Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League Two - Round 14
Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.03	0.28
Ball Possession
74%	26%
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
88% (613/694)	57% (137/240)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03	0.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	0.13
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	1
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
5	0
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
32	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
88% (613/694)	57% (137/240)
Long passes
48% (19/40)	33% (29/89)
Passes in final third
76% (145/190)	35% (31/88)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.52	0.19
Throw-ins
18	26
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
75% (3/4)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
31	49
Clearances
33	13
Interceptions
8	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.13	0.73
Goals prevented
0.13	-2.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Omochere P. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
33', Sparkes J. 🟥,
34', Loft R. (Pen),
40', Bajrami G. 🟨,
45', Lockyer T. 🟨,
45+3', Southwood L. 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 0, Kilgour A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Forde S. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
46', Bajrami G. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
48', Dewsbury O. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Forster H. ⚽, Malone S. (A),
56', Lockyer T. ↓, Negru S. ↑,
57', Thomas L. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Malone S. ⚽,
76', Malone S. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
78', Scott K. 🟨,
78', Cotterill J. ↓, McEachran J. ↑,
81', Watson L. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
81', Loft R. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
81', Holohan G. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Flower L. ⚽, Brown J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
40.5%

Draw
27.8%

Bristol Rovers
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

25.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	3.38 ↓ (3.48)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	6.7% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3.
Crawley is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bristol Rovers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Injury) Davies H. (Injury) McKirdy H. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Cotterill J. (Inactive) Harrison E. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury) Senior J. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Crawley Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Crawley Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

22.03.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 1:0

16.11.2024 Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town 0:0

05.12.2023 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 2:1

Latest results of Crawley Town

18.10.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town 1:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Crawley Town - Walsall 1:1 ✺

07.10.2025 Leyton Orient - Crawley Town 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Cambridge United - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Crawley Town - Barrow 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

18.10.2025 Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers 1:4 ✺

11.10.2025 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4 ✺

07.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Salford City 2:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League