Covilhã vs Belenenses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
69
Corner Kicks
56
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Eduardo W. , David Rebelo (A),
  • 14', 0 - 2, Eduardo W. ,
  • 28', Cuca 🟨,
  • 34', Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Ferreira R. , Brito P. ,
  • 46', Jailson , Garcia F. ,
  • 53', Nuno Tomas 🟨,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 63', Horta Leitao D. 🟨,
  • 65', Niang C. 🟨,
  • 67', Cuca , Lucas J. ,
  • 68', Horta Leitao D. , Valente A. ,
  • 75', 0 - 3, Pinto Galil L. G. (Own goal),
  • 75', Niang C. , Liberal A. ,
  • 76', Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. , Coelho R. ,
  • 81', 0 - 4, Pinto A. ,
  • 84', Eduardo W. , Souza E. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Coelho R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
22.5%
Draw
27.3%
Belenenses
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.6% 27.3% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 26.6% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Covilhã - Belenenses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (4.45)
    3.35
    (3.36)
    1.82
    (1.76)
    9.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Covilhã - Belenenses?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Covilhã has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Belenenses is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Covilhã may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Belenenses is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Covilhã won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Belenenses were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Belenenses - Covilhã 3:0
    13.12.2024 Belenenses - Covilhã 2:2
    01.09.2024 Covilhã - Belenenses 2:2
    Latest results of Covilhã
    13.12.2025 Mafra - Covilhã 2:0
    30.11.2025 1 Dezembro - Covilhã 1:1
    22.11.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 0:2
    09.11.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 2:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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