Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', Barbosa A. ↓, Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ↑,
- 45', 0 - 1, Balsa C. ⚽, Ferreira R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Liberal A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Herrera J. ↓, Delcio ↑,
- 64', Niang C. 🟨,
- 65', Jailson ↓, Ribeiro P. ↑,
- 67', Silva M. 🟨,
- 73', 🟨,
- 74', Durand V. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
- 74', Sousa C. ↓, Okoli F. ↑,
- 75', Dias R. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
- 75', Cruz F. ↓, Matos S. ↑,
- 77', Niang C. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 83', Pinto Galil L. G. 🟨,
- 85', Dias R. ↓, Arezes D. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Marques R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+9', Nicolas Souza 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético CP 56.1% | Draw 25.7% | Covilhã 18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Atlético CP - Covilhã Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.65 ↓ (1.69) |
3.59 ↑ (3.35) |
5.08 ↑ (4.83) |
8.3% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Atlético CP is a strong favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético CP won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético CP won against Covilhã?
Atlético CP has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Atlético CP?
Covilhã has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético CP - Covilhã were as follows:
17.01.2026
Covilhã
-
Atlético CP
0:0
26.10.2025
Atlético CP
-
Covilhã
0:0
12.01.2025
Covilhã
-
Atlético CP
1:3
29.09.2024
Atlético CP
-
Covilhã
1:0
28.04.2024
Atlético CP
-
Covilhã
1:2
Latest results of Atlético CP
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Santarem | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Mafra | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )