Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (242/290) | 86% (440/510) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (242/290) | 86% (440/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (22/40) | 67% (33/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (42/67) | 70% (57/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', Depay M. (Pen),
- 35', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 40', Depay M. 🟨,
- 43', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 45+7', 0 - 1, Caca ⚽, Depay M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 46', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 46', Raniele 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Edson Carioca ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
- 63', Rafael Guanaes 🟨,
- 64', Depay M. ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 65', Breno Bidon ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Gabriel ⚽,
- 73', Gabriel ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 74', Edson Carioca ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 75', Angileri F. 🟨,
- 76', Maycon ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
- 76', Raniele ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 76', Angel Romero ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 80', Dorival Junior 🟨,
- 84', Talles Magno 🟨,
- 85', Iury Castilho ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 90+2', Hugo Souza 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
31.6% | Draw
29.8% | Corinthians
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Mirassol - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↓
(3.3) |
3.19 ↓
(3.29) |
2.45 ↑
(2.21) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0.
- Mirassol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Corinthians is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Henrique
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Corinthians?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Mirassol?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Corinthians were as follows:
02.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
2:0
19.02.2023
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
3:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
