Knee Injury) Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Garro R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Edson Carioca (Injury) Neto Moura (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Mirassol were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Mirassol - Corinthians 2:1
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    19.02.2023 Corinthians - Mirassol 3:0
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Latest results of Mirassol
    21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    13.09.2025 Grêmio - Mirassol 0:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia29147840:32849
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Vasco291161246:41539
    9Corinthians301091132:35-339
    10Sao Paulo291081131:33-238
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet