Result
12/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (154/215) | 85% (377/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (154/215) | 85% (377/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (12/42) | 56% (32/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (39/70) | 76% (117/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Andre 🟥,
- 44', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 71', Matheuzinho 🟥,
- 71', Giay A. ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 71', Khellven ↓, Arthur Gabriel ↑,
- 72', Mauricio ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 73', Garro R. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 76', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
- 83', Marlon Freitas ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 83', Kayke ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
- 90+3', Raniele 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
32.1% | Draw
32.6% | Palmeiras
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+3%)
Corinthians - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.78) |
2.91 ↓
(3.18) |
2.7 ↑
(2.46) |
5.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palmeiras will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2.
- Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Palmeiras is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon
(Inactive)
Depay M.
(Thigh Injury)
Gui Negao
(Inactive)
Hugo
(Knee Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Inactive)
Kaio Cesar
(Thigh Injury)
Milans P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Arias J.
(Yellow Cards)
Figueiredo
(Injury)
Jefte
(Inactive)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Piquerez J.
(Injury)
Vitor Roque
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Palmeiras?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Corinthians?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Palmeiras were as follows:
08.02.2026
Corinthians
-
Palmeiras
0:1
31.08.2025
Corinthians
-
Palmeiras
1:1
06.08.2025
Palmeiras
-
Corinthians
0:2
30.07.2025
Corinthians
-
Palmeiras
1:0
12.04.2025
Palmeiras
-
Corinthians
2:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
