Palmeiras vs Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Palmeiras
60%

Draw
25%

Corinthians
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

26.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

25.3%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Palmeiras - Corinthians Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	3.74 ↑ (3.57)	6.03 ↓ (6.14)	7.9% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 1.
Palmeiras is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Corinthians has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Palmeiras is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Corinthians?

Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Palmeiras?

Corinthians has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Corinthians were as follows:

30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0

12.04.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 2:0

27.03.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 0:0

06.02.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 1:1

04.11.2024 Corinthians - Palmeiras 2:0

Latest results of Palmeiras

30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Palmeiras - Grêmio 1:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Fluminense - Palmeiras 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro 3:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Palmeiras - Mirassol 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Corinthians

30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Botafogo RJ - Corinthians 1:1 ✺

23.07.2025 Corinthians - Cruzeiro 0:0 ✺

19.07.2025 São Paulo - Corinthians 2:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Ceará - Corinthians 0:1 ✺

Draw

2025

1/64-finals

1	Sao Paulo	Bye
3	Maranhao	Vitoria	0 : 1
4	Santa Cruz de Natal	Nautico	0 : 4
5	Trem	Brusque	0 : 2
6	Olaria	ABC	1 : 0
7	Pouso Alegre	Athletico-PR	0 : 2
8	Guarany de Bage	AE Altos	2 : 1
9	Maringa FC	Juventude	1 : 0
10	Uniao Carmolandense	America RN	4 : 2
11	Tocantinopolis	Atletico-MG	0 : 2
12	Independencia	Manaus	1 : 2
13	Concordia	Ponte Preta	2 : 1
14	Portuguesa	Botafogo PB	1 : 2
16	Bye	Flamengo RJ
17	ASA	Atletico GO	1 : 2
18	Jequie	Retro	1 : 2
20	Bye	Fortaleza
21	Paysandu PA	Bye
24	Bye	Bahia
25	Aguia De Maraba	Fluminense	0 : 8
26	Dourados	SER Caxias	0 : 2
27	Cascavel	America MG	1 : 0
28	Votuporanguense	Aparecidense	2 : 3
29	Internacional	Bye
31	Ceilandia	Coritiba	3 : 2
32	Maracana	Ferroviario	2 : 1
33	Santos	Bye
36	Bye	CRB
37	Cruzeiro	Bye
39	Inter de Limeira	Vila Nova FC	0 : 1
40	Rio Branco-VN	Amazonas	1 : 0
41	Tuna Luso	Sampaio Correa	1 : 0
42	Boavista	CSA	0 : 2
43	Sao Raimundo RR	Gremio	1 : 2
44	Barcelona	Athletic Club	1 : 2
45	Humaita	Operario-PR	0 : 1
46	CSE	Tombense	1 : 3
47	Uniao Rondonopolis	Vasco	0 : 3
48	Barcelona RO	Nova Iguacu	1 : 4
49	Operario VG	Sport Recife	1 : 0
50	Rio Branco ES	Novorizontino	1 : 3
52	Bye	Corinthians
53	Sergipe	Ceara	0 : 2
54	Parnahyba	Confianca	0 : 5
56	Bye	Palmeiras
57	Botafogo RJ	Bye
59	Porto Velho	Cuiaba	1 : 0
60	Capital	Portuguesa RJ	1 : 0
61	Operario MS	Criciuma	0 : 1
62	GAS	Remo	0 : 4
63	Sousa	Bragantino	1 : 2
64	Oratorio	EC Sao Jose	1 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sao Paulo	Bye
2	Vitoria	Nautico	0 : 2
3	Brusque	Olaria	2 : 1
4	Athletico-PR	Guarany de Bage	3 : 1
5	Maringa FC	Uniao Carmolandense	4 : 2
6	Atletico-MG	Manaus	4 : 1
7	Concordia	Botafogo PB	0 : 4
8	Bye	Flamengo RJ
9	Atletico GO	Retro	1 : 2
10	Bye	Fortaleza
11	Paysandu PA	Bye
12	Bye	Bahia
13	Fluminense	SER Caxias	2 : 1
14	Cascavel	Aparecidense	0 : 1
15	Internacional	Bye
16	Ceilandia	Maracana	0 : 1
17	Santos	Bye
18	Bye	CRB
19	Cruzeiro	Bye
20	Vila Nova FC	Rio Branco-VN	6 : 0
21	Tuna Luso	CSA	0 : 5
22	Gremio	Athletic Club	4 : 3
23	Operario-PR	Tombense	1 : 0
24	Vasco	Nova Iguacu	3 : 0
25	Operario VG	Novorizontino	0 : 1
26	Bye	Corinthians
27	Ceara	Confianca	3 : 2
28	Bye	Palmeiras
29	Botafogo RJ	Bye
30	Porto Velho	Capital	1 : 3
31	Criciuma	Remo	2 : 1
32	Bragantino	EC Sao Jose	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Sao Paulo	Nautico	2 : 1, 2 : 1
2	Brusque	Athletico-PR	0 : 1, 0 : 0
3	Maringa FC	Atletico-MG	0 : 4, 2 : 2
4	Botafogo PB	Flamengo RJ	2 : 4, 0 : 1
5	Retro	Fortaleza	2 : 1, 1 : 1
6	Paysandu PA	Bahia	0 : 4, 0 : 1
7	Fluminense	Aparecidense	4 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Internacional	Maracana	3 : 0, 1 : 0
9	Santos	CRB	0 : 1, 1 : 1
10	Cruzeiro	Vila Nova FC	3 : 0, 2 : 0
11	CSA	Gremio	0 : 0, 3 : 2
12	Operario-PR	Vasco	1 : 2, 1 : 1
13	Novorizontino	Corinthians	0 : 1, 0 : 1
14	Ceara	Palmeiras	0 : 3, 0 : 1
15	Botafogo RJ	Capital	0 : 1, 4 : 0
16	Criciuma	Bragantino	0 : 6, 1 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Sao Paulo	Athletico-PR	2 : 1
2	Atletico-MG	Flamengo RJ	1 : 0
3	Retro	Bahia	2 : 3
4	Fluminense	Internacional	2 : 1
5	CRB	Cruzeiro	0 : 0
6	CSA	Vasco	0 : 0
7	Corinthians	Palmeiras	1 : 0
8	Botafogo RJ	Bragantino	2 : 0