Atlético CP vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
71
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
114
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', Barbosa A. , Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Balsa C. , Ferreira R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Liberal A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 63', Herrera J. , Delcio ,
  • 64', Niang C. 🟨,
  • 65', Jailson , Ribeiro P. ,
  • 67', Silva M. 🟨,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 74', Durand V. , Silva D. ,
  • 74', Sousa C. , Okoli F. ,
  • 75', Dias R. , Marques R. ,
  • 75', Cruz F. , Matos S. ,
  • 77', Niang C. , Silva J. ,
  • 83', Pinto Galil L. G. 🟨,
  • 85', Dias R. , Arezes D. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Marques R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+9', Nicolas Souza 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético CP
56.1%
Draw
25.7%
Covilhã
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 27.2% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 26.5% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Atlético CP - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.69)
    3.59
    (3.35)
    5.08
    (4.83)
    8.3%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Atlético CP is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético CP won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético CP - Covilhã were as follows:
    17.01.2026 Covilhã - Atlético CP 0:0
    26.10.2025 Atlético CP - Covilhã 0:0
    12.01.2025 Covilhã - Atlético CP 1:3
    29.09.2024 Atlético CP - Covilhã 1:0
    28.04.2024 Atlético CP - Covilhã 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético CP
    Latest results of Covilhã
    22.02.2026 Covilhã - Caldas 1:0
    15.02.2026 Amora - Covilhã 0:3
    24.01.2026 Amora - Covilhã 2:0
    17.01.2026 Covilhã - Atlético CP 0:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Varzim42024:5-16
    4Amarante32014:316
    5Santarem42026:606
    6Os Belenenses41216:605
    7Mafra41123:5-24
    8Trofense40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )