Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 43
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.76	2.25
Ball possession
43%	57%
Total shots
11	23
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
6	3
Corner kicks
4	2
Passes
68% (187/275)	75% (276/367)
Yellow cards
2	1
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
2.76	2.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.39	1.51
Total shots
11	23
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
8	9
Blocked shots
0	10
Shots inside the box
9	11
Shots outside the box
2	12
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
6	3
Corner kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
25	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	0
Free kicks
4	17
Passes
68% (187/275)	75% (276/367)
Long passes
40% (30/75)	34% (25/73)
Passes in final third
50% (52/104)	63% (57/90)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	9% (2/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	0.50
Throw ins
25	22
Fouls
17	4
Tackles
53% (8/15)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
38	61
Clearances
23	20
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.51	2.39
Goals prevented
0.51	-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Harrison E. ⚽, Balmer K. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Rijks M. ⚽, Senior J. (A),
33', Gordon K. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
40', Harbottle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Harbottle R. ↓, Lockyer T. ↑,
59', Adeyemo A. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
71', Richards L. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
71', Adeyemo T. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
77', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Watson L. ⚽, Copley L. (A),
86', Forde S. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
86', Rijks M. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
88', Lockyer T. 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 1, Akhamrich Y. ⚽, Smallwood R. (A),
90+8', Leigh T. 🟨,
90+8', Lolos K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
47.6%

Draw
27.6%

Crawley Town
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.07)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	3.74 ↑ (3.2)	6.8% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 0.
Bristol Rovers is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Crawley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bristol Rovers might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Injury)
There will not play in Crawley: Vassell T. (Injury) Williams J. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Crawley: Bajrami G. (Inactive) Loft R. (Injury) Orsi-Dadomo D. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Crawley Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town were as follows:

25.10.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 4:0

22.03.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 1:0

16.11.2024 Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town 0:0

05.12.2023 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 2:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

06.04.2026 Harrogate Town - Bristol Rovers 2:3 ✺

03.04.2026 Bristol Rovers - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

28.03.2026 Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Gillingham - Bristol Rovers 1:2 ✺

17.03.2026 Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Crawley Town

06.04.2026 Crawley Town - Grimsby Town 0:2 ✺

03.04.2026 Newport County - Crawley Town 0:2 ✺

28.03.2026 Crawley Town - Gillingham 2:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Fleetwood Town - Crawley Town 1:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Crawley Town - Barnet 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League