Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.66 | 1.35 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
83% (242/290) | 86% (440/510) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.66 | 1.35 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.36 | 1.91 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
83% (242/290) | 86% (440/510) |
Long passes |
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55% (22/40) | 67% (33/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (42/67) | 70% (57/81) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (2/12) | 16% (3/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.62 | 0.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (8/11) | 53% (9/17) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.91 | 2.36 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.91 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', Depay M. (Pen),
- 35', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 40', Depay M. 🟨,
- 43', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 45+7', 0 - 1, Caca ⚽, Depay M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 46', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 46', Raniele 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Edson Carioca ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
- 63', Rafael Guanaes 🟨,
- 64', Depay M. ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 65', Breno Bidon ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Gabriel ⚽,
- 73', Gabriel ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 74', Edson Carioca ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 75', Angileri F. 🟨,
- 76', Maycon ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
- 76', Raniele ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 76', Angel Romero ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 80', Dorival Junior 🟨,
- 84', Talles Magno 🟨,
- 85', Iury Castilho ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 90+2', Hugo Souza 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol 31.6% | Draw 29.8% | Corinthians 38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Mirassol - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3 ↓ (3.3) |
3.19 ↓ (3.29) |
2.45 ↑ (2.21) |
5.5% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0.
- Mirassol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Corinthians is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Henrique
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Corinthians?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Mirassol?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Corinthians were as follows:
02.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
2:0
19.02.2023
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
3:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet