Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 35
- Referee: Baines D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (254/356) | 79% (340/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (254/356) | 79% (340/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (22/67) | 39% (28/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (109/169) | 70% (92/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 3.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Richards T. 🟨,
- 32', Robson J. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Stevens J. ⚽, Caprice J. (A),
- 42', Woods R. 🟨,
- 45+3', Fondop-Talum M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Stevens J. ⚽, Fondop-Talum M. (A),
- 59', Lolos K. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 64', Kavanagh C. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
- 70', Caprice J. 🟨,
- 72', Drummond K. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
- 76', Richards T. ↓, Adeyemo T. ↑,
- 81', Woods R. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
- 81', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic 49.9% | Draw 26.5% | Crawley Town 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Oldham Athletic - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (1.91) |
3.53 ↑ (3.46) |
3.93 ↑ (3.68) |
6.8% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
- In recent matches, Oldham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Crawley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Oldham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
Malone S.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Crawley Town?
Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Oldham Athletic?
Crawley Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Crawley Town were as follows:
13.12.2025
Crawley Town
-
Oldham Athletic
2:2
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League