Corinthians vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Corinthians - Palmeiras
Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 22
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 4
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.372.14
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
74% (228/308)81% (337/414)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.372.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.012.77
Total shots
919
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
931
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
74% (228/308)81% (337/414)
Long passes
37% (15/41)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
58% (42/72)73% (115/158)
Crosses
10% (1/10)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.211.34
Throw-ins
1420
Fouls
1816
Tackles
68% (17/25)78% (14/18)
Duels won
6556
Clearances
3615
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
2.770.01
Goals prevented
1.770.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Vitor Roque (Pen),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Piquerez J. (Own goal),
  • 32', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
  • 40', Breno Bidon 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Mauricio , Torres F. ,
  • 61', Raniele , Joao Pedro ,
  • 71', Lucas Evangelista 🟨,
  • 74', Felipe Anderson , Sosa R. ,
  • 80', Garro R. , Caca ,
  • 80', Charles Rigon , Ryan ,
  • 80', Maycon , Vitinho ,
  • 87', Gui Negao , Talles Magno ,
  • 90+4', Depay M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Gomez G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Corinthians
24.2%
Draw
30.1%
Palmeiras
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 30.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 30.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Corinthians - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.19
    (2.84)
    3.32
    (3.04)
    2.15
    (2.59)
    0.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Corinthians - Palmeiras?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 17 - 68%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 49.7%86.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
    • In recent matches, Corinthians has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Palmeiras is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Palmeiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.
    • Palmeiras might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo (Hernia) Martinez J. (Inactive) Matheus Bidu (Yellow Cards) Yuri Alberto (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Raphael Veiga (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Corinthians: Matheuzinho (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Palmeiras were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 0:2
    30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0
    12.04.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 2:0
    27.03.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 0:0
    06.02.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 1:1
    Latest results of Corinthians
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    11.08.2025 Juventude - Corinthians 2:1
    06.08.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 0:2
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Gremio27891028:33-533
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet