Result
3:0
11/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Silva M. (Own goal),
- 31', 2 - 0, Paulo D. ⚽, Sambu M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jailson ↓, Coelho R. ↑,
- 46', Garcia F. ↓, Mica ↑,
- 52', Coelho R. 🟨,
- 54', Cesinha 🟨,
- 66', Afonso A. ↓, Valente A. ↑,
- 66', Horta Leitao D. ↓, David Rebelo ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, David Rebelo ⚽, Valente A. (A),
- 73', Souza E. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
- 73', Cruz F. ↓, Peixoto R. ↑,
- 80', Paulo D. ↓, Cuca ↑,
- 80', Morgado T. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Belenenses
60.1% | Draw
24.7% | Covilhã
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Belenenses - Covilhã Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.54) |
3.25 ↓
(3.8) |
5.3 ↓
(5.85) |
24.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Belenenses - Covilhã?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 7 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Belenenses will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Belenenses have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Covilhã is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Belenenses is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Covilhã?
Belenenses has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Belenenses?
Covilhã has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Covilhã were as follows:
13.12.2024
Belenenses
-
Covilhã
2:2
01.09.2024
Covilhã
-
Belenenses
2:2
Latest results of Belenenses
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 7 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Amora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Covilha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
